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Poker Hand Analysis
GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
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Topic: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check (Read 2635 times)
SuuPRlim
Hero Member
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Posts: 10437
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #15 on:
May 20, 2013, 10:06:05 PM »
it's called pokerstove Tal, basically ts like an equity calculation, but allows you to imput a "range" of hands (basically more than one hand) as opposed to just a singular hand.
So a basic equity calculation would be like this;
ProPokerTools Odds Oracle Results (2.2 Professional)
Holdem, Generic syntax
PLAYER_1
PLAYER_2
1712304 trials (exhaustive)
All-in Equity
Equity %
Wins Hi %
Ties Hi %
Wins Hi Count
Ties Hi Count
47.3519%
47.0436%
0.6167%
805529
10559
52.6481%
52.3398%
0.6167%
896216
10559
So it simulates and all-in between AK offsuit against pocket 2's a ton of times (1,712,304 on this occasion lol) and records all the results to provide this data, as you can see AKo will win 47.3519% of the time, and will tie 0.6167% of the time (everytime you do this the number will be VERY slightly different but 1.7m trials is more than enough to be pretty confident with the results!)
What a poker STOVE does over a basic equity calculator like the one above ^^^ is it allows you to put a RANGE in, so lets say we have AKo preflop and we don't know our opponent DEFO has pocket 2's but we are going to assign him a range of (remember im pulling stuff out of thin air here) all pairs (22-AA) AKo/AKs AQo/AQs and AJs then we calculate how our AKo does against all these hands, like so;
ProPokerTools Odds Oracle Results (2.2 Professional)
Holdem, Generic syntax
PLAYER_1
PLAYER_2 22-AA, AK:xy, AK:xx, AQ:xy, AQ:xx, AJ:xx
164381184 trials (exhaustive)
All-in Equity
Equity %
Wins Hi %
Ties Hi %
Wins Hi Count
Ties Hi Count
48.0404%
43.0200%
10.0408%
70716760
16505234
22-AA, AK:xy, AK:xx,...
51.9596%
46.9392%
10.0408%
77159190
16505234
(note: AK:xx = AKs AK:xy = AKo)
So our AKo has 48.040% equity against that RANGE of hands, and will tie 10.0408% - this information would be useful if we were for example, trying to work out the profitablilty of an ALL-IN (why Adam has rightly applied it to the spot in this thread)
It's actually way better than this as well (geeky i know lol) you can alter the frequency of the time PlayerX will have a certain hand, so if he has AK 100% of the time and AQ 75% of the time (he will play AK like this 100% of the time, but 1/4 of the time will play AQ differently for e.g.) then you can put in AQ:75% and that will take out 1/4 of the AQ combinations, it's a very clever piece of kit.
It doesn't do everything for you though, you have to remember to consider your FOLD EQUITY as well (as in the times a player will not have a hand he intended to play for value) and will fold - although as a general rule for stoving spots it's a good idea to begin with the assumption you will get 0% folds, and see how the figures work, if you have enough equity go all-in when you never get a fold then you dont need to calculate further you can just know that ever 0.5% of the time he folds you make that little bit more money.
And anyone can make any spot a profitable one on pokerstove by fiddling with the numbers, often spots are quite close and you fiddling with the hands in each range even a slight bit can make a losing play appear profitable and defendable - you have to be i) Very objective and realistic when you're imputting ranges, and ii) have to have at the very least a BASIC understanding of the guys realistic range (often this is a lot simpler than you'd think) but guesswork unless it's very well educated is often a decent waste of your time with these types of calcuations.
I think the main point Adam was proving as that its MARGINALLY worse to have
, than
in this particular spot, but if you look at his figures (if his ranges are correct, i dont really have time to look closely into it, we would have 26.95% equity with our AJ if were to go all-in 3ways, if were to be gtd to going all-in 3ways we'd be risking £180 to win £563 so we need (180/563 = 0.31) 31% equity so if we are going to be 3ways, vs the ranges ADAM has given then we're about 4% shy of the required pot odds.
however I imagine we get enough folds from the SB, and the UTG range might actually be weaker (in terms of the spade/spade combo's) than adam has given so I think we'll be making money by going all in here, but its the base of how we'll solve a spot like this mathematically.
If you strengthen the SB range slightly, then I think it becomes a bad shove, so you see how close these things are, and how easy a manipulation in the figures makes a big difference.
Hope this helps
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rfgqqabc
Hero Member
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Posts: 5369
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #16 on:
May 20, 2013, 10:09:40 PM »
Quote from: Tal on May 20, 2013, 09:38:36 PM
Quote from: rfgqqabc on May 20, 2013, 09:01:00 PM
Quote from: rfgqqabc on May 20, 2013, 03:37:09 PM
800,058 games 0.017 secs 47,062,235 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 30.762% 26.95% 03.81% 215615 30496.50 { AdJs }
Hand 1: 35.522% 31.57% 03.95% 252611 31589.00 { 8d8h, 8d8s, 8h8s, 3d3h, 3d3s, 3h3s, AJs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As2s, KsQs, JsTs, Ts9s, AdJc, AhJc, AhJd, AsJc, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }
Hand 2: 33.716% 33.20% 00.52% 265614 4132.50 { JJ+, 33, AsKs, AsQs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, KJs, KsTs, QJs, QsTs, Qs9s, 9s7s, KJo, QJo, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }
Sb hand one, utg+1 hand two. Think prob give both a bit too much credit and SB prob has some lead/fold range so this isnt totally accurate. But don't want As going 3 ways.
