TY Mant - someone gets the point I am trying to make
Hey Paul,
It's almost impossible for luck to even itself out. Firstly, a good and solid player can never dish out the beats as much as he recieves them. Simple reason being, he would not be risking his chips in a bad spot as much as he would with the best hand. And as we know, you can go on a run of losing with the best. In fact, I recall a friend of mine went out in eleven finals in row holding A-A. He actually gave up poker soon after that period (not saying that those beats were responsiblefor his retirement). But anyhow, he was one of those types of player who made very few mistakes. And as such, you would rarely see him behind in a any showdown. So how could the luck factor ever even itself out over a period?
But it also important to remember that there are varing degrees of luck. And as far as these are cocnerend, luck could more than even itself out. For example, six bad beats in a row in smalll events, and hitting runner runnner to win a major event.
Also, there must be players who are extremely lucky and unlucky. But at the end of the day, the more your play requires luck, the luckier you need to be. The thing is, there are players who play just like that. And to give an example.....
I remember how one top (very aggresive but somewhat loose) player, got extremely unlucky in a major event. This was in the late stages of the event and for a pot that would have virtually assured him a place on final. Of course, he said something about his bad luck. Then someone reminded him about the many beats he had dished out during a reccent good run he had had. And to his credit, he just smiled and noddded his head. It was the kind of nod that said yep, I know what you mean. I had played many times with the player in question, and the truth is, his ratio was about 10-1 in terms of giving and receiving beats.
PS,
The above same player, has actually changed his style of play in the last couple of years and has become far more selective with his hands. Perhaps in this example, luck will even itself out. Though I bet he hopes it doesn't!
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