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Flopped the house, and then.....
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Topic: Flopped the house, and then..... (Read 3748 times)
EvilPie
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #15 on:
May 14, 2009, 02:46:17 PM »
I want this pot as small as possible now.
They can't both have a king so you've got to put one of them on the 10.
The only way you win a big pot here is if by some miracle one of them has the case king and the other has slow played AA pre. If that's the case they're likely as nervous as you of this board and want to get to showdown as cheaply as possible.
Check the turn seems like a fine plan to me. You're all just about deep enough that the 10 won't jam the river as there's only just over 5k in the pot. Hopefully just a vb for 3k which I think you have to call as you're still on 3k at the 25/50 level.
Fold to the jam though assuming that they have equal chips to yourself.
If you've been bluffed then fair play to the guy. He's done good.
Flushy. When you say bet fold the river how much were you thinking?
Do you not think he's opening himself up to be bluffed? Admittedly it takes a brave man to bluff here but thinking it through Tighty never has the 10 here.
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MANTIS01
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What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #16 on:
May 14, 2009, 05:15:49 PM »
They can't both have a king so you've got to put one of them on the 10.
Why can't one of the villains have J-Q?
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Steve Swift
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #17 on:
May 14, 2009, 05:38:44 PM »
I don't want to be a pain but can someone direct me to how i find instruction on how to post HH.
Cheers
Steve
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pokerfan
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #18 on:
May 14, 2009, 07:38:24 PM »
and...............
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EvilPie
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #19 on:
May 15, 2009, 11:49:25 AM »
Quote from: MANTIS01 on May 14, 2009, 05:15:49 PM
They can't both have a king so you've got to put one of them on the 10.
Why can't one of the villains have J-Q?
They can easily have JQ but what's in it for us if they have? If JQ is in their range then we have to put J10 in there too which is why I'd want the pot small.
If they've got JQ I can't see them paying us off now that the other 10 has dropped. Are they going to call a turn bet hoping to hit a 5 to 1 shot which is probably losing anyway?
The only way I can see this pot getting big and us winning is if one of them has AA and the other has the case K. We are deep enough to not have to go broke on a dangerous board. I can't see us getting much value out of the hand and any bet becomes too exploitable when someone shoves over the top of it.
Any under pair to the K is worried about the other 3 kings out there. Even AA will be concerned in the same way that we are. I would hope from the turn action that it would check round again because everyone was worried. I would be happy to play this passive as Tighty has and check call.
The chances of them having the 10 are exactly the same as them having the K. That makes this a 50 50 which we don't need imo.
I'm guessing that this thread is here because there is significant action by the 2 oppos following Tighty's check.
I'd guess something like check, check, 3.5k, Tighty calls, shove, call, Tighty tank calls and is shown KQ and A10 and wants to know if he should've gone with his passive instinct and passed.
Or I might be completely wrong.
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Motivational speeches at their best:
"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
david3103
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #20 on:
May 15, 2009, 01:18:19 PM »
Do we need Sue to come along and ask 'what happened next?'
Click to see full-size image.
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TightEnd
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #21 on:
May 15, 2009, 01:56:38 PM »
My
weak/keep the pot small/one must have a ten
arse checked the river, intending to check call I suppose
they both checked behind with QJ and unknown, claimed pocket pair
I won the pot
The reason for posting was to establish how much value I should extract here, and at what point you'd worry about a ten, if at all
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TheChipPrince
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #22 on:
May 15, 2009, 02:16:32 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on May 15, 2009, 01:56:38 PM
My
weak/keep the pot small/one must have a ten
arse checked the river, intending to check call I suppose
they both checked behind with QJ and unknown, claimed pocket pair
I won the pot
The reason for posting was to establish how much value I should extract here, and at what point you'd worry about a ten, if at all
I think its naive to not worry about the 10, but we should def bet the river...
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MANTIS01
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What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #23 on:
May 15, 2009, 03:00:09 PM »
Quote from: EvilPie on May 15, 2009, 11:49:25 AM
Quote from: MANTIS01 on May 14, 2009, 05:15:49 PM
They can't both have a king so you've got to put one of them on the 10.
Why can't one of the villains have J-Q?
They can easily have JQ but what's in it for us if they have? If JQ is in their range then we have to put J10 in there too which is why I'd want the pot small.