This had AsJd as a comparison and was 2% worse off. Can't find text.doc now.
flsopasdasdaasdkjadbajiadhe2e88]OIJoiadjdaakdncdoi
adsjaodpm[[a[q209999999asooooffffffasdapodakpkda
Tdaqdada0daddm]aaaaq==\[\[asdadad------
fwuppetywuppetydoodoodoodeedoo
See? We can all post gibberish.
(in before I do it more than most)
Seriously, that needs explaining to someone who started playing poker before 2005.
Kthxbye
Its from a program called pokerstove that calculates our ranges. I tried to show having the As is bad for our hand because we have better equity against A7 of spades then K5 or 9Q with the flush draw etc. The useful data is the first % which is the hand ranges equity. The other is the actual hand combos, i tried to estimate rough frequencies, the ranges arent exact for situation and its hard to know how fishy the fish is, some wouldn't fold 82 here or 56.
Cheers Dave sigh, timing is everything.
Having As was marginally worse
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
Tal
Hero Member
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #17 on:
May 20, 2013, 10:22:56 PM »
And that, ladies and gentlemen, is why Lil Dave is immense.
Thanks also, Mr P.
Seriously, much appreciated both. Makes a LOT more sense now
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
SuuPRlim
Hero Member
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Posts: 10437
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #18 on:
May 20, 2013, 10:28:56 PM »
get stoving.
you can actually do maths as well so you should be sick at it in no-time
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Tal
Hero Member
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #19 on:
May 20, 2013, 11:00:49 PM »
Quote from: SuuPRlim on May 20, 2013, 10:28:56 PM
get stoving.
you can actually do maths as well so you should be sick at it in no-time
I'll level with you, Dave. I'm not convinced I'll ever play enough hands to warrant needing that engine to tell me whether the
matters
Don't get me wrong, love a bit o'maths, me.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
wazz
Sr. Member
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Posts: 614
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #20 on:
May 20, 2013, 11:53:35 PM »
Quote from: rfgqqabc on May 20, 2013, 03:37:09 PM
800,058 games 0.017 secs 47,062,235 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 30.762% 26.95% 03.81% 215615 30496.50 { AdJs }
Hand 1: 35.522% 31.57% 03.95% 252611 31589.00 { 8d8h, 8d8s, 8h8s, 3d3h, 3d3s, 3h3s, AJs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As2s, KsQs, JsTs, Ts9s, AdJc, AhJc, AhJd, AsJc, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }
Hand 2: 33.716% 33.20% 00.52% 265614 4132.50 { JJ+, 33, AsKs, AsQs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, KJs, KsTs, QJs, QsTs, Qs9s, 9s7s, KJo, QJo, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }
Sb hand one, utg+1 hand two. Think prob give both a bit too much credit and SB prob has some lead/fold range so this isnt totally accurate. But don't want As going 3 ways.
I'd get it in. The above range for whatever reason you're including some naked straight draws from both players and it seems unlikely they're in their ranges, and you haven't included any pairs at all other than QQ-AA and pair + fd. We should definitely put some KJ, QJ and even JT and J9 in at least one of their ranges.
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rfgqqabc
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5369
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #21 on:
May 21, 2013, 06:17:39 AM »
Quote from: wazz on May 20, 2013, 11:53:35 PM
Quote from: rfgqqabc on May 20, 2013, 03:37:09 PM
800,058 games 0.017 secs 47,062,235 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 30.762% 26.95% 03.81% 215615 30496.50 { AdJs }
Hand 1: 35.522% 31.57% 03.95% 252611 31589.00 { 8d8h, 8d8s, 8h8s, 3d3h, 3d3s, 3h3s, AJs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As2s, KsQs, JsTs, Ts9s, AdJc, AhJc, AhJd, AsJc, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }
Hand 2: 33.716% 33.20% 00.52% 265614 4132.50 { JJ+, 33, AsKs, AsQs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, KJs, KsTs, QJs, QsTs, Qs9s, 9s7s, KJo, QJo, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }
Sb hand one, utg+1 hand two. Think prob give both a bit too much credit and SB prob has some lead/fold range so this isnt totally accurate. But don't want As going 3 ways.
I'd get it in. The above range for whatever reason you're including some naked straight draws from both players and it seems unlikely they're in their ranges, and you haven't included any pairs at all other than QQ-AA and pair + fd. We should definitely put some KJ, QJ and even JT and J9 in at least one of their ranges.
Weaker opening raiser is hand 2 and hs KJ/QJ/JJ+ and we have/thought we had
blocker. The ranges were to see whether having As worked for or against, but pokerstove didn't copy over properly. Having As meant we were 2% worse off.
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
theprawnidentity
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3599
8 high happens!
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #22 on:
May 21, 2013, 01:43:27 PM »
ProPokerTools Odds Oracle Results (2.2 Professional)
Have been looking for a program to replace Stove for a while. This is exactly what I was looking for, thanks Dave!!!!!!!
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SuuPRlim
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Posts: 10437
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #23 on:
May 21, 2013, 01:56:20 PM »
Odds Oracle is frickin' brilliant
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theprawnidentity
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3599
8 high happens!
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #24 on:
May 21, 2013, 02:01:06 PM »
Quote from: SuuPRlim on May 21, 2013, 01:56:20 PM
Odds Oracle is frickin' brilliant
Ive just installed it on my mac and its an assault on the eyes, but I'm sure its very useful when I've worked out what all the functions do.
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SuuPRlim
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Posts: 10437
Re: GPS Sheffield 1/2 Cash Game Line Check
«
Reply #25 on:
May 21, 2013, 09:25:26 PM »
hit me if you need help.
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