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Author Topic: Question about Odds.  (Read 2044 times)
Mango99
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« on: March 23, 2007, 05:07:29 PM »

If I put 3 players into a festival and we all get drawn to play the same day, what are the odds that we all get drawn on the same table?

Say for this example there are 155 players on the first day, tables of 10 (and some 9's obv).
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AndrewT
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« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2007, 05:54:18 PM »

My attempt at this.

I assume 155 players and a ten seat table.

The chances of you taking your seat and finding your three backees is.

(3/154 * 2/153 * 1/152) * 84 = 7105/1

84 being the number of arrangements of three people at a nine seat table

9x8x7
  3x2
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SuffolkPunch
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« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2007, 06:01:53 PM »

My attempt at this.

I assume 155 players and a ten seat table.

The chances of you taking your seat and finding your three backees is.

(3/154 * 2/153 * 1/152) * 84 = 7105/1

84 being the number of arrangements of three people at a nine seat table

9x8x7
  3x2


Exactly what I was about to say 
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Mango99
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« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2007, 06:21:58 PM »

My attempt at this.

I assume 155 players and a ten seat table.

The chances of you taking your seat and finding your three backees is.

(3/154 * 2/153 * 1/152) * 84 = 7105/1

84 being the number of arrangements of three people at a nine seat table

9x8x7
  3x2


Aha, thanks for the answer Smiley

I actually meant 3 of us in total. Please can you do the math again lol Cheesy Or is that what your the above has worked out already?
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Sheriff Fatman
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« Reply #4 on: March 23, 2007, 06:38:40 PM »

There's a mathematical answer to this question and the 'as seen at the WSOP 2005' answer, where people were allocated seats as they registered for the event.  Consequently, groups of friends who registered together often found themselves at the same table.

I recall this from feedback made about the early events (as I was over there at the time).  I think they might have sorted things out by the time of the main event.

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« Reply #5 on: March 24, 2007, 11:44:11 AM »

My attempt at this.

I assume 155 players and a ten seat table.
The chances of you taking your seat and finding your three backees is.

(3/154 * 2/153 * 1/152) * 84 = 7105/1

84 being the number of arrangements of three people at a nine seat table
9x8x7
  3x2


Surely, the multiplier is 120, as we assumed a 10 seat table at the head of the equation?
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« Reply #6 on: March 24, 2007, 11:49:18 AM »

Does anyone have anything heavy that they require lifting?
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AndrewT
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« Reply #7 on: March 24, 2007, 11:52:32 AM »

My attempt at this.

I assume 155 players and a ten seat table.
The chances of you taking your seat and finding your three backees is.

(3/154 * 2/153 * 1/152) * 84 = 7105/1

84 being the number of arrangements of three people at a nine seat table
9x8x7
  3x2


Surely, the multiplier is 120, as we assumed a 10 seat table at the head of the equation?

You're already sitting in one of the seats. You're trying to work out the odds that three of the nine other seats are filled by your guys.

EDIT: Thinking about it again, I'm not 100% sure that's a correct assumption to make. But it's Saturday and I'm not spending my day thinking about A-Level maths questions.
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ariston
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« Reply #8 on: March 24, 2007, 11:53:26 AM »

why do you guys have to make things so complicated. Whichever table you get drawn on your 2 friends have to be drawn on as well. There are either 9 or 8 seats left on your table (depending on a ten or 9 handed table) and they have to occupy 2 of these.
9/154 x 8/153 = 325.5-1 on a ten handed table
8/154 x 7/152 = 418-1 on a 9 handed table

If there are an equal number of 9 and ten handed table giving you an equal chance of being drawn on a 9 or ten handed table we can just work out the mean average of the 2 figures giving you odds of 371.75-1 of being drawn on the same table table as you 2 mates.
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ariston

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« Reply #9 on: March 24, 2007, 11:55:10 AM »

Does anyone have anything heavy that they require lifting?

LMFAO!!!
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« Reply #10 on: March 24, 2007, 12:02:23 PM »

in fact thinking sensibly if there were 155 runners then that would be 11 ten handed and 5 nine handed tables so a mean average is no good.

(11x325.5)+(5x418)/16= 354.41 so the odds of being drawn on the same table as your 2 mates is 354.41-1.
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ariston

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« Reply #11 on: March 24, 2007, 12:04:41 PM »

in fact thinking sensibly if there were 155 runners then that would be 11 ten handed and 5 nine handed tables so a mean average is no good.

(11x325.5)+(5x418)/16= 354.41 so the odds of being drawn on the same table as your 2 mates is 354.41-1.


But he has 3 mates.......
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« Reply #12 on: March 24, 2007, 12:10:57 PM »

Very high in the Grovesnor, as I believe there is a glitch in there random draw software. I told them this about 12 months ago as in about 12 tournys me and a mate were drawn on the same table every time. I think its if you enter at the same time

as for the true mathmatical equation I cant be arsed to work it out
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« Reply #13 on: March 24, 2007, 12:15:19 PM »

in fact thinking sensibly if there were 155 runners then that would be 11 ten handed and 5 nine handed tables so a mean average is no good.

(11x325.5)+(5x418)/16= 354.41 so the odds of being drawn on the same table as your 2 mates is 354.41-1.


But he has 3 mates.......

read the thread granddad. A few posts down he says he meant himself and 2 mates. Another Tikay missread lol
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ariston

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« Reply #14 on: March 24, 2007, 12:18:42 PM »

  
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