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Poker Hand Analysis
What do we do now - & why?
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Topic: What do we do now - & why? (Read 12471 times)
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
What do we do now - & why?
«
on:
March 11, 2009, 12:40:27 AM »
I saw this hand on Sunday, at
DT
D
, & I thought it rather interesting.
It was in the £150 Freezeout, 5k starting points, & we are in Level 2 (50-100).
The Table is typical
DT
D
, everyone splashing around in pots, often 6 or 7 handed.
The Table influences are....
Random Scandie, fairly quiet.
Commodity Trader, old, with brown shoes.
Marcus
Bebb-Jones
. (3,800 chips). He's lively, tricky, & busy.
A Substantial East Anglian Pig Farmer. Last Passed a hand in 1997.
Me. (5,000 chips). Asleep.
On my BB, there are six limpers (standard), & I am dealt
,
We see this flop.
The SB checks, I check. I'm hoping someone takes a little stab at this, then I'll C/R big, to protect my hand against the bare big diamond.
UTG,
Marcus
Bebb-Jones
, now bets 400 into 700. He attracts 1 caller, (Pig Farmer) then it gets back to me.
So......
What range do we ascribe to Marcus?
And what should I do?
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Laxie
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Posts: 16000
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #1 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:47:16 AM »
Mr. Laxie reckons he has either
,
or
at the very least and yer in trouble. I reckon he has a decent diamond and an open end str8 draw. GL with that.
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I bet when Hugh Hefner dies, you won't hear anyone say, "He's in a better place."
turny
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Posts: 6234
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #2 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:49:21 AM »
jam
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Karabiner
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Posts: 22801
James Webb Telescope
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #3 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:50:35 AM »
Clear fold
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tikay
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #4 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:50:54 AM »
Quote from: Laxie on March 11, 2009, 12:47:16 AM
Mr. Laxie reckons he has either
,
or
at the very least and yer in trouble. I reckon he has a decent diamond and an open end str8 draw. GL with that.
So I should..........?
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http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
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Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #5 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:51:23 AM »
Quote from: inthebelly on March 11, 2009, 12:49:21 AM
jam
Why? (aka, "jam because?")
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
turny
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Posts: 6234
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #6 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:52:27 AM »
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 12:51:23 AM
Quote from: inthebelly on March 11, 2009, 12:49:21 AM
jam
Why? (aka, "jam because?")
cos your ahead most of the time
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George2Loose
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Posts: 15127
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #7 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:52:59 AM »
Jam for value against Marcus- he's a station
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Ole Ole Ole Ole!
Laxie
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Posts: 16000
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #8 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:54:17 AM »
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 12:50:54 AM
Quote from: Laxie on March 11, 2009, 12:47:16 AM
Mr. Laxie reckons he has either
,
or
at the very least and yer in trouble. I reckon he has a decent diamond and an open end str8 draw. GL with that.
So I should..........?
Re-pop to 900 and 'ask the question'.
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I bet when Hugh Hefner dies, you won't hear anyone say, "He's in a better place."
mondatoo
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Posts: 22503
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #9 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:58:53 AM »
Quote from: Laxie on March 11, 2009, 12:54:17 AM
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 12:50:54 AM
Quote from: Laxie on March 11, 2009, 12:47:16 AM
Mr. Laxie reckons he has either
,
or
at the very least and yer in trouble. I reckon he has a decent diamond and an open end str8 draw. GL with that.
So I should..........?
Re-pop to 900 and 'ask the question'.
You winding the old chap up ? You should respect your elders,shocking
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Laxie
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Posts: 16000
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #10 on:
March 11, 2009, 02:16:46 AM »
Wind up?! Not a hope! I've learned from the legend that is Gramps...just applying what he's taught us.
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I bet when Hugh Hefner dies, you won't hear anyone say, "He's in a better place."
MANTIS01
Hero Member
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Posts: 6733
What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #11 on:
March 11, 2009, 09:36:17 AM »
The SB checks, I check. I'm hoping someone takes a little stab at this, then I'll C/R big, to protect my hand against the bare big diamond.
The problem with this thinking for me is the chance to win a significant pot is pretty limited. You flop a flush like 2% of the time so it's a very rare occurence. When it does happen if you check hoping to entice a little stab and then C/R big, all you're gonna win is someone's little stab (unless you're beat). That doesn't seem a big enough reward for a rare hand like this. A protecting your strong hand mentality should be replaced with a making the most chips with your strong hand mentality imo. I think betting out into 6 other players is a better strategy...hopefully to entice that bare big diamond to raise, or somebody else to make a move. Then you can come back over the top. This is a better way to generate a bigger pot imo, especially at a table where chips are being splashed around. It is also a better strat for the stack sizes in play, cos when it gets back to you in this hand there's 30% of your stack in the pot, so jamming isn't unreasonable vs a pot-committing raise. If you bet out there could well be a much bigger % of your stack in there by the time it gets back to you. And if you're gonna put your stack in there the bigger the value you can muster the better imo.
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byronkincaid
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #12 on:
March 11, 2009, 09:48:41 AM »
i don't understand what "to protect my hand against the bare big diamond" means. you want him to fold?
quite like mantis' line. as played raise for value from bare ace, sets, any old crap pig farmer might have
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Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
Learning Centre Group
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Go Ducks!
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #13 on:
March 11, 2009, 09:52:37 AM »
Yup I like Mantis's line as well to lead out, it disguises your hand better and with stack sizes as allows to get it in if we get raised. So getting better value for our holding, check/raising here just screams strength and gains less chips generally.
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tikay
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Online
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #14 on:
March 11, 2009, 11:02:27 AM »
Thank you for the great replies, particularly for those by MANTIS, byron, & Longy - I agree wth them, with hindsight, & like the explanations as to "why". My only (minor) quibble would be this.......
i don't understand what "to protect my hand against the bare big diamond" means.
you want him to fold
?
True, & no. But I get in a mess here if I check, & they all check behind, & THEN the 4th Diamond turns or rivers!
But this is the essssence of the hand, I think, as Posted by MANTIS, & agreed with by byron & Longy & several others......
I think betting out into 6 other players is a better strategy..
With which, in hindsight, I wholly concur.
Now, 1 more question.......
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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