|
EvilPie
|
 |
« on: August 02, 2008, 01:50:39 PM » |
|
Playing the £20 rebuy at DTD last night. I'm in for £100. 4 players left and the prizes are as follows:- 1st - £1736 2nd - £1042 3rd - £694 4th - £446 Total chips in play are 387000 and I have approx 110000 which means the deal gets me about £1050. Blinds are 2000/4000 ante is 400 so there is still room to play. I think I have an edge over 2 of the players and 1 I'm not too sure but he's sat to my right so I have position on him for now. One of the players seems to be in all in or don't bother mode and he's got plenty of chips so he's a danger. I'm confident of getting at least 3rd place and all night I've been very much playing for the win but would now be a good time to deal given the figures? Essentially I think I'm gambling £250 for the chance of winning an extra £700. Mathematically what's the most +EV thing to do? |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Motivational speeches at their best:
"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
|
|
|
|
boldie
|
|
« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2008, 01:53:13 PM » |
|
big stacks are favoured by a DtD style chop..so it's almost never a bad idea to take it when you have almost 1/3rd of the chips in play.
If you're CL with less than 25BBs with 4 players left means there isn't really lots of play left. I'd probably take the 1100 here depending on the other stack sizes (if two others are ridiculously short i obviously don't deal here)
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
|
|
|
|
snoopy1239
|
|
« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2008, 01:54:04 PM » |
|
Thickly veiled "I won some wonga! Woohoo!" post if you ask me.
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
Ironside
|
|
« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2008, 01:54:38 PM » |
|
you might be confident of getting 3rd but poker sometimes bites u on the ass
you are guarenteed 2nd place money in this deal you might get 3rd and get less in the deal
i would more than likely take the deal as it stands
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
|
|
|
Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
Learning Centre Group
Hero Member
 Offline
Posts: 10040
Go Ducks!
|
|
« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2008, 02:08:26 PM » |
|
If you have an edge over the rest of the table and we aren't at crapshoot leve though not super deep. You can stick any deal up your backside as far as im concerned.
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|
kinboshi
|
|
« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2008, 02:10:43 PM » |
|
Thickly veiled "I won some wonga! Woohoo!" post if you ask me.
Blatant brag post - no thinly veiled about it. I do have a complaint about DTD. They shouldn't put lights above Matt's head - the reflection off his shiny bonce was blinding us all on the cash table sitting a good 50 feet away. |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
'The meme for blind faith secures its own perpetuation by the simple unconscious expedient of discouraging rational inquiry.'
|
|
|
|
EvilPie
|
|
« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2008, 02:20:04 PM » |
|
Thickly veiled "I won some wonga! Woohoo!" post if you ask me.
Blatant brag post - no thinly veiled about it. I do have a complaint about DTD. They shouldn't put lights above Matt's head - the reflection off his shiny bonce was blinding us all on the cash table sitting a good 50 feet away. Barred!!!!! No complaints allowed!!! |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Motivational speeches at their best:
"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
|
|
|
|
EvilPie
|
|
« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2008, 02:26:03 PM » |
|
Thickly veiled "I won some wonga! Woohoo!" post if you ask me.
It would've been if I took the deal because I would've got 1st place and £1050. As it was I got 3rd for £694. At least it pays for the £300 tonight. It only took 3 hands after the deal was turned down that I started to think I may have made a mistake. I was getting more than 2nd place money and there was at least one player that I possibly didn't have an edge over. Another was playing it like a crapshoot even though it didn't need to be. Circumstances may have made the deal a good idea. Obviously if I'd won I would've thought I was the best deal turndownerer ever.  |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Motivational speeches at their best:
"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
|
|
|
|
MANTIS01
|
|
« Reply #8 on: August 02, 2008, 04:14:52 PM » |
|
Posted by: EvilPieIt only took 3 hands after the deal was turned down that I started to think I may have made a mistake. I think that could be the mistake
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Tikay - "He has a proven track record in business, he is articulate, intelligent, & presents his cases well"
Claw75 - "Mantis is not only a blonde legend he's also very easy on the eye"
Outragous76 - "a really nice certainly intelligent guy"
taximan007 & Girgy85 & Celtic & Laxie - <3 Mantis
|
|
|
|
EvilPie
|
|
« Reply #9 on: August 02, 2008, 06:33:24 PM » |
|
Posted by: EvilPieIt only took 3 hands after the deal was turned down that I started to think I may have made a mistake. I think that could be the mistake Good point Mr Freud. Seriously, it didn't affect my game at all I was after the win and that was that. The reason it was 3 hands later is that I lost a big pot and all of a sudden my edge had disappeared |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Motivational speeches at their best:
"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
|
|
|
|
Dewi_cool
|
|
« Reply #10 on: August 02, 2008, 06:41:38 PM » |
|
based on all info, YES
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
The very last hand of the night goes to Dewi James, who finds ACES and talks Raymond O’Mahoney into calling his all-in preflop bet of 15k. “If I had AQ, I’d call!” says Dewi. Raymond calls holding pocket 66’s.
|
|
|
|
MANTIS01
|
|
« Reply #11 on: August 02, 2008, 06:57:47 PM » |
|
Posted by: EvilPieIt only took 3 hands after the deal was turned down that I started to think I may have made a mistake. I think that could be the mistake Good point Mr Freud. Seriously, it didn't affect my game at all I was after the win and that was that. The reason it was 3 hands later is that I lost a big pot and all of a sudden my edge had disappeared lol ok. But it's like on Deal Or No Deal when they deal for like 20k then take out loads of blues and start crying and stuff when they find 250k in their box. I tilt badly when I see this. You don't know what is going to happen after you say no deal so loosing a hand later doesn't have any bearing on the validity of that original decision. Considering you came 3rd I would have dealt  |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Tikay - "He has a proven track record in business, he is articulate, intelligent, & presents his cases well"
Claw75 - "Mantis is not only a blonde legend he's also very easy on the eye"
Outragous76 - "a really nice certainly intelligent guy"
taximan007 & Girgy85 & Celtic & Laxie - <3 Mantis
|
|
|
|
boldie
|
|
« Reply #12 on: August 02, 2008, 11:56:15 PM » |
|
Posted by: EvilPieIt only took 3 hands after the deal was turned down that I started to think I may have made a mistake. I think that could be the mistake Good point Mr Freud. Seriously, it didn't affect my game at all I was after the win and that was that. The reason it was 3 hands later is that I lost a big pot and all of a sudden my edge had disappeared Wait a minute, so your edge was that you had more chips?...that doesn't mean you have an edge, that just means you have more chips  |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
|
|
|
|
ItsMrAlex2u
|
|
« Reply #13 on: August 03, 2008, 10:13:40 AM » |
|
surely more chips is an edge? (although admittedly thats not what I thought was meant before either)
|
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Best QM ever
FACT !
|
|
|
|
boldie
|
|
« Reply #14 on: August 03, 2008, 11:33:44 AM » |
|
surely more chips is an edge? (although admittedly thats not what I thought was meant before either)
Yeah it is, but it's not an edge in the way I would expect someone to say "I have an edge over this field" on a PHA board. |
|
|
|
|
Logged
|
Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
|
|
|
|
Author