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Author Topic: What are the odds???  (Read 5615 times)
AndrewT
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« Reply #15 on: January 26, 2007, 03:45:09 PM »

45 cards left in deck 10 of which are hearts therefore chance of heart on turn is 45/10

then providing the turn is a heart there are 44 cards left in deck of which 9 are hearts therefore chance of heart on river is 44/9

chance of both being hearts is (45/10)x(44/9) = 22 or 21/1

thats in the jungle anyway Wink

They only have 50 cards in these jungle packs? Would have thought 47 (52-5) maybe i'm daft and missing something?

changing the 45/44 to 47/46 gives 24/1.

52 - minus 3 cards for the flop, minus 4 cards for the players hole cards.

I'd love to play in the games you do Floppy, where your opponent's cards are known to you.
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dan
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« Reply #16 on: January 26, 2007, 03:46:19 PM »

Not that daft.

Just if you are looking at the odds you can't dicount the other hole cards. where in the question did it state it was HU if it is a table of 10 do we base it on 29 cards?



ohhh sorry i forgot to add that, yes it was a full 10 seater table
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matt674
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« Reply #17 on: January 26, 2007, 03:50:44 PM »

ok, so you are playing heads up and you bluff all in on the flop, your opponent calls and so the cards are turned over and you can see your opponent is holding  .

now my answer is correct Wink
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« Reply #18 on: January 26, 2007, 03:56:01 PM »

ok, so you are playing heads up and you bluff all in on the flop, your opponent calls and so the cards are turned over and you can see your opponent is holding  .

now my answer is correct Wink

ok,ok, so what are the odds now its a 10 seat table please.
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AndrewT
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« Reply #19 on: January 26, 2007, 04:00:52 PM »

ok, so you are playing heads up and you bluff all in on the flop, your opponent calls and so the cards are turned over and you can see your opponent is holding  .

now my answer is correct Wink

ok,ok, so what are the odds now its a 10 seat table please.

...on a wet afternoon the Tuesday after there has been racing at Haydock on Saturday.

Unless the other players turn over their cards and show you what they have it has no effect on the calculation - an unknown card is an unknown card, whether it is in the muck or in the deck.
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ifm
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« Reply #20 on: January 26, 2007, 04:02:26 PM »

I'm betting the guy who finished 18th in the WSOP main event will win this bet, especially v a total fish........
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« Reply #21 on: January 26, 2007, 04:04:14 PM »

I'm betting the guy who finished 18th in the WSOP main event will win this bet, especially v a total fish........

whjat you dont know ian, is that cupcake is a bigger fish than me, but not you.
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tantrum
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« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2007, 04:08:25 PM »

totalise is right 23/1

my calculations are simpler - as I am simple person-
on the turn 10/47, on the river 9/46 multiply it and - roughly 4.2% = 23/1

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« Reply #23 on: January 26, 2007, 04:09:52 PM »

0?

wrong

21/1

wrong

45 cards left in deck 10 of which are hearts therefore chance of heart on turn is 45/10

then providing the turn is a heart there are 44 cards left in deck of which 9 are hearts therefore chance of heart on river is 44/9

chance of both being hearts is (45/10)x(44/9) = 22 or 21/1

thats in the jungle anyway Wink

wrong

52 - minus 3 cards for the flop, minus 4 cards for the players hole cards.

wrong

Apologies, maybe i should have said "provided all 10 hearts are live" in my first post

wrong

Not that daft.

Just if you are looking at the odds you can't dicount the other hole cards. where in the question did it state it was HU if it is a table of 10 do we base it on 29 cards?

wrong

for a bunch of so-called poker players, this is just embarrassing
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dan
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« Reply #24 on: January 26, 2007, 04:11:33 PM »

I'm betting the guy who finished 18th in the WSOP main event will win this bet, especially v a total fish........

how much would you like to bet that cupcake got this right mug??
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ifm
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« Reply #25 on: January 26, 2007, 04:12:35 PM »

for a bunch of so-called poker players, this is just embarrassing

For someone with your obvious personality disfunctions, this is totally predictable.
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ifm
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« Reply #26 on: January 26, 2007, 04:13:44 PM »

I'm betting the guy who finished 18th in the WSOP main event will win this bet, especially v a total fish........

how much would you like to bet that cupcake got this right mug??

Erm, you seem to confident that he is wrong, the question is then, were you right fish?
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Colchester Kev
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« Reply #27 on: January 26, 2007, 04:14:42 PM »

0?

wrong

21/1

wrong

45 cards left in deck 10 of which are hearts therefore chance of heart on turn is 45/10

then providing the turn is a heart there are 44 cards left in deck of which 9 are hearts therefore chance of heart on river is 44/9

chance of both being hearts is (45/10)x(44/9) = 22 or 21/1

thats in the jungle anyway Wink

wrong

52 - minus 3 cards for the flop, minus 4 cards for the players hole cards.

wrong

Apologies, maybe i should have said "provided all 10 hearts are live" in my first post

wrong

Not that daft.

Just if you are looking at the odds you can't dicount the other hole cards. where in the question did it state it was HU if it is a table of 10 do we base it on 29 cards?

wrong

for a bunch of so-called poker players, this is just embarrassing


Is this a quote from your latest book on how to win friends and influence people ?
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AndrewT
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« Reply #28 on: January 26, 2007, 04:15:51 PM »

0?

for a bunch of so-called poker players, this is just embarrassing

Actually, because of the way the question was originally phrased, the zero was correct at the time.
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matt674
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« Reply #29 on: January 26, 2007, 04:16:16 PM »


lol, for a start the only reason bongo wrote this was because the original question stated "what are the odds of hitting a flush on a   when holding   Two Diamonds?"
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