If they've got JQ I can't see them paying us off now that the other 10 has dropped. Are they going to call a turn bet hoping to hit a 5 to 1 shot which is probably losing anyway?
The only way I can see this pot getting big and us winning is if one of them has AA and the other has the case K. We are deep enough to not have to go broke on a dangerous board. I can't see us getting much value out of the hand and any bet becomes too exploitable when someone shoves over the top of it.
Any under pair to the K is worried about the other 3 kings out there. Even AA will be concerned in the same way that we are. I would hope from the turn action that it would check round again because everyone was worried. I would be happy to play this passive as Tighty has and check call.
The chances of them having the 10 are exactly the same as them having the K. That makes this a 50 50 which we don't need imo.
I'm guessing that this thread is here because there is significant action by the 2 oppos following Tighty's check.
I'd guess something like check, check, 3.5k, Tighty calls, shove, call, Tighty tank calls and is shown KQ and A10 and wants to know if he should've gone with his passive instinct and passed.
Or I might be completely wrong.
Well look I'm not disagreeing about the fact we don't get paid by J-Q if we bet. It's the attitude that we must put one of the villain's on a 10 if they call the flop that i didn't like. By thinking like that you lose value from K's...and pp's if you don't bet the river. If Tighty bets the river he can easily look like Q-J himself and get paid by worse pp's and deffo the k. Defining your strat around the fear your oppo has quads is not optimum thinking imo, but if Tighty is checking cos he thinks oppo's will bet worse then ok.
If you believe it's 50/50 that villain has a k or a 10 then Flushy's leading and folding strat when getting 4-1 about an even money shot is hard to grasp imo.
«
Last Edit: May 15, 2009, 03:11:13 PM by MANTIS01
»
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EvilPie
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Posts: 14241
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #24 on:
May 16, 2009, 06:27:23 PM »
Quote from: MANTIS01 on May 15, 2009, 03:00:09 PM
Quote from: EvilPie on May 15, 2009, 11:49:25 AM
Quote from: MANTIS01 on May 14, 2009, 05:15:49 PM
They can't both have a king so you've got to put one of them on the 10.
Why can't one of the villains have J-Q?
They can easily have JQ but what's in it for us if they have? If JQ is in their range then we have to put J10 in there too which is why I'd want the pot small.
If they've got JQ I can't see them paying us off now that the other 10 has dropped. Are they going to call a turn bet hoping to hit a 5 to 1 shot which is probably losing anyway?
The only way I can see this pot getting big and us winning is if one of them has AA and the other has the case K. We are deep enough to not have to go broke on a dangerous board. I can't see us getting much value out of the hand and any bet becomes too exploitable when someone shoves over the top of it.
Any under pair to the K is worried about the other 3 kings out there. Even AA will be concerned in the same way that we are. I would hope from the turn action that it would check round again because everyone was worried. I would be happy to play this passive as Tighty has and check call.
The chances of them having the 10 are exactly the same as them having the K. That makes this a 50 50 which we don't need imo.
I'm guessing that this thread is here because there is significant action by the 2 oppos following Tighty's check.
I'd guess something like check, check, 3.5k, Tighty calls, shove, call, Tighty tank calls and is shown KQ and A10 and wants to know if he should've gone with his passive instinct and passed.
Or I might be completely wrong.
Well look I'm not disagreeing about the fact we don't get paid by J-Q if we bet. It's the attitude that we must put one of the villain's on a 10 if they call the flop that i didn't like. By thinking like that you lose value from K's...and pp's if you don't bet the river. If Tighty bets the river he can easily look like Q-J himself and get paid by worse pp's and deffo the k. Defining your strat around the fear your oppo has quads is not optimum thinking imo, but if Tighty is checking cos he thinks oppo's will bet worse then ok.
If you believe it's 50/50 that villain has a k or a 10 then Flushy's leading and folding strat when getting 4-1 about an even money shot is hard to grasp imo.
What I meant here was that there's 1 10 out there and 1 king.
The king pays us off, the 10 muffs us. So it's a 50 50 that we're getting paid or muffed.
Is anyone who know's tighty really going to put him on JQ here? I can't see it tbh. The turn may suggest it but pf definitely not.
Check to call just seems safer than betting out.
A meaningful value bet is around 3k meaning that a raise sets us in. Then what?
