Hand I should've posted a while ago

[NoflopsHomer]

I was chatting to Alex Martin last week at the Unibet Open, describing a hand to him from a couple of years ago and he said I should put it up because it's a very interesting hand, way more so than most, so anyway here it is.

European Deepstack €1,500 buy-in.

Starting stack is 50k, hero busted another stack after 40 minutes when latter overplayed AA really badly and stacked off with 1 pair versus hero's set in first level. Hero has around 110k and is seen as fairly tight solid player. Villain is Ludovic Lacay, French player known for his  insanely super-aggro style, Lacay is playing a lot of pots and very loosely, though is still most likely the best player on the table. He has 35k.

Blinds are 100/200

Hero opens preflop to 600 with   from middle position, Lacay calls in small blind. Big blind calls also.

Flop is and Lacay bets out 1,100, big blind calls. Hero raises to 5,500, Lacay calls and big blind folds.

Turn is the , Lacay checks. Hero?

[pleno1]

Yeah i know who this guy is hes pretty crazy, ridic lag.

although i think it's pretty close i think i prefer a call on the flop, he is a little bit too deep to get it all in here imo. i much prefer tarping this opponent. i don't think he folds anything that he leads with so although we are inflating the pot we are putting ourselves in a awkward situation pot to stack ratio. theres 15k in the middle and he has about 30k behind. b/f would seem so horrible with the equity that we have and he has to much to overshove w/fe.

I think his range going to the  turn is something like;


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

   2,068  games     0.001 secs     2,068,000  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    41.441%     41.44%    00.00%               857            0.00   { 9h7h }
Hand 1:    58.559%     58.56%    00.00%              1211            0.00   { AhJh, AhTh, Ah6h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ad2d, Ah2h, KhQh, QTs+, 7c6c, 7d6d, 7s6s, KQo, QJo, JcTh, JdTh, JhTc, JhTd, JhTs, JsTh, 76o }




Axhh that we/the board doesnt have blockers too, except AKhh as he 3bets pre. q10o-qks, j10hx and up and down straight draws, against this range we are a dog.

the turn is so hard to play after raising the flop, although the king is potentially a great card to continue this unbridled aggresion line that you have chosen to take i think you have two options.

-c/behind and bet small to induce if we hit on river repping thin value against a queen as he probably wont be able to turn down the invitation to rep something huge if we bet like 8/9 and he has 20 behind.

-b/c if he c/s then turn here. if we bet pretty big he probably wont c/s as a semi bluff too often as we have a big stack and prob wont be folding too much and except Kxhh and kq there isn't too many K's in his range, so we probably call with our entire value range here. if we bet 9.8k here this will leave him 20.2k left to shove meaning we'd be getting 20.2k to call into a 32kish pot which wouldn't be very nice at all.

This does leave us with one other potential option which would be to "Vitaly Lunkin" the pot. meaning we overbet to an amount that we are priced in like he did in the 40k last year w/Q high flush draw against Haxton HU when Haxton c/shove bluffed IIRC. This can never be too bad as villains range will usually not be strong enough to be able to shove over the top of a committed raise and we have a tonne of chips behind and the turn is a offsuit King.

[NigDawG]

vs any1 good i would flat the flop

[NoflopsHomer]

This was a couple of years ago and at the time, I thought the fact he called my flop raise (with a person to act) meant he had something fairly strong I can see the overbet shove being a good plan now but as it happens I checked behind, I didn't think about just shoving at the time and thought he might crai versus a lot where I can't call off.

The river was the and now he lead out for 11k with about 18k behind, I set him in and he snapped me off with (he told me later he was calling to rep hearts should the flush come).