Australian Open 2009

[ChipRich]

No1s made a thread yet i don't think, so..........


Whos going to win?


Whos on who?

[TheChipPrince]

GG Rich

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=39592.0

[ChipRich]

norrrrrrrrrrr, i kinda saw that thread. But i assumed that was just talking about Federer and would people back against him.

This is the Aussie Open in general.

This 1 wins imo.

[TheChipPrince]

Apart from the Williams sisters, the 2 faves, look at these names for scrabble points, jeez, loads of them

Jankovic, Jelena 5/1
Dementieva, Elena  8/1
Safina, Dinara 10/1
Ivanovic, Ana 12/1
Azarenka, Victoria 25/1
Wozniacki, Carolina 33/1
Zvonareva, Vera  33/1
Kuznetsova, Svetlana 40/1
Radwanska, Agnieszka  80/1
Kvitova, Petra 100/1
Cibulkova, Dominika 125/1

[ACE2M]

i'm on safina and djokovic.

[Rooky9]

Murray as fav is wrong for me. He has the form but in the same way as Tiger attacks the majors in gold I think rafa and federer will step it up here. Beating both in the same grand slam is a huge ask. Surely too big for a Brit/scot (depending on outcome obviously!)

[henrik777]

Beating both in the same grand slam is a huge ask. Surely too big for a Brit/scot (depending on outcome obviously!)

David Coleman would be proud.

Sandy

[mondatoo]

norrrrrrrrrrr, i kinda saw that thread. But i assumed that was just talking about Federer and would people back against him.

This is the Aussie Open in general.

This 1 wins imo.

Well saved imo nh wp

[Horneris]

ok, ill put this in here aswell:

Federer is extremly opposable on current form, he has looked flat in the last few months, its worrying. 

Djokovic has been awful so far this season and was beaten comfortably by Gulbis a couple of weeks ago so i couldnt back him atm.

Nadal is my favourite player but has started badly this season going down without much fight against Monfils, and he hasnt seemed to hit top form again yet since his injury at the back end of the next year. If you get the chance to see him in the early rounds and appears to be close to top form jam on the 4/1 while you can. Otherwise, id leave it.

Murray is the clear form pick, but isnt for me at 11/4. He hasn't shown enough for me so far in Grand Slams/when it matters yet. I also think he will be stronger in the US Open. I think he could make the final but I'd have him at closer to 4/1.

I'd be tempted to advise a bet on Nalbandian. He won the ATP tournament last week so his price isnt overly attractive, but hes the one player outside of the top 4 that could beat anyone on his day, and at 33/1 on Betfair i think its worth taking a chance that he is "on an on day" when it matters. He beat Murray in straight sets towards the end of last season and has beaten Federer on many previous occasions. The only big worry is his recent record in grand slams, where although making the latter rounds, has been comprehensively beaten by Dancevic, Monfils and Ferrero. Can be brilliant, can be awful. I hope he is brilliant.

Other outsiders;

Monfils has a decent draw and as previously stated has beaten Nadal already this year but i wouldnt rely on him to repeat this in the quarter finals of a grand slam where he will meet the Spaniard.
Del Potro is interesting, but i don't believe hes quite good enough just yet.
Roddick doesnt quite have the top top quality in the latter stages anymore when the ball is in play.
Simon beat both Federer and Nadal last season but there is an argument to be had that he is better on a Indoor Hard Court. I also don't think he'll prove to be the same force this season.

0.25pts win Nalbandian @ 33/1.

[mondatoo]

Not to clued up on betting on betfair what is 0.25points thing,cheers

[Horneris]

I'll put my bets in this thread each day.

I'm 9.63pts up so far for the new Tennis season from the ATP tournaments.

Yesterday was a losing start tho to the Aussie Open;

Mon Jan 19th.

3pts Kohlscreiber to beat Querrey @ 4/5 (Sporting Bet). Won/2-1 (Querrey Rtrd) + 2.4
2.5pts Dent to beat Delic @ Evs (Stan James/Direct). Lost/2-3 = -2.5

Running Total = -0.1pts

Ill update tonights bets in a bit.

[Horneris]

Not to clued up on betting on betfair what is 0.25points thing,cheers

The Camel is using it too on his Betting thread.

If you used a base of a point as £50 for example, 2pts = £100, 0.5pts = £25, 0.25 = £12.50.

I think its a better way of keeping track.

You set how much 1pt is to you, depending on how big you bet. It might be £1, it might be £100. But it remains the same throughout.

[TheChipPrince]

Its basically a % of your bankroll, so for example Horneris is minted so say his roll is £100, then he's wagering 25p on Nalbandian to win it...

But a roll can also, say, be 50 points, its depends how cautious/crazy you are, exactly the same as a poker roll would work with buying into tourneys...

[mondatoo]

Ahh I see,thanks

[Horneris]

Tues Jan 20th

2pts Scheuttler to beat Sela @ EVS (Totesport)
2 Istomin to beat Spadea @ 5/4 (Paddys)
2.5 Gonzalez to beat Hewitt @ 2.08 (Betfair)