blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 14, 2025, 12:01:23 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2262231 Posts in 66603 Topics by 16988 Members
Latest Member: Jengajenga921
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Poker Forums
| |-+  The Rail
| | |-+  When will I know if I'm a winning player?
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: [1] Go Down Print
Author Topic: When will I know if I'm a winning player?  (Read 1419 times)
EvilPie
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 14241



View Profile
« on: June 12, 2009, 03:08:52 PM »

I've just recently decided to try to make some proper money out of online poker. I've been playing for 18 months now and believe that I have a pretty good grasp of the game and have a chance of making some money.

My problem has always been that I am very spewey when I win anything. If I load up for £500 and build it up to £1500 I'll just hop on to a 5/10 table and end up blowing it all in a couple of hours.

I understand that this is a very bad idea so have come up with a plan.

The plan is that I'm now enrolled on the SAS program trial. This means that I have to stay at a set level, I've chosen 0.5/1 omaha btw. I now have a goal that so far is keeping me focused.

Because I'm taking this seriously I have purchased omaha manager to track my hands. Over my first few sessions which have added up to about 1000 hands I have made $400 profit which is very nice and encouraging.

My question is how many hands do I need to have played before I can confidently say that I am a winning player at this particular level?

Obviously 1000 is nowhere near enough but do I need 10000, 20000 or maybe more?

As the SAS trial is for 6000 hands I'd guessed that this was a good indicator but having seen how quickly I can play 1000 hands I'm now not so sure.

Any thoughts would be very welcome.
Logged

Motivational speeches at their best:

"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
AndrewT
Global Moderator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 15483



View Profile WWW
« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2009, 03:17:01 PM »

I'd say 30k as an absolute minimum.

Players who are winners over hundreds of thousands of hands can have 30k stretches where they are a loser.
Logged
GreekStein
Hero Member
Hero Member
**
Offline Offline

Posts: 20728



View Profile
« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2009, 03:19:02 PM »

I'd say you probably know right now after only 1k hands that you are a winner but anywhere over 20k hands will give you the best indication of the most important factor, the rate you are beating the games at.

You'll batter the omaha on blonde, ipoker is sick soft.
Logged

@GreekStein on twitter.

Retired Policeman, Part time troll.
StuartHopkin
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 8145


Ocho cinco


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2009, 04:47:37 PM »

You will know as soon as soon as you view the tickbox below

[  ] You sure arent a winning player
Logged

Only 23 days to go until the Berlin Marathon! Please sponsor me at www.virginmoneygiving.com/StuartHopkin
Karabiner
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22806


James Webb Telescope


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2009, 05:04:24 PM »

I will let you know.
Logged

"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
Bainn
The Preacher
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3076



View Profile
« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2009, 05:24:15 PM »

Simple, when you can honestly say to yourself that you are.
Logged

"Decerno, exsequor"

"It's nothing personal, just business."
Royal Flush
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22690


Booooccccceeeeeee


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2009, 05:26:17 PM »

Simple, when you can honestly say to yourself that you are.


lolz
Logged

[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
#1Instigator
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Posts: 203



View Profile
« Reply #7 on: June 12, 2009, 05:40:05 PM »

omaha has so pretty big swings so more hands are needed than usual. a couple of online cash games pros i know normally use 100k hands as a guide to whether they are beating the current game. Since some of them play upto 15 tables, they would normally complete this test within a month or a slightly longer 3 months period. gl matt
Logged

making an appearance...hi...i'm here Cheesy
Snatiramas
Loving London
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2941



View Profile
« Reply #8 on: June 12, 2009, 07:12:08 PM »

It's all about when you choose your victories..............
Logged

The most insidious of rules are those that aren't rules at all.
They are the limitations that we invent for ourselves
Pages: [1] Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.141 seconds with 20 queries.