Am I Beat?

[UpTheMariners]

SchlommeP - 110 hands, VP$IP 17, PFR 13, TA 2

GAME #625356986: Texas Hold'em NL $2.00/$4.00 2007-08-13 02:23:17
Table Andresito
Seat 1: P0nt00n86 ($399.00 in chips)
Seat 3: shipitthanks ($555.40 in chips)
Seat 5: RockBottom123 ($412.80 in chips)
Seat 6: SchlommeP ($514.60 in chips) DEALER
Seat 8: colinhh1 ($382.00 in chips)
colinhh1: Post SB $2.00
P0nt00n86: Post BB $4.00
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to P0nt00n86 [As ]
shipitthanks: Fold
RockBottom123: Fold
SchlommeP: Raise $12.00
colinhh1: Fold
P0nt00n86: Raise $32.00
SchlommeP: Call $24.00
*** FLOP *** [ ]
P0nt00n86: Bet $48.00
SchlommeP: Call $48.00
*** TURN *** []
P0nt00n86: Bet $55.00
SchlommeP: Raise $430.60
P0nt00n86: Fold
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $652.60 Rake $3.00
SchlommeP: wins $652.60


I'm not keen on my turn bet here, maybe $80-100 would of been better. Do you think I'm beat here?

[byronkincaid]

I fold. if he does this as a bluff maybe we'll get him next time.

[doubleup]

I can't really find a hand you are beating here.  I don't think a player with these stats calls a reraise with AT, unless you've been taking liberties with him.  He shouldn't really call with KQs/AJ either.  Looks a lot like 66 or JJ worried about a bad river and fairly certain you have an Ace, could even be AK with the nut draw, but that should be a bit worried about JJ.  If he's bluffing the turn, I can't see what he's calling the flop bet with, and the type of player he appears to be doesn't usually pull off this kind of audacious bluff.  So I think it's a fold.   

[AlexMartin]

Now THATS a great bluff.

[boldie]

Now THATS a great bluff.

I agree a lovely reraise there

[doubleup]

Now THATS a great bluff.

The problem is that you would have to call down a player capable of making it....

[UpTheMariners]

Now THATS a great bluff.

The problem is that you would have to call down a player capable of making it....

true and ive played no were near enough hands to decide

[doubleup]

Now THATS a great bluff.

The problem is that you would have to call down a player capable of making it....

true and ive played no were near enough hands to decide

My point was that it isn't really a good bluff because the kind of player who would make it would be called i.e. much more laggy.  I really dont see your opponent making this kind of bluff - he's too tight.  vp/pfr stats are usually roughly right after surprisingly small samples.

The hand actually illustrates the dangers though of playing oop and revealing your hand.  Presumably your re-raising range doesn't include AJ, so it's very unlikely that you would be full here.