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Poker Hand Analysis
What do we do now - & why?
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Topic: What do we do now - & why? (Read 12718 times)
TightEnd
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #15 on:
March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM »
forget the hand, was it the "female" or male pig farmer?
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tikay
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #16 on:
March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM »
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
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tikay
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #17 on:
March 11, 2009, 11:06:19 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
forget the hand, was it the "female" or male pig farmer?
Female.
May I enquire as to why you used inverted commas for "female"?........
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TightEnd
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #18 on:
March 11, 2009, 11:06:58 AM »
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
Automatic call for the 1,900 odd more
His range is a bare big diamonds, and sets as well as made flushes. If he has one so be it
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RED-DOG
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #19 on:
March 11, 2009, 11:09:57 AM »
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 11:06:19 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
forget the hand, was it the "female" or male pig farmer?
Female.
May I enquire as to why you used inverted commas for "female"?........
In this case, inverting the commas would be infinitely preferable to inverting the female.
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mondatoo
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #20 on:
March 11, 2009, 11:12:03 AM »
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
Snap, oh and fist pump shove whilst your at it
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kinboshi
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We go again.
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #21 on:
March 11, 2009, 11:14:33 AM »
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
He shoves and it's hand in the air time, surely that's the result you want?
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MANTIS01
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What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #22 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:00:32 PM »
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
Other reasons to bet out include...a) avoiding the checked round scenario you fear...and b) because you maximise your oppo's potential to make a mistake. Let's say you check the flop and then jam to a bet...which was the original strat...you are now asking your oppo to make a
5k
mistake by
CALLING
all his chips into the pot with a worse hand. There will be very few hands that will make that
5k
mistake if they can't beat you imo. However, when you bet out...and I would suggest 400 in order to entice a raise...you are then giving any one of 6 oppos the opportunity to
RAISE
2k
with worse. So you can see a much greater range of hands will
raise 2k
than
call 5k
...and as such you're giving max rope for oppos to make a cheaper and more easily made mistake with worse. And you must look for ways to give max rope to these hands to make it a longterm winning hand for you...cos you will get beat sometimes. As played the chips go in quick.
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tikay
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #23 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:03:52 PM »
Quote from: MANTIS01 on March 11, 2009, 12:00:32 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
Other reasons to bet out include...a) avoiding the checked round scenario you fear...and b) because you maximise your oppo's potential to make a mistake. Let's say you check the flop and then jam to a bet...which was the original strat...you are now asking your oppo to make a
5k
mistake by
CALLING
all his chips into the pot with a worse hand. There will be very few hands that will make that
5k
mistake if they can't beat you imo. However, when you bet out...and I would suggest 400 in order to entice a raise...you are then giving any one of 6 oppos the opportunity to
RAISE
2k
with worse. So you can see a much greater range of hands will
raise 2k
than
call 5k
...and as such you're giving max rope for oppos to make a cheaper and more easily made mistake with worse. And you must look for ways to give max rope to these hands to make it a longterm winning hand for you...cos you will get beat sometimes. As played the chips go in quick.
Which neatly explains a huge weakness in my game - getting value for my "big" hands.
But the hand has not finished yet.........
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turny
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #24 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:05:04 PM »
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
so you were looking to pot bet pass were you?
cant believe your asking this question, its 1900 more is there a question to ask?
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tikay
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #25 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:13:01 PM »
Quote from: inthebelly on March 11, 2009, 12:05:04 PM
Quote from: tikay on March 11, 2009, 11:05:25 AM
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
so you were looking to pot bet pass were you?
cant believe your asking this question, its 1900 more is there a question to ask?
Never - where did I suggest that? I was never Passing.
Wait until the whole "reveal". The hand was, I thought, played very "interestingly", & I thought it worth sharing the "what's & why's" by both players. It's perfect PHA fodder, in my view, from which I, for one, have learned something. If he shoves, what do we think he has?
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turny
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #26 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:20:07 PM »
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
you wasnt asking what he had you were asking what we do? not a valid question imo thats all
if you asking what he might have then he probably gambling with the ace of diamonds
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EvilPie
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #27 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:23:03 PM »
I usually bet out around half the pot here but I don't mind the check either.
If it's checked round as long as we see a none diamond (which statistically we should) our lead out then looks far more like a steal attempt and much more likely to induce a raise.
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tikay
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #28 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:24:23 PM »
Quote from: inthebelly on March 11, 2009, 12:20:07 PM
So, we should have bet out - pot-sized? - for the reasons detailed above.
Right, we bet out, let's say about the pot - 1,500 ish.
What do we do if Marcus now shoves? He has, I think, 3,400 behind at this juncture.
you wasnt asking what he had you were asking what we do?
not a valid question imo thats all
if you asking what he might have then he probably gambling with the ace of diamonds
In the context of PHA, & learning something (me certaihly, & maybe others) the question is wholly relevant. "What do we do?" & "what has he got?" are kinda linked.
I loved the way the hand played, but please note I have not finished explaining it yet. I just think I/we learn more if we take it step by step.
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tikay
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Re: What do we do now - & why?
«
Reply #29 on:
March 11, 2009, 12:26:09 PM »
Quote from: EvilPie on March 11, 2009, 12:23:03 PM
I usually bet out around half the pot here but I don't mind the check either.
If it's checked round as long as we see a none diamond (which statistically we should) our lead out then looks far more like a steal attempt and much more likely to induce a raise.
Matt, what are you putting Marcus on here?
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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