Football Betting Systems

[GlasgowBandit]

Afternoon folks,

I was going to post this yesterday but I left the information in work and had to wait till I went in today to get it.

One of the guys I work with was talking a few weeks back about a betting system used for football, its based around a monster perm of matching accumulator for either 2,3,4, or 5 teams and then getting up a few correct scores.  Basically its based on opinions of football tipsters and then a math formula used to calculate form.  The information is gained from the "Glen Beavis Form in a Flash Guide" from the Sun Newspaper And the Racing and Football Outlook Paper.

Without going into the details of how it works, it is quite simple once you get your head around it but there is quite a lot of homework required and it involves working out some formulas before getting to the end product I will post my selections for today.  

Its recommended that you go for a 2 team accumulator to make more money over the longer period, I guess because its easier to get a double up than it is 5 games, as a degenerate gambles though I am going for a 5 team acca.  Again your supposed to perm it with every game on the coupon but due to the fact its FA cup day I have decided to miss out a few games where I definiteltly don’t see the prospect of a draw.

So my 5 team accumulator is Plymouth, Watford, Hamilton, Cowdenbeath and Raith Rovers note none of these teams are priced below 2/5 one of the rules that is set out in the system.

 I have also discarded all of Sunday games as I want to pick up any winnings tonight.

I have permed my 5 team acca with any correct score from 42 games that’s every game on the coupon minus the games at Billiericay v Swansea, Bury v Wokington, Carlisle v Grimbsby, Oxford v Northwich, Peterborough v Wrexham, Southend v Rochdale, Stockport v Staines and Gretna v Hibs.

The scores this system suggests you use are 1 - 1 and 2 - 1 win for the home team.  I don't have enough cash to have a bash at 2 results this week as I have permed all mines for a £5 42 bets at a £5 is £210 I could have went £2.50 instead and done both results.

Like any system this is definitely not full proof, I would hope if I get off to a winning start I'd decrease the teams in the acca and increase the stakes.  As I say its not full proof but the information pack I have shows that there where only a total of 14 loosing weeks over a 3 year period but on average the return was more than 3/1 on the total outlay for every week over the same period.

If any blondes want any further info or if you have tried this system or heard about it before feel free to post on here and we can get as much feedback as possible.

Perhaps it may be an option to start a syndicate if anyone is interested in having a bash at beating the bookies, would also limit the losses, if you have a good week one and take out initial stake then your effectively free rolling.

[AndrewT]

Watford drew and Raith got beaten at home - does this mean you win anything?

I'd be extremely wary of any system which includes a rule to perm something with every game on the coupon. What edge are you exploiting here?

[redsimon]

-£210, "system working well, send more money "

[GlasgowBandit]

I think my picking of 5 teams was just too greedy, the joys of a degenerate always chasing the big win maybe I should have stuck to picking 2 or 3 teams one of the bhoys who tried this just phoned me to say he has his 3 team acca up he went for Plymouth, Wolves and Dundee United.

His bet was £3 acca with anyone of 50 correct scores he done all games on the coupon for the day.

He  stuck to the 3 team acca and stuck to the system to the dot tanned his credit card for £300 and even put in the 2 - 1 results for the shortest priced teams - Normally this would be the home team but with it being FA cup day today many the shorter prices were away from home.

Anyway he's just been to the bookies and he has been paid £2,232.44

Happy days indeed now I hope he's getting the beers in the night since I am pratted.

There where 9 1 - 1 draws on the coupon
And 9 2 - 1 scores for the shorter priced teams in the matches.

I think the key to this is controlling the pick on the accas he said i was being too ambitious going for the 5 teams.  Overall its + evs on the day - just not for me

[bigalhx1]

looks like a bad system to me and your friend as he did not stick to it and went for the away teams and not as the system had said but good gl

[jizzemm]

looks like a bad system to me and your friend as he did not stick to it and went for the away teams and not as the system had said but good gl

I have to agree..

[GlasgowBandit]

looks like a bad system to me and your friend as he did not stick to it and went for the away teams and not as the system had said but good gl

The system, states that you should back the away team when they are the shorter price.

[henrik777]

43 games on Saturday at 3pm.

Man City and Notts F. 1.61 and 1.57.

41 other games at 1-1. 41 bets in total. (price the 1-1 around 5.5 - 1)


41 * 1.61 * 1.57 = 103.64

1.61 * 1.57  * 6.5  = 16.43

103.64 / 16.43 = 6.31

You would need to have more than 6.3 1-1 draws on average to make this better than just an outright double for the same total stake.

Sandy

[MKKfish]

A friend who is a prof backer/layer, has a 4 all draws bet each week in a 4 trebs & acca for £200 a line - one coup per season shows a profit. Suggest blondes do a hypothetical pick and see how they get on.

[redsimon]

43 games on Saturday at 3pm.

Man City and Notts F. 1.61 and 1.57.

41 other games at 1-1. 41 bets in total. (price the 1-1 around 5.5 - 1)


41 * 1.61 * 1.57 = 103.64

1.61 * 1.57  * 6.5  = 16.43

103.64 / 16.43 = 6.31

You would need to have more than 6.3 1-1 draws on average to make this better than just an outright double for the same total stake.

Sandy

Did you win much?

[henrik777]

Not bright enough to do just a good double. Good illustration of the value of the type of system though. ( i did not go near the system btw)

Sandy

[GlasgowBandit]

Good day for me

[henrik777]

Using the system ?

Care to share ? (i mean the details but the winnings would be better   )

Sandy

[GlasgowBandit]

Stuck by the system for picking teams permed 4 with correct scores in 50 matches, I chnaged a few results in games I just never seen being 2 - 1 and I also used the system to find my home bets on the coupon which I stuck into an acca, for a total outlay of £70 on Saturday I was up £1400 and this includes me taking into account a £280 loss I had on a few dogs and the roulette machine.

[TheChipPrince]

A friend who is a prof backer/layer, has a 4 all draws bet each week in a 4 trebs & acca for £200 a line - one coup per season shows a profit. Suggest blondes do a hypothetical pick and see how they get on.

Can you explain a bit more MKK, bit confused?