plo8 bubble stt

[Ironside]

time to bubble and move on or wait for a better spot?


PokerStars Game #23007222753: Tournament #127688900, $15+$1 Omaha Hi/Lo Pot Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2008/12/17 20:43:55 WET [2008/12/17 15:43:55 ET]
Table '127688900 1' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: kbj4885 (7402 in chips)
Seat 6: Ironside (2740 in chips)
Seat 7: ttbaseball (2020 in chips)
Seat 8: Forty2u (1338 in chips)
kbj4885: posts small blind 200
Ironside: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Ironside [ As]
ttbaseball: folds
Forty2u: folds
kbj4885: raises 800 to 1200

[Colchester Kev]

LOL whack it in you mug

[Ironside]

i did just questioning my play again

been on a heater now going cold playing same way just checking

[thetank]

I honetly don't have a clue.

Would probably whack it in (you mug)

[EvilPie]

Fold

Your hand is quite clearly a bag of shit!!

I know it's tempting because of your lovely low draw but that's only half the pot if it happens to hit.

Other than the miracle flush + low or some lucky set + low you're only playing for half the pot with no FE if you shove it in.

In other circumstances it's a nice hand to see a flop with but on the bubble I think this hand is a pass.

pokenum  -mc 500000  -o8     -    
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 500000 sampled boards
cards                              scoop   HIwin   HIlos  HItie   LOwin   LOlos  LOtie     EV
      225299  228732  271268      0  250690       0    610  0.557
      167636  271268  228732      0    3440  161430    610  0.443

Now I don't know exactly what the crap above means but it looks to me like your EV is only slighty + even if you're up against a bag of shite pair with no low draw, no straighting possibilities and no suits. Surely on an sng bubble this makes it a pass?

Can anyone correct me on this?

[thetank]

I thought that all that math and stuff didn't count in omaha hi-lo

You just shovey shove and hope for the best.

[EvilPie]

I thought that all that math and stuff didn't count in omaha hi-lo

You just shovey shove and hope for the best.

It doesn't you're exactly right.

However if it did count I think this is the o8 equivalent of a similar bubble situation with J10s at hold em.

[NoflopsHomer]

Fold. HU, you want a high hand.