AA in 2nd chance

[MC]

1st hand at a new table in the $109 Second Chance today at 6pm.

Villain is a presumed random until he min-raises us, upon which I sharkscoped him and discovered he's down $150k over 4500 games, albeit with an average ROI of only -7.5%.

I hated my life when he min raised. If he makes any other raise or whatever I mean I'm obviously getting it in and am rather pleased about it. But wtf min raises here?

It just seems unlikely this is a bluff, he can't really have QQ+, a flush draw is unlikely to min raise, and we block AJ. I guess he could have a sick combo draw with Jxdd, or QTdd. Otherwise that leaves sets, which we obviously don't like.

But when you sharkscope the guy and he's a huge loser does this make the decision for us where we have to presume he can sometimes have something ridiculous here?


PokerStars Hand #104486750647: Tournament #2013092043, $100+$9 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IX (150/300) - 2013/09/22 19:35:13 WET [2013/09/22 14:35:13 ET]
Table '2013092043 302' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Trappa 105 (12770 in chips)
Seat 2: DoePopoe (12278 in chips)
Seat 3: saks80 (17600 in chips)
Seat 4: L. Veldhuis (3093 in chips)
Seat 5: AltyAA (5709 in chips)
Seat 6: Don Marato (13489 in chips)
Seat 7: wiper222 (13682 in chips)
Seat 8: Odggin (18257 in chips)
Seat 9: epitomised (19980 in chips)
Trappa 105: posts the ante 40
DoePopoe: posts the ante 40
saks80: posts the ante 40
L. Veldhuis: posts the ante 40
AltyAA: posts the ante 40
Don Marato: posts the ante 40
wiper222: posts the ante 40
Odggin: posts the ante 40
epitomised: posts the ante 40
L. Veldhuis: posts small blind 150
AltyAA: posts big blind 300
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to epitomised [ Ah]
Don Marato: raises 300 to 600
wiper222: folds
Odggin: folds
epitomised: raises 715 to 1315
Trappa 105: folds
DoePopoe: folds
saks80: folds
L. Veldhuis: folds
AltyAA: folds
Don Marato: calls 715
*** FLOP *** [ ]
Don Marato: checks
epitomised: bets 1450
Don Marato: raises 1450 to 2900
epitomised:

[pleno1]

simply because of the price, id call now and fold to turn aggresion.

[TL900]

call and gii on any brick turn imo

in game i might even try gii otf always amazes me what people show up with in these spots. Think folding at any point would be bad fwiw

[The Squid]

I agree with Pleno here.

[lucky_scrote]

I like TL900's line. If turn is or something else outrageously unlucky then I'm getting it innnnnnnnnnn.

[Nit Tendencies]

I definitely call the flop 100%. The turn depends on the texture of the card that rolls off, and his speed and/or sizing if he bets the turn. Proceeding with extreme caution though.

[The Squid]

Once we've been raised this may no longer be a profitable situation for us. We are either way behind or opponent has a large amount of equity plus a lot of cards we have to fold on.

Think it comes down to your macro strategy and how important you think it is to play tough. If your not playing often you could probably make an exploitable fold.

[youthnkzR]

call and gii on any brick turn imo

in game i might even try gii otf always amazes me what people show up with in these spots. Think folding at any point would be bad fwiw