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Poker Hand Analysis
Line Check from DTD £300
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Topic: Line Check from DTD £300 (Read 5390 times)
GreekStein
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Line Check from DTD £300
«
on:
September 08, 2009, 04:45:02 PM »
Background: We've only been playing a few levels and I've certainly been pretty active but I've only 3-bet once so far pre flop and I've also showed down a flopped 2 pair to win a fairly meaty pot.
Hand: I'm on the button with 13,300. Its 75/150. Villain has c15/16k and is in the cut off.
Important thing to note is that I don't look at my hand until it gets to me. When I look round the table quickly I notice cut off has looked at his hand and is holding it between his knuckles (seemingly about to muck). It then folds round pretty quickly to him. He puts his cards back down and raises to 450.
I decide to 3-bet to 1300. I now look and have K4ss. Blinds pass and he calls.
Flop.... A 10 6, rainbow. I bet 1600 and he thinks for 45 seconds and calls. My read on him is really weak.
Turn... 8. Again he checks and I decide to barrel again. This time I bet 2900. He thinks a bit longer this time and calls.
River....5. I don't usually fire 3-barrels on boards this dry but I don't think there's much he can call with, esp with my read that he's weak. I move in for 7500. He thinks for a good two minutes and puts the chips in.
What do we think of my line, including bet sizing and what would we need to call in his shoes?
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Sam Proffitt
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #1 on:
September 08, 2009, 06:18:05 PM »
Interesting hand, I have a similar one which I'll post a bit later.
Before I look at the hand, a side note is that its really good that a) youre looking at other people and their behaviour as the hand comes out and b) youre not looking at your cards until you act.
For less experienced players: the benefits of a) are obvious, in terms of b) not only does this make any moves based on what your body language is from other players to act before you impossible, it also means that in a tourney like this where youre playing for hours on end, it will make the day go a hell of a lot faster and is generally a good thing to do which most dont. I know you know this, Im just saying, for others!
3betting pre is perfect, you have your read and youve gone with it and youre in great position to take it down there and then, and even if not then you are in position to outplay postflop.
The flop is pretty perfect for you and the bet is standard.
The turn has a lot to do with how youve played thus far. Have you been 2 barrelling alot? With what likely hands? Does V think you would 2 barrell with AQ/AK or would you check and try to control the pot size a little? I would generally be tempted to do the same in this spot and again i think the bet-sizing is good but against certain opponenets, it is more believable to check back the turn and fire the river.
On this river you have 2 options, give up or shove and throughout the hand you have perceived him as weak so i am in the camp of ship it in and pray hes not as bad as he looks and doesn’t call you down with A2.
However, this is the point at which your hand most looks like a bluff as pretty much the only thing you are shoving here for value is AA or 1010 which follows the line you’ve taken.
In terms of what he should be calling with, on the river I actually think he can call with any ace or even a ten, because the shove looks either monsterously strong or a total bluff, however, he should have given up the hand before then anyway because you look strong on all other streets.
Don’t forget even though it’s the £300 deepstack, the players are still on the whole pretty bad and once V has called the turn he is almost always going to call a blank river too
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AlexMartin
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #2 on:
September 08, 2009, 06:41:33 PM »
Cool hand. Would want more of a read on his player tendencies, old/young, active/tight/spewy etc before making this 3ball. Also, I am slightly concerned with the 8 and 5, would be much happier if one/both were some KQJ, simply because we know he has some weak tp type hand that cant take 3 streets of heat but might have just binked and id want to reduce those combinations. Flop timing is interesting, lot can be drawn from it but really depends on amateur/pro, reads etc. I dont rule out A10 with a 45 second think anyhow.......
Problem i have biggest issue with is the bestising, i dont think we are deep enough to fire 3 effective barrels without getting villain pot-commited by the river. Looks like on villain we are shipping 7500 into 12000 ish, dont like this so much. If we can jam 10/11k villain has a tougher time w AJ/A9.
All in all, i think its a really well played hand if villain is weaktight, but im not sure if its necessary to take such high risk/reward in a comp where your postflop edge is significant and the structure is slow enough that u can chip up risk free. Save this 5hit for day 2 imo.
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EvilPie
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #3 on:
September 08, 2009, 06:42:02 PM »
You have to think how would you have played a strong hand here?
If you've 3 bet a strong hand here such as AK or AQ do you really fire 3 barrels? I think a set fires 3 times so you could be playing AA or 10 10. Even these though you possibly check the turn to try to show some weakness. It's also highly unlikely that you've hit a set.
Your strong betting isn't to protect anything as the board isn't dangerous given the pre flop action. You've either got the lot or very little.
Oppo could easily have a set although your reads on him suggest that's doubtful. 2 pair definitely a possibility but again given the read pre that he was mucking what can he possibly have??
Tough one mate.
Personally I would never be in oppo's situation as I don't look before it's my action. If I raise the cut off with shite I don't defend unless it's nicely connected shite so I could easily make a call here with 2 pair, 6 8, 8 10 etc.
Maybe oppo was expecting a raise so was looking to pass his A rag. If I open with an A and get raised by the BB or SB it won't be easy to push me off it in position when I hit even though my kicker's shite. The stronger your action looks the more likely I am to call.
So for me if I got in to this situation I'm calling with top pair. I don't even see the turn or river with less.
