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Poker Hand Analysis
Flopped combo draw
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Topic: Flopped combo draw (Read 1637 times)
TightEnd
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Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Flopped combo draw
«
on:
June 16, 2009, 01:48:13 AM »
20 left in a live £100 MTT, 7 paid
blinds 600-1200
hero bb with
25,000 stack
utg+1 limps, means v little
button chip leader with 45,000 limps. Quite spewy pre-flop, wide range and mixes up limps/raises and prone to applying max pressure post flop..big overbet push of QQ into two opponents in the blinds recently on a 2-3-5-6 flushing board that had the table open its eyes, seen similar earlier too
hero checks the option
flop
Hero bets 2,500 with a view to pushing all in over any raiser
early limper folds, Button calls
Pot 8,600
turn
Continuing the story of having a made hand (better than second pair) Hero bets 5,000. Called after a long dwell.
Do you also bet here, or check-call?
Pot 18,600
river
I have him on a Jack, I've not played it like I'm drawing so my hand should be disguised. Could he be drawing pre-river?
Hero has 17,000 or so left
Pot size 18,600
value bet? push? stopper bet? check-call? check for him to bluff?
As played I bet 8,500, he monster dwell pushes and I call, not leaving behind what's in the middle.
Fire away. I play (or have played) these drawing hands so poorly, so passively so often, that I've begun to open out and play them to pot build/win big when I hit. I am all ears, particularly re bet sizing and what position I want to get to for when I hit, if that makes sense
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I watch the world outside
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AlexMartin
spewtards r us
Hero Member
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Posts: 8039
rat+rabbiting society of herts- future champ
Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #1 on:
June 16, 2009, 03:19:22 AM »
would rather a CR on the flop tbh given stack sizes. b/3b is cool too but oop turn and river will be problematic given the equity flip of our monster draw on the turn.
bet slightly more on the turn so you can jam the river when you brick. he will be in a tough spot and 3 barrels>>>>>2. On turn i love leading again, he has a tonne of 1pr+gutters/str8draws in his range that will usually call a checkraise and will be good some of the time.
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Claw75
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Posts: 28410
Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #2 on:
June 16, 2009, 12:19:39 PM »
not that you can learn anything from me, but I probably play this hand pretty much identically, so would be interested too to hear the views of the better players!
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"Arguing with idiots is like playing chess with a pigeon....no matter how good you are the bird is going to shit on the board and strut around like it won anyway"
TightEnd
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #3 on:
June 16, 2009, 12:23:45 PM »
Quote from: Claw75 on June 16, 2009, 12:19:39 PM
not that you can learn anything from me, but I probably play this hand pretty much identically, so would be interested too to hear the views of the better players!
what do you have him on after the turn?
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byronkincaid
Hero Member
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Posts: 5024
Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #4 on:
June 16, 2009, 12:43:31 PM »
i wonder if a case could be made for checking the river, he will bet smaller flushes, if he has missed you give him the chance to bluff, he may bet some weaker hands as you said "prone to applying max pressure post flop", if he were a more timid showdown bound player then obv you need to bet
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Claw75
Hero Member
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Posts: 28410
Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #5 on:
June 16, 2009, 01:19:13 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on June 16, 2009, 12:23:45 PM
Quote from: Claw75 on June 16, 2009, 12:19:39 PM
not that you can learn anything from me, but I probably play this hand pretty much identically, so would be interested too to hear the views of the better players!
what do you have him on after the turn?
I don't think he has a jack, or I'd have expected a raise on the flop. I think he's most likely got QT or a flush draw.
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"Arguing with idiots is like playing chess with a pigeon....no matter how good you are the bird is going to shit on the board and strut around like it won anyway"
mondatoo
Hero Member
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Posts: 22503
Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #6 on:
June 17, 2009, 12:41:29 AM »
Quote from: byronkincaid on June 16, 2009, 12:43:31 PM
i wonder if a case could be made for checking the river, he will bet smaller flushes, if he has missed you give him the chance to bluff, he may bet some weaker hands as you said "prone to applying max pressure post flop", if he were a more timid showdown bound player then obv you need to bet
I'm really not keen on the river bet tbh,i don't see many players making this kinda bet without having close to the nuts(or being pretty advanced player) it's like your begging for a call and don't want to shove all in incase he doesn't call.As alex said betting more on the turn so you can shove the river is best way to play it imo.Good bet sizing ftw
As played i like the line off checking the river to induce
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MANTIS01
Hero Member
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Posts: 6734
What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #7 on:
June 17, 2009, 01:52:52 AM »
I actually think betting the river has a lot of merit. There aren't really many drawing hands that have missed here to think villain will bluff with air. I'd prefer checking if I held K-Q and the river was a red 3 cos it gives a wider range of likely hands the chance to bluff.
From the river options you gave us Tighty...
value bet? push? stopper bet? check-call? check for him to bluff?
...the most hideous choice for your hand is the stopper bet. WTF! You've bet the flop and the turn chasing your draw...you hit the 3rd nuts on the river...and you consider putting in a stopper bet? To stop what from happening exactly? It would be a horrible bet selection for your actual hand...so I think that's exactly what you should do. Mondatoo says the bet looks like it's begging to be called, but i'm not so sure...wouldn't any stopper bet look like it's begging to be called? You'd certainly prefer that stopper bet to be called rather than raised if you had pairs/2pairs/sets etc. I would like to see the bet size even smaller, maybe 1/3 pot, cos surely you'd vb more after hitting gin. If you put in the stopper you deffo look like a flopped hand and you offer spewy villain an easy chance to represent the flush by raising and you have a better chance to stack him altogether imo. If you check and IF villain does decide to bluff a random hand with no showdown value he will fold when you jam so how much more do you really make longterm?
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the sicilian
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Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #8 on:
June 17, 2009, 02:07:45 PM »
Who was player tighty??
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Just because you don't like it...... It doesn't mean it's not the truth
TightEnd
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Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #9 on:
June 17, 2009, 02:12:19 PM »
Quote from: the sicilian on June 17, 2009, 02:07:45 PM
Who was player tighty??
James Miller, wiry South African seen there much recently
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Flopped combo draw
«
Reply #10 on:
June 23, 2009, 09:12:23 PM »
In this one he had
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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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