Just seems to invite the bluff is all I'm thinking because I agree with Flushy that we have to pass here in a live deep event.
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Motivational speeches at their best:
"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
MANTIS01
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Posts: 6734
What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #25 on:
May 16, 2009, 07:54:27 PM »
Flushy's advice that we have to pass to a jam is plain bad. Number one reason is that Tighty leads out for 3/4 of the pot when he flops kings full. Why does he do this?....COS IT WONT LOOK LIKE KINGS FULL!!! So you make a mockery of his decent enough strat if you start telling me how strong Tighty's gonna look to his oppos if he bets the river. He has disguised his hand well on the flop. But checking both streets thereafter makes the betting out strong trap a real pointless exercise.
Also all this "anyone who knows Tighty" rubbish is exposed by the fact that the 2 villains (who know him) call his 1200 lead with a straight draw (on a paired board) and an UNDERPAIR to the board. Yeah, they sure wouldn't put money into this pot without quads! If you do face a jam on the river you call easy and quick...cos your hand is disguised...the pot is offering 4/1...and there's one king, one ten, and a few other hands that jam in this spot.
Also Tighty should be playing J-Q the same way as Kings full in this spot.
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Royal Flush
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Posts: 22690
Booooccccceeeeeee
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #26 on:
May 17, 2009, 02:09:16 AM »
Quote from: MANTIS01 on May 16, 2009, 07:54:27 PM
Flushy's advice that we have to pass to a jam is plain bad. Number one reason is that Tighty leads out for 3/4 of the pot when he flops kings full. Why does he do this?....COS IT WONT LOOK LIKE KINGS FULL!!! So you make a mockery of his decent enough strat if you start telling me how strong Tighty's gonna look to his oppos if he bets the river. He has disguised his hand well on the flop. But checking both streets thereafter makes the betting out strong trap a real pointless exercise.
Also all this "anyone who knows Tighty" rubbish is exposed by the fact that the 2 villains (who know him) call his 1200 lead with a straight draw (on a paired board) and an UNDERPAIR to the board. Yeah, they sure wouldn't put money into this pot without quads! If you do face a jam on the river you call easy and quick...cos your hand is disguised...the pot is offering 4/1...and there's one king, one ten, and a few other hands that jam in this spot.
Also Tighty should be playing J-Q the same way as Kings full in this spot.
All i keep seeing is you saying K and T both jam 100%, this is simply not true.
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MANTIS01
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Posts: 6734
What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #27 on:
May 17, 2009, 03:02:54 AM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on May 17, 2009, 02:09:16 AM
Quote from: MANTIS01 on May 16, 2009, 07:54:27 PM
Flushy's advice that we have to pass to a jam is plain bad. Number one reason is that Tighty leads out for 3/4 of the pot when he flops kings full. Why does he do this?....COS IT WONT LOOK LIKE KINGS FULL!!! So you make a mockery of his decent enough strat if you start telling me how strong Tighty's gonna look to his oppos if he bets the river. He has disguised his hand well on the flop. But checking both streets thereafter makes the betting out strong trap a real pointless exercise.
Also all this "anyone who knows Tighty" rubbish is exposed by the fact that the 2 villains (who know him) call his 1200 lead with a straight draw (on a paired board) and an UNDERPAIR to the board. Yeah, they sure wouldn't put money into this pot without quads! If you do face a jam on the river you call easy and quick...cos your hand is disguised...the pot is offering 4/1...and there's one king, one ten, and a few other hands that jam in this spot.
Also Tighty should be playing J-Q the same way as Kings full in this spot.
All i keep seeing is you saying K and T both jam 100%, this is simply not true.
Dude, they don't have to jam a K 100% of the time to make bet/calling the river correct. Getting approx 4/1 mean they only have to jam it a fraction of the time to make the strat pay. You don't think these nits who call 1,200 with underpairs on the flop are gonna do that if they got a K? C'mon.
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LuckyLloyd
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #28 on:
May 26, 2009, 04:10:46 AM »
Apply the Zeebo theorem (can't believe it hasn't been mentioned). People don't fold fullhouses, they just don't. And you have one of these guy's range's specifically narrowed to pocket pairs preflop. You MUST bet out on the river. I'd agree with Flushy in that if you bet the river and either goes all - in folding is probably correct. But you MUST bet out.
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