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Poker Hand Analysis
call or fold ?
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Topic: call or fold ? (Read 2208 times)
bhoywonder
Hero Member
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Posts: 3238
call or fold ?
«
on:
August 30, 2007, 05:02:17 AM »
interesting hand here the other day at a live comp in my local club
thoughts much appreciated
18 man rebuy comp..we are down to 5,pays on 3..but usually there is a saver paid out to the bubble finish,so effectively we are on the bubble.....
we are on the button with
and are the chipleader with 60k in chips...180k in circulation..Blinds are 600/1200..
action is to us utg and utg +1 fold...I flat call hoping to get a cheap flop and take it from there..sb folds
BB min raises,I call anyway...
flop
now the BB bets 5500 into the pot..now this player is my only current threat he has 55k,and he ran his stack up by being very aggressive from an intial FT stack of around 20k.he was making moves a few times and really was the table captain,I was being more passive at the time,trying to pick my moments..
I decide to raise back to get a clear picture..I raise to 12000..
he calls fast
turn
...action is check check
river
..he moves all in
so do u call ur remaining stack around 44k or fold ( 110 k pot)...average at the time was 30k..
«
Last Edit: August 30, 2007, 05:06:00 AM by bhoywonder
»
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may your god go with you
Scottish Open Apat online gold medal winner 2008
pswnio
Full Member
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Posts: 246
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #1 on:
August 30, 2007, 09:50:49 AM »
I'm not too worried about the flush here - why would he stick in that size bet on the flop? And if he's got AA and was worried about you flushing, why wouldn't he bet you off on the turn?
What's your table image? Have you made any river laydowns to large bets?
I think I call here, although I would have raised the flop much more heavily - I don't think your raise was enough - and I would have bet the turn.
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Paullie_D
APAT Travel Guru
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Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #2 on:
August 30, 2007, 09:53:18 AM »
Beat me to it...I agree with everything above.
You hit your card...make him pay!
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Tragic
Sr. Member
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Posts: 625
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #3 on:
August 30, 2007, 02:06:49 PM »
He could possibly have AxJ
or Ax 8ss? Your raise on the flop just isn't big enough giving any flushdraw combo massive odds to call and hit, especially with the size of the stacks. The problem starts when you flat call pre to be honest, 4 handed 77 is never a limp with sizeable blinds. So raise pre, bigger reraise on the flop if the same occurs so at least you have more of a defind range for him. As it is i'm probably stacking on the river here but I'm not sure because there is no way in a million years I would be in that situation. Why aren't you following through your reraise n the turn? Passive poker = bad poker imo.
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kukushkin88
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Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #4 on:
August 30, 2007, 07:02:21 PM »
By playing so passively you've given him the impression (perhaps correctly) that you don't want to tangle with him due to the game situation with respect to relative chipstacks. You are almost certainly infront here, the hands that are infront of you here surely don't check the turn. It looks to me alot like a missed spade draw and he assumes (again perhaps correctly) that you'll fold a hige range of hands against him here. I call here it is basically an opportunity to take the tourney right here.
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MANTIS01
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Posts: 6730
What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #5 on:
August 30, 2007, 07:43:56 PM »
The first thing that strikes me about the way you play this hand is this comment...
Quote
I flat call hoping to get a cheap flop and take it from there..
I am not sure I understand your motivation here. We are short-handed...you have the benefit of position...you have the benefit of the chip lead...and most importantly you probably have the best hand right now. So why would you just call hoping to see a cheap flop? At this stage in the tournament your medium pair is likely to be ahead but may very well fall behind after the flop. So by flat-calling you are actually giving your oop opponents the chance to see a cheap flop! If your opponents want to try and out-draw you it is THEY who should be denied the cheap flop their inferior hands require.
The other thing is that by not raising you deny yourself quality information. The bb could be min raising with atc as an automatic response to your flat-call. If you raise 3x bb and THEN he min raises you, the chip leader, everything is much clearer for you. Just calling and then just calling this pre-flop raise is really putting you on the back foot in this hand when everything was in your favour a moment ago. There is no need to get yourself into this pickle.
His pot-sized bet on the flop suggests he has an ace of some kind and wants to finish things here and now. I think it is advisable for you to feel completely in charge of the hand now with your set. Re-raising is the way to go of course. You could push and represent a draw...he wont believe you have a made flush but wont think about the set and so may make the call. The more standard re-raise is fine though.
His quick call tells us he doesn't want to give up his ace...maybe with the K or Q of spades and his check on the turn is consistent with this. Why check the turn and give him a free card?....4 spades on board means you're folding the river! Of course checking the turn also sets yourself up for this dilemma...but it should be an easy call based on his aggressive history, the action so far and your strong hand.
