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Poker Hand Analysis
zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
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Topic: zoom 50nl we have a good hand.. (Read 1795 times)
jgcblack
Hero Member
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Posts: 3433
C'est la vie
zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
on:
May 10, 2013, 10:24:06 PM »
http://wt.ag/ZUBIsi
what are we thinking?
agree with pre, f, t??
I can't think of many hands that make sense for him....... AND we have the single interesting blocker
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pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 18912
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #1 on:
May 10, 2013, 10:29:29 PM »
he can have axsx like at, a9, a8, a7, a6, a5, mazbe even aq aj tht he didnt 3bet pre
reads
spaz then call
nit then fold
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
jgcblack
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3433
C'est la vie
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #2 on:
May 10, 2013, 10:31:16 PM »
Quote from: pleno1 on May 10, 2013, 10:29:29 PM
he can have axsx like at, a9, a8, a7, a6, a5, mazbe even aq aj tht he didnt 3bet pre
reads
spaz then call
nit then fold
first session at 50nl bro - readless.....
didn't seem like a likely/ credible bluff line to me
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pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 18912
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #3 on:
May 10, 2013, 10:32:35 PM »
well he could have 98s, 97s, 87s, 65s, etc
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
The Squid
Sr. Member
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Posts: 346
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #4 on:
May 10, 2013, 11:37:07 PM »
I call here always. They just hitting the panic button most likely.
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jgcblack
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3433
C'est la vie
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #5 on:
May 10, 2013, 11:50:42 PM »
Quote from: The Squid on May 10, 2013, 11:37:07 PM
I call here always. They just hitting the panic button most likely.
no offense intended.. but what do you mean?
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Honeybadger
Hero Member
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Posts: 1920
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #6 on:
May 11, 2013, 02:03:43 PM »
Readless this is a call. Not much to think about really; our entire range that is not the nut flush is now a bluff catcher, and we have the
best possible
bluff catcher. Unless we are making the assumption that villain is very rarely bluffing in this spot then we should call with some amount of our bluff catchers, and Qsx is the top of our bluff-catching range.
It may well be that players at 50NL just don't bluff here often enough. Or it may well be that they are bluffing too much. I have no idea about this. Maybe someone will come into the thread and say "villain is never bluffing here... nobody
ever
bluffs at 50NL on four-flush runouts", or maybe he will say the opposite. But since you don't know, then you should just go with theory which says you must have a bluff catching range here. And thus you should definitely call with your hand.
I am
guessing
, however, that this will be a spazzy bluff or weird merge much more often than you might think. Hands like JsTs that have trapped on the turn, got a bad river card, and just randomly shipped because they are confused - 'hitting the panic button' as The Squid says. Or even stuff like T9 and 77 that have trapped on the flop and lost the plot after the turn/river run out. People do weird things.
As an aside, villain 'shouldn't' have too many offsuit Aces in his BB flatting range - not to say he
won't
have, just that he
shouldn't
. And many of these offsuit Aces won't get to the turn; if he is defending As2c preflop then is he really check-calling the flop? Moreover,
sometimes
he will check-raise the turn as a semi-bluff if he has something like AsTh. So, if he has the nut flush there is a fairly good chance that he outdrew you on the turn not the river.
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MelissaChloe
Jr. Member
Offline
Posts: 97
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #7 on:
May 11, 2013, 02:54:03 PM »
Call call call call call.
If they show
say 'nh' and now use the very useful info you have just got on them after them taking a strange line
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Twitter: MelissaChloe_xo
DMorgan
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 4440
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #8 on:
May 11, 2013, 05:36:05 PM »
Call all day, villain gets to the river with a pretty wide range of hands that you beat and only need to be bluffing with a small %age of them to make it a call which he certainly will imo in the absence of a read to suggest otherwise.
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Quote from: Karabiner on May 24, 2014, 12:47:13 PM
Is Dan awake yet?
jgcblack
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3433
C'est la vie
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #9 on:
May 11, 2013, 07:33:08 PM »
oh wow...
I'm surprised at how many people think this is a call. At the time I thought 'this sucks, guess i have to pay the man' but then remembered how every time I can remember feeling like this at <25nl all that happened is i was shown exactly what beat me, whether it is one or two combo's.
I actually folded in game and was pretty happy about it. I guess I'll think about any spots like this a little more as i move forward.
I know Stu will ask me about combo's and frequencies and so on, I guess my 'instinct' was that this is just someone 'panicshoving' the nuts because they don't know what else to do. As I've seen to my loss in the last couple of weeks of live poker, quite a lot.
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theprawnidentity
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3599
8 high happens!
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #10 on:
May 12, 2013, 11:44:59 AM »
He's gonna have to show me it here.
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jgcblack
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3433
C'est la vie
Re: zoom 50nl we have a good hand..
«
Reply #11 on:
May 12, 2013, 01:10:47 PM »
Quote from: tomsom87 on May 12, 2013, 11:44:59 AM
He's gonna have to show me it here.
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