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ifm
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« Reply #15 on: November 10, 2005, 10:56:27 PM » |
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camel hasn't got long left once his backers cop hold of him  and erm....teenage?? |
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Sometimes you have to suffer a little bit in your youth to motivate yourself to succeed in later life. Do you think if Bill Gates got laid in high school, do you think there'd be a Microsoft? Of course not.  |
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Harry Demetriou
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« Reply #16 on: November 10, 2005, 11:25:08 PM » |
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[[/quote]
So when you hit your 86th birthday you are saying that it is more likely that you will not see 87 than it is to see it ?
Or in other words you are saying there are at least twice as many 86 year olds in the world than there are 87 years olds and upwards. Don't think that can be right do you?
[/quote]
Sorry meant to say: There are at least twice as many 86 year olds as there are 87 year olds (and not and upwards).
Guess I am suffering from senescence......
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Ironside
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« Reply #17 on: November 10, 2005, 11:36:48 PM » |
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there only needs to be the same amount +1 aged 86 than 87+s to mean your favourite to die that year
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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Ironside
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« Reply #18 on: November 10, 2005, 11:40:28 PM » |
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sorry lets say there is 1001 people ageed 86 there needs to be 500 aged 87+ for 86 to mean your favourite to die that year i hope that clarifies it
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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tikay
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« Reply #19 on: November 10, 2005, 11:45:05 PM » |
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I have cracked it. There is NO AGE at which you are favourite NOT to see your next birthday. You are ALWAYS odds-on, & thus favourite, to see your next birthday. Thought it was a "cleverly phrased question", & I was right.
Come on Mr D, you need to do better than that.
Next!
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016). |
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Ironside
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« Reply #20 on: November 10, 2005, 11:47:26 PM » |
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tikay is the doc tells me i have 3 months to live the day after my next birthday i would be odds on not to see another birthday
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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tikay
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« Reply #21 on: November 10, 2005, 11:54:06 PM » |
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tikay is the doc tells me i have 3 months to live the day after my next birthday i would be odds on not to see another birthday
Well, "the day after" is a late bet, and would be voided. And Iron's scenario, God forbid, could happen at ANY age, not any given, specific, age. Send me the prize please Harry. |
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016). |
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Ironside
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« Reply #22 on: November 10, 2005, 11:56:57 PM » |
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ok tikay there is 5 people aged 106 in the world but only 2 aged 107+ so at age 106 you would odds on to die
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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ariston
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« Reply #23 on: November 11, 2005, 12:06:53 AM » |
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I would say that if you lived to 106 you wouldnt be odds against you living to 107. As the oldest person ever died at 119 (from memory or maybe I just made it up??) I would say 119 is the age you would be odds on to not see your next birthday as nobody else ever has. The argument about 5 106yr olds and only 2 107 yr olds doesnt work for me as maybe 33 107 yr olds got killed yesterday in a freak bungy jumping record attempt.
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ariston
better lucky than good
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Ironside
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« Reply #24 on: November 11, 2005, 12:08:55 AM » |
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maybe 33 107 yr olds got killed yesterday in a freak bungy jumping record attempt.
wasnt me sir honest i thought the rope was short enough but kiv forgot to atach it to the tower as he was bust eating a steak and sydney pie |
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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Heid
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« Reply #25 on: November 11, 2005, 12:09:55 AM » |
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119 is correct - there was an unconfirmed 123 as well, but 119 is the record.
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There is no emotion; there is peace.
There is no ignorance; there is knowledge.
There is no passion; there is serenity.
There is no bubble; there is the Final Table.
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tikay
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« Reply #26 on: November 11, 2005, 12:15:32 AM » |
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Just SEND ME THE PRIZE........
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016). |
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ariston
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« Reply #27 on: November 11, 2005, 12:23:30 AM » |
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Tikay you haven't won mate. This isn't a pure maths question its a statistical question. There will be an age somewhere in medical books/statistics where you are less than 50% to see your next brithday. There will be an answer somewhere if you do the research but to be honest I just cant be arsed.
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ariston
better lucky than good
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tikay
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« Reply #28 on: November 11, 2005, 12:33:18 AM » |
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SEND ME THE PRIZE........
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016). |
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Ironside
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« Reply #29 on: November 11, 2005, 12:35:28 AM » |
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did he tell you the prize was a poker lesson of ariston and ironside
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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Author