vampitup
|
 |
« on: November 18, 2005, 12:26:30 AM » |
|
Maybe we could all share some tips for the weekend's footie?
Just got back from a road trip playing fruits and didn't have PC access for 3 days, but I got my mate to put 300 on Yeovil for me on Tuesday night @ 8/15 on Paddy Power which he did for himself as well which returned a nice 160 profit each. The first bet from my new football bankroll!
My tips for the weekend (Professional football only, will look at non-league tomorrow!):
Accrington v Forest Green @ 1/2 (General) although it seems they are being narrowed slightly. They are a very good bet even at this short price. In top form having won at Grays last week and are currently 3rd. They have won 6/8 home games scoring average 2 goals per home game.
Forest Green only avoided relegation on a technicality last season due to another team's poor stadia. They are doing just as bad this season, with 6 points from 8 away games (50% defeat ratio), and are only off the bottom on goal difference.
Arsenal at Wigan @ 5/6 (1.89 on Betfair though). This is simply an amazing price. If this was in the cup last season Arsenal would have been 2/5 if not shorter. Expect Wigan's bubble to burst from this game on - they have not played any of the top 5 except Chelsea.
Sheffield United v Millwall @ 2/5. Again a short priced tip but look at the match ups. It's top v bottom and Sheffield United have an exceptional home record (8 wins and 1 draw from 9 games, conceding only 4 goals in the process). The only slight worry is that Millwall have picked up most of their points away from home but they are already 4 points adrift at the bottom.
Leyton Orient v Stockport @ 8/13 (1.71 on Betfair) Top v 3rd bottom. A good price for this match up. Orient are in excellent form including a good cup win on Wednesday night. Gary Alexander is one of the outstanding strikers in the division. Their record at Brisbane Road could do with some improvement considering their lofty league position but Stockport's form on their travels is woeful. 6 points from 9 games conceding 22 goals says more than enough.
Hamilton v Queen Of The South @ 4/7. Hamilton are on the fringes of the Promotion race and have had very solid form losing only twice all season. Queen of The South are being kept of the bottom only by Brechin who are terrible. 3 points and 3 goals from 7 away games says it all.
Let's see how they get on... Any more tips?
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
DTM488
|
 |
« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2005, 01:28:29 AM » |
|
Nottingham Forest to beat Southend United
|
|
|
Logged
|
When Tony G is on it aint worth watching
|
|
|
Robert HM
|
 |
« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2005, 04:48:06 AM » |
|
Nice work there vampitup, looking forwars to the weekend already
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
thetank
|
 |
« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2005, 06:17:46 AM » |
|
I don't like the price with sheffield united against millwall but the others look good to me 
|
|
|
Logged
|
For super fun to exist, well defined parameters must exist for the super fun to exist within.
|
|
|
Graham C
|
 |
« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2005, 08:23:47 AM » |
|
Reading to beat Hull too. Slightly better odds than the Blades game (Very slightly) but Reading are in good form too and I cant see them slipping.
Im definalty on the Arsenal game (come on lads) and Man U are a great price to beat Charlton (1.9 on betfair) perhaps cos Man U arent in great form atm but still a fair bet, when Man U play well, they do play well.
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
Nem
|
 |
« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2005, 09:21:28 AM » |
|
Maybe we could all share some tips for the weekend's footie?
Just got back from a road trip playing fruits and didn't have PC access for 3 days, but I got my mate to put 300 on Yeovil for me on Tuesday night @ 8/15 on Paddy Power which he did for himself as well which returned a nice 160 profit each. The first bet from my new football bankroll!
My tips for the weekend (Professional football only, will look at non-league tomorrow!):
Arsenal at Wigan @ 5/6 (1.89 on Betfair though). This is simply an amazing price. If this was in the cup last season Arsenal would have been 2/5 if not shorter. Expect Wigan's bubble to burst from this game on - they have not played any of the top 5 except Chelsea.
Sheffield United v Millwall @ 2/5. Again a short priced tip but look at the match ups. It's top v bottom and Sheffield United have an exceptional home record (8 wins and 1 draw from 9 games, conceding only 4 goals in the process). The only slight worry is that Millwall have picked up most of their points away from home but they are already 4 points adrift at the bottom.