«
Last Edit: August 30, 2007, 07:46:52 PM by MANTIS01
»
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boldie
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Don't make me mad
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #6 on:
August 30, 2007, 08:03:52 PM »
I'll only say 1 thing and that is that you should NEVER check the turn here. That's just a sure fire way to lose money.
PS it's a call about 99% of the time on the river. the other one % is when you're having a heart attack or choke or something like that and can't reach your chips and can't speak so you can't get someone else to stick them in for you.
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
doubleup
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Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #7 on:
August 30, 2007, 08:29:04 PM »
Quote from: boldie on August 30, 2007, 08:03:52 PM
the other one % is when you're having a heart attack or choke or something like that
This happens to me way more than 1% of the time online
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boldie
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Don't make me mad
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #8 on:
August 30, 2007, 08:30:39 PM »
Quote from: doubleup on August 30, 2007, 08:29:04 PM
Quote from: boldie on August 30, 2007, 08:03:52 PM
the other one % is when you're having a heart attack or choke or something like that
This happens to me way more than 1% of the time online
yeah but you ain't exactly a picture of health are you mate?
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doubleup
Hero Member
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Posts: 7056
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #9 on:
August 30, 2007, 08:45:34 PM »
Quote from: boldie on August 30, 2007, 08:30:39 PM
Quote from: doubleup on August 30, 2007, 08:29:04 PM
Quote from: boldie on August 30, 2007, 08:03:52 PM
the other one % is when you're having a heart attack or choke or something like that
This happens to me way more than 1% of the time online
yeah but you ain't exactly a picture of health are you mate?
lol silkcutaments
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boldie
Hero Member
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Posts: 22416
Don't make me mad
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #10 on:
August 30, 2007, 08:46:18 PM »
Quote from: doubleup on August 30, 2007, 08:45:34 PM
Quote from: boldie on August 30, 2007, 08:30:39 PM
Quote from: doubleup on August 30, 2007, 08:29:04 PM
Quote from: boldie on August 30, 2007, 08:03:52 PM
the other one % is when you're having a heart attack or choke or something like that
This happens to me way more than 1% of the time online
yeah but you ain't exactly a picture of health are you mate?
lol silkcutaments
lmao
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
bhoywonder
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Posts: 3238
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #11 on:
August 30, 2007, 09:17:19 PM »
thanks for the response guys ,and i gotta say im very surprised you are all calling here
but hindsight is an inexact science...lol
I know i played it bad from start to finish, preflop especially....I put this hand down to extreme tiredness ..i was up since 5am, done a 12 hour shift,then inexplicably decided to go play poker,time of the hand is now 2am....lol
my idea was to catch the 3rd seven which i did, if there were 2 overcards,I was basically done with the hand...i hadn't gave much thought to a suited flop....
so i took forever to call,even asking him ' You really flop a flush',i didnt get a tell...
he had
and im toast
basically his crap hand turned into a trap hand and he played it perfectly
my image was actually tight and when i bet i usually had the winner if a showdown was reached, so he knew that i was gonna commit more to the hand at some stage
reason for checking on the turn was to catch a free card,maybe house up, but to make sure no spade fell on the river ( I wish it did now)
I thought he played it with more than a little skill and told him so...
I on the other hand am a donkey and wont be playing poker again doped on caffeine and struggling from lack of sleep
cheers again..lesson number 435 concludes
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may your god go with you
Scottish Open Apat online gold medal winner 2008
pswnio
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Posts: 246
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #12 on:
August 30, 2007, 11:15:55 PM »
I think he played it absolutely dreadfully! Results-oriented, given that you had 77, it worked fine. But you limped in - unless you'd been playing very trickily, he couldn't have put you on a pocket or an ace, and most hands he's chasing away there when he should be wanting to be building the pot gently or checking to you and hoping you lead. I also really don't like his river bet - that's going to chase most hands away unless he thought you'd be strong enough to put him on a busted draw and call him. Obviously he hopes you have a hand after you raise his flop bet, but even so... I don't think his shove is +EV.
This is one the strangest hands I've seen in a while!
«
Last Edit: August 30, 2007, 11:19:01 PM by pswnio
»
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MANTIS01
Hero Member
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Posts: 6730
What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #13 on:
August 30, 2007, 11:32:15 PM »
Yep I agree. The guy is banging out 5.5k on the flop with the 2nd nuts in a 5-handed game. Only the Ace of spades (maybe) or a set are sticking around for this...the other 99% of hands are getting out of the way...and he makes nothing.
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bhoywonder
Hero Member
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Posts: 3238
Re: call or fold ?
«
Reply #14 on:
August 30, 2007, 11:45:36 PM »
thx again for the comments
and for the fact that u seem to be making the call also
no poker this weekend
having a wee break
maybe do me some good
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may your god go with you
Scottish Open Apat online gold medal winner 2008
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