Lets Help each other

[smithy69]

There was a topic earlier in the week where there was a suggestion that if we find a good value bet we let others know

I think I have found one

On eurosport tonight there is a friendly between Costa Rica and France in France.

On the booking front, there is a a bet regarding bookings. the spread is currently 7 - 10. with 10 being a booking and 25 for a red

So basically if there is one yellow card in the match you lose nowt, if there is more than one then you are in decent profit - 10/1 every booking

The costa ricans are south american, and are known for their volatile behaviour when they are losing, and more importantly when they are losing badly.The french shud stuff them tonight, and i thinkt here will be at least 2/3 bookings in the game.

What do other people think then ill let them know the site so we all do it at once so the spread doesnt get bigger

[TightEnd]

Looks too good to be true...a normal price for bookings in a competitive match is in the 30-40 range

If the price you quote is correct (and it is a low key friendly, so it might be) then you can stake £10 a point at 10, be prepared to lose £100, and get £100 of upside for every booking above the first one

PM me the site!!!

[ifm]

me too

[smithy69]

shud i just put a link on the site

Im still waiting for confirmation of my account to be opened, so am worried about getting my bet on without the price going down

if i put the link on will you wait till later before backing

[TightEnd]

no don't link to it yet

PM to any interested once you are on yourself

[smithy69]

its now gone to 9.5 - 10 as we speak

id rather give you guys a winner, than wait for mine and lose the price for you guys

[smithy69]

Its back to 7 -10

something very starnge is going on

[TightEnd]

just tell us the site then...is it sporting index?

[smithy69]

bethilo

Get on and dont worry about me, they have spent 5 hours so far faffing about setting my account up, so doubt they will do it today lol

[smithy69]

Is the bet ok, it wasnt a mistake on there part was it. I think its too good to be true surely

[matt674]

just a quick pointer - the costa ricans are not south american they playout of the concaf zone as they are central american. most of their players are either based in europe or play in america. Whilst they are still from round that part of the world they are not as renown for their overly agressive style as the south americans and the game after all is a friendly and likely to be played at walking pace. the referee is likely to be a little more lenient than normal as well given as it is a friendly.

i think the market of 1 booking sounds about right to be honest

[smithy69]

Costa Rica in the last 18 games - friendlys included they have been booked 43 times with 3 red cards

France in the last 10 games - 11 yellows - 2 reds


this gives you an average of 36 points per game so the spread of 7-10 is very very genorous in my opinion

[TightEnd]

Matt674 is of course right...but i am being offered a bet with finite downside and 10x return for each booking after the first

17 of us here at work are on via www.sportingindex.com at 10, and the price ain't moved

I like the fixed risk/high reward here
 

[smithy69]

I agree its a friendly, but i just think it shouts value, if there are no bookings you lose 7 points - for the rewards that are possible i think its value

SHAME I CANT GET ON _ HURRY UP BETHILO

[TightEnd]

No you buy at 10, if there are no bookings you lose 10 points


it's how they make their money as odds setters, from the spread