Ship or Fold?

[UpTheMariners]

***** Pacific Hand History for Game 66764673 *****
$2/$4 Blinds No Limit Hold'em - *** 08 16 02:57:08 2008
Table Grappa (Real Money)
Seat 8 is the button
Total number of players : 5
Seat 2: Feboman ( $400 )
Seat 5: SCC15 ( $410.3 )
Seat 6: Gr1msby ( $550.5 )
Seat 8: guess_what ( $416.39 )
Seat 9: Hlynzi22 ( $693 )
Hlynzi22 posts small blind [$2].
Feboman posts big blind [$4].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Gr1msby [ ]
SCC15 calls [$4].
Gr1msby raises [$18].
guess_what calls [$18].
Hlynzi22 calls [$16].
Feboman folds.
SCC15 calls [$14].
** Dealing Flop ** [ , , ]
Hlynzi22 checks.
SCC15 checks.
Gr1msby bets [$48].
guess_what calls [$48].
Hlynzi22 raises [$166].
SCC15 folds.
Gr1msby...

hlynzi22 is 21/15/2.31 (5000+ hands) solid player
SCC15 is 35/4.7/0.54 (100+ hands) loose passive

[AlexMartin]

fold

[action man]

fold

+1

[boldie]

fold

+1

yeah,I can't find the call here.

[lucky_scrote]

Easy shove.

[action man]

were only in for $60 odd,  granted we do have good fold equity, but when i shove this i expect to be snapped by a set, just screams a set imo

[Horneris]

Shove as its Pacific Poker. Shove Party & I Poker too.

Fold Stars & TILT.

[MC]

Don't think I get away from a shove here. Think the raise is too big for a set generally. I'm more concerned him having the ace high flush draw.

[boldie]

Don't think I get away from a shove here. Think the raise is too big for a set generally. I'm more concerned him having the ace high flush draw.

So you're saying you think he'll fold the ace high FD if you shove, yes?

[AlexMartin]

his range here is sets, 89, nut flush draw plus occasionally 6d7d, 10dJd. Stove your equity against this and if villain is solid then this range is right and ur fked.

[MC]

Obviously not but generally hard to believe we're not 50% here most of the time which pot odds dictate shove. On pacific im not ruling out JT or even T7 as possibilities. Ace high flush draw the only hand crushing us imo.

[boldie]

Obviously not but generally hard to believe we're not 50% here most of the time which pot odds dictate shove. On pacific im not ruling out JT or even T7 as possibilities. Ace high flush draw the only hand crushing us imo.

50%? where?

[MC]

if he has any worse draw that is the case which is very plausible here. JJ, TT. 89 seems too unlikely. 22 is possible but I stand by ship it in.

[MC]

I'm not saying it's wrong to pass here perhaps deepness of stacks makes this safer option.

It's tight and don't think you can say it's a straight forward pass.

[boldie]

if he has any worse draw that is the case which is very plausible here. JJ, TT. 89 seems too unlikely. 22 is possible but I stand by ship it in.

It is considering there is a 3rd person in there who flatted the 48$ bet and who is still to act. what do you think he has?