HOT $33 turbo SAT $6.60 24SEATS

[mondatoo]

I'd say unknowns in general normally jam too tight and don't call jams wide enough. Obv we shouldn't just assume everyone in this sat is incompetent or bad, but it's probably fair to say most of the field won't be playing optimally.

[SubZERO]

say we give villain 1 the following range - 22+,A2s+,K5s+,Q7s+,J8s+,T8s+,98s,A5o+,K9o+,Q9o+,J9o+,T9o
and villain 2 - 77+,ATs+,KTs+,ATo+

I think this is erring on the tight side tbh. Please correct me if I'm way off?

We are 34% against these ranges (assuming the BB folds)

Pot - 24bb
Our stack - 16bb

So we have to call 16bb to win 24bb - 1.5-1 so we need to win 40% of the time to break even

(assume bb is 100 for ease on my maths)
(0.31 x 2400) - (0.69 x 1600) = 816 - 1104 = -288 = -2.8bb

-EV shove
so I changed my mind... Fold