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vinni
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #4 on:
September 08, 2009, 06:57:59 PM »
i`d say he would call on the flop to make a move on the turn or river ,i`d say he had K 8 .AND CALLED ON THE RIVER .
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MANTIS01
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What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #5 on:
September 08, 2009, 06:59:01 PM »
I always fail to see the point in asking a question like 'what would you need to call in villain's shoes'. The answers you get wont help you to understand the mindset of this villain, they only reveal the mentality of the poster, and considering you aren't in a pot with the poster what does it matter what they would call with? Your read on villain is weak pre-flop so you 3-bet. How does he respond? He calls the re-raise with his weak hand. Flop - your read on villain is weak so you bet. How does he respond with his weak hand? He calls. Turn - your read on villain is weak so you bet. How does he respond? He calls with his weak hand. River - your read on villain is weak so you bet. What do you think villain is going to do with his weak hand? I mean I don't think you should be thinking he's weak so I should deffo bet, because it is very clear weakness is not stopping him calling and it is clear he isn't drawing. Bluffing at a player who can't fold is only something to address in your own game imo.
As a side note the mark of a good player is that when a big pot is played they usually have a hand, i've read 3 hands from this dtd tournament now and on all 3 occasions a big pot has been played and hero has had abs feck all.
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TightEnd
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #6 on:
September 08, 2009, 07:03:35 PM »
Cos, he wouldn't check call A-x on flop and turn into someone he thinks might be aggro?
I suppose he called with a lot less, just saying I'm not sure the third barrel stacks up much given the action
p.s nice post!
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George2Loose
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #7 on:
September 08, 2009, 07:03:46 PM »
I think he saw that you saw that he was going to muck therefore he thought that you thought he was weak.
He level twelved you Cos
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salfi
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #8 on:
September 08, 2009, 07:17:28 PM »
your line looks like air or nuts. i always call u here really light as i dont think u put third barrel in with marginal hand as ude be happy to showdown(unless we have history). in these spots thinking players tend to have air alot more then they have the goods(online it would go bet bet shove by a bluffer who shoves river in desperation)live it gos bet bet pleae fold bet . but i have called down with a bare ten in this type of spot with the same logic of nuts or air and been shown ace rag to be tottally valued townd by live and online players. so mhhhh what do i know.
also if he calls u on turn he should prob not folding river as your range of bettin 3streets of value should be thin and your bluffing in position probly accounts for more of ya range then value betting 3streets of value. my choice is made on the turn if im out of position and i call the turn then feel free to pwn me with a shove on the river as i never call turn to fold river. i can call turn to fold river but i have to know your tendencies a little more if im going to call turn to fold river.
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GreekStein
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #9 on:
September 08, 2009, 08:20:01 PM »
Discussed this with Rooks in the car on the way home. We agreed that in retrospect I just didn't really need to make a move this early though with my read on him I don't feel I did anything wrong.
Villain did eventually call after about a minute and a half's tank with K8. He said afterwards that he was floating me on the flop. (From OOP with K8 - [ ] wp)
I'm probably firing 3-barrels on such a dry board as a bluff such a tiny % of the time that I think his call shows a huge loss but w/e. Fair play I got pwned in that hand but the guy was out less than 2 hours later.
I don't agree with anyone who says my line is air or nuts, i.e 1010/AA. 100% I valueshove this river with AK and AQ.
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AlexMartin
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #10 on:
September 08, 2009, 08:21:25 PM »
do we play AK like this?
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GreekStein
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #11 on:
September 08, 2009, 08:22:31 PM »
Sometimes I flat pre Alex but yeah why not?
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titaniumbean
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Equity means nothing.
Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #12 on:
September 08, 2009, 08:38:59 PM »
Where's the need for pre there aren't even antes?
Can we check back turn fire river to try to more credibly rep AK?
It depends how much he is thinking, could check the flop to rep an actual hand that just doesn't like the A if he's not likely to snap lead the turn everytime we dont bet flop. If he hand reads then it's not like your repping much 3 betting and 3 barrelling an a high rainbow board in a deepstack situation where you are better than people. so why not just red line winnings the feck out of everyone instead of doing our stack like this?
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titaniumbean
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #13 on:
September 08, 2009, 08:42:54 PM »
Quote from: GreekStein on September 08, 2009, 08:20:01 PM
Discussed this with Rooks in the car on the way home. We agreed that in retrospect I just didn't really need to make a move this early though with my read on him I don't feel I did anything wrong.
Villain did eventually call after about a minute and a half's tank with K8. He said afterwards that he was floating me on the flop. (From OOP with K8 - [ ] wp)
I'm probably firing 3-barrels on such a dry board as a bluff such a tiny % of the time that I think his call shows a huge loss but w/e. Fair play I got pwned in that hand but the guy was out less than 2 hours later.
I don't agree with anyone who says my line is air or nuts, i.e 1010/AA. 100% I valueshove this river with AK and AQ.
105 bets with tp as a standard or is this just against this specific type of player?
sets/A8s/A6s/ possibly AK-AQ
I think i'd prefer smaller bets on flop turn and river to 'try and widen his value range on such a dry board'.
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Pyso
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Re: Line Check from DTD £300
«
Reply #14 on:
September 08, 2009, 09:02:34 PM »
I've only just seen this but I agree with the replies here - the shove doesn't make a lot of sense, especially at this stage of a deepstack. I think mantis sums it up best.
Nothing wrong with letting go occasionally.
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