4 weeks ago this happened: Millwall 0 - 4 Sheffield United, so I think that Sheff Utd are a guaranteed win. Although Arsenal haven't yet won away this season I still think that they will beat Wigan by 2 goals Charlton haven't beaten Man Utd in 15+ games so I think a Man U win there and Chelsea will definitely beat Newcastle
|
|
« Last Edit: November 18, 2005, 12:21:16 PM by Nemesis »
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
vampitup
|
 |
« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2005, 10:25:22 AM » |
|
Reading to beat Hull too. Slightly better odds than the Blades game (Very slightly) but Reading are in good form too and I cant see them slipping.
Im definalty on the Arsenal game (come on lads) and Man U are a great price to beat Charlton (1.9 on betfair) perhaps cos Man U arent in great form atm but still a fair bet, when Man U play well, they do play well.
This was actually the other game on my shortlist - but I decided against it because I feel that Sheffield United and Reading are of similar quality, whilst I feel Hull are a much better side than Millwall. Accrington game is tonight, I will be having 200 on it.
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
Rod Paradise
|
 |
« Reply #7 on: November 18, 2005, 10:31:34 AM » |
|
Watch out Queens have just appointed a new manager (got a draw with Stranraer (derby game) his 1st game in charge. They were a better team than their form this year suggests & someone's going to kop it from them.
|
|
|
Logged
|
May the bird of paradise fly up your nose, with a badger on its back.
|
|
|
vampitup
|
 |
« Reply #8 on: November 18, 2005, 10:36:07 AM » |
|
Watch out Queens have just appointed a new manager (got a draw with Stranraer (derby game) his 1st game in charge. They were a better team than their form this year suggests & someone's going to kop it from them.
Cheers Rod, do you know if he has signed any new players yet? Stranraer are hardly flying though!
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
Rod Paradise
|
 |
« Reply #9 on: November 18, 2005, 10:51:54 AM » |
|
Watch out Queens have just appointed a new manager (got a draw with Stranraer (derby game) his 1st game in charge. They were a better team than their form this year suggests & someone's going to kop it from them.
Cheers Rod, do you know if he has signed any new players yet? Stranraer are hardly flying though! No new players - but I'm always wary of a team with a new manager in his first couple of games.
|
|
|
Logged
|
May the bird of paradise fly up your nose, with a badger on its back.
|
|
|
johnlarsson
|
 |
« Reply #10 on: November 18, 2005, 10:59:54 AM » |
|
Mccall is a very very good 1st div manager also.
get all your dosh on the hoops
|
|
|
Logged
|
my profile is number 1888 ha ha ha lmao
|
|
|
patman
|
 |
« Reply #11 on: November 18, 2005, 11:07:14 AM » |
|
Johnlarsson, hoopster myself but dont think there is value in that bet for a couple of reasons 1. the value bet was the cup game where you could have had even money. 2. This game can be a draw and will be priced accordingly - also if you are not a hoops fan the margin for error is huge in this bet. Rangers have nothing to lose at all in this game as either way the manager goes eventually. Rangers will be set out to take a point. better value out there 
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
henrik777
|
 |
« Reply #12 on: November 18, 2005, 11:36:38 AM » |
|
Well 5/6 is pretty good to me.
I thought Rangers would be up for the cup game considering the pressure that was on them. They were truly awful.
How it'll be different this time i'll never know.
Sandy
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
patman
|
 |
« Reply #13 on: November 18, 2005, 11:44:46 AM » |
|
Hi sandy,
I know what you mean but for a bet for punters on here and not as a hoopster then caution is advised.
Rangers may not be playing well, may not be up to much as a team but they really are in the last chance saloon. They have nothing to lose at all and i expect a brusing encounter. A point is a victory and i expect them to go out for it. I am not saying that celtic wont beat them i just think that for a neutral its not a great bet.
Either way i`ll be there 12.30 kick of...how uncivilised
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
redsimon
|
 |
« Reply #14 on: November 18, 2005, 12:35:12 PM » |
|
Nottingham Forest to beat Southend United
A sure money loser...
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
|