This is a very tricky decision , being as it is a satelite.
You also have the cut off to act behind you. I would ask the following questions :
1) How many chips does the cutoff have?
2) Has the SB done this before? ie overbet pots? How have they played in general?
3) Why did you limp with AQ in this position with these chips?
4) What would you have done if the SB had made a squeeze play? Would you call?
I am almost certain you are behind here, and drawing to the flush (maybe an ace or Q as well). Certainly 60 40 at best (with them having just bare
). Your best case scenario (which I doubt is very likely) is Ax.
I probably pass here tbh, you still have 10xBB and the next level is only 500 1000 - ie not a huge increase. Remember, you are playing for 3rd spot, NOT to win it.
I would also add that if this was a normal payout structure I would call as I am playing to win.
I would also add that by flat calling in the position you were in and with your chip stack, you have created this dilema.
Ok, all good debate here. (1) cut off has me covered but he would have to have something incredble (nut flush - possible? or a set? - highly highly unlikely) to call given the SB pushed and I call all-in so I am not worried about him.
(3) I know that by limping I have created this dliemma but I didn't want to raise to pass here and open folding is just not an option. The table had been in general fairly active and I thought I had just the stack for someone to test me with a re-raise as they would probably assume they had a reasonable amount of fold equity so my limp in fairly ealry position was to allow me to get away from the hand if the action got too heavy preflop. (2) & (4) the sb, had so far shown he was fairly tight but not a rock, he had bet and raised just as frequently as any of the other players so a squeeze play gven his stack size and the chain limp reaction to me would have looked like a move so yes I was quite prepared to call here and take a shot that I had him dominated.
I know with 4/5 limpers, I need to catch the flop hard to continue with the hand and tbh I considered the flop to be excellent for me and if the action passes to me I am betting the pot or probably even the lot here as again I don't want anyone thinking they can get me off the hand. So when the SB moves in I called thinking he had the bare
or Ax and a small heart. It crossed my mind that he could well have 2pr but my outs to the re-draw were enough to warrant a call, especially that my strongest feeling was that I was already ahead. I didn't put him on a set as surely any pair pushes here pre-flop given the limping and with the flush (even a baby one) surely he check raises here?!
I also felt short compared to the table even though I have 10BB's if I pass. Although this is a Sat and I don't need to win it, I do still need to come top 3 for the seat so its not like I can fold my way to 3rd - this looked like just the spot to get all my chips in and thus leave me in a good position to negotiate top 3. In short a probable seat winning decision.
anyway... the SB had
for 2 pair and the board blanked out. I was cursing my call at first but on reflection feel that it was the right decision.
thoughts?>>>
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