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AlexMartin
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« on: October 04, 2007, 08:41:52 PM » |
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Ok so im tilting and playing super aggy when i get AA and rr a late position raiser. Flop comes down 5610 with 2 hearts (i have A hearts). I cbet, he raises to $120, i jam for $240 and he calls. He has 7h8h. Who is the favourite here and by how much?
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Bongo
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2007, 08:42:29 PM » |
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I'd say him about 55%.
Off to check poker stove.
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Do you think it's dangerous to have Busby Berkeley dreams?
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celtic
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2007, 10:24:28 PM » |
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Keefy is back  But for how long? |
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Rookie (Rodney)
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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2007, 10:32:45 PM » |
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taking into account you have the A hearts you are the slight fav here i think... about 54/46 to you.
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HI HELEN!
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UpTheMariners
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2007, 11:17:18 PM » |
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i think you already know alex
52/48 to 78
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« Last Edit: October 04, 2007, 11:19:00 PM by UpTheMariners »
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raab11
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« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2007, 11:23:31 PM » |
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coinflipage i think.
tho id prefer the 78
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"poker is like sex, everyone thinks they are the best but most don't know what they're doing"
Dutch Boyd
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UpTheMariners
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« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2007, 11:29:41 PM » |
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coinflipage i think.
tho id prefer the 78
yeah it's always nice to crack aces |
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Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
Learning Centre Group
Hero Member
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Posts: 10064
Go Ducks!
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2007, 12:57:42 AM » |
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Given you have the ace of hearts, i think this is around 55% for the   . He has 14 outs twice and some funky runner runner outs, but you obv can runner runner runner heart him. |
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Ironside
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2007, 02:07:15 AM » |
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given you have the Ah its about 56% you
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
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marcro
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2007, 08:46:38 AM » |
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The poker calculator says the 78 is 51.52% favourite.
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M3boy
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2007, 09:15:04 AM » |
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It is the same situation as 2 over cards and a flush draw against a lower PP - apart from funky runner runner stuff.
I have assumed the 5 and 6 are the two hearts.
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GlasgowBandit
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2007, 12:46:53 PM » |
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If the 5/6 are hearts then the 78h is 53% - 47% and 52% - 48% fay if not. Either way your beat, its the internet it always bites you in the arse |
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Smart Money
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« Reply #13 on: October 07, 2007, 02:43:06 PM » |
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14 outs = ~50% less r/r hearts = ~4% in your favour. +other negligable redraws/combos. I'd put the AA as a very slight favourite*, but it's very close to 50/50. *EDIT: Guess not. |
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« Last Edit: October 07, 2007, 02:47:01 PM by Smart Money »
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Author