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Author Topic: NFL Week 14: My picks  (Read 3434 times)
TightEnd
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« on: December 09, 2005, 02:46:45 PM »

Firstly a risky one

Indianapolis are unbeaten after 13 games. Only one team, the Miami Dolphins in 1972, has gone through a sixteen game season unbeaten

Indianapolis are 7 point favourites away at Jacksonville who are 9-3 and need to win to ensure the play offs

Earlier this season Jacksonville ran Indy very close in Indy

This is a very small stakes sell Indy at 7

Next Dallas to beat Kansas City at 3. Dallas needs to win. It's now or never. good team at home.


Houston are the worst team in the league, but there have been modest signs of improvement. Away at Tennessee, another bad team, Tennessee are favoured by 5 points. This is another modest sell.

Finally Oakland are 3 point favourites at the Jets, the most disappointing team in the league this year compared to pre-season expectations. I think that is good vale

To recap, buy

Dallas over Kansas at 3
Oakland over the Jets at 3

Sells, modest stakes, be careful

Indy over Jacksonville at 7
Tennessee over Houston at 5

Good luck
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Robert HM
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« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2005, 02:59:26 PM »

Thanks for those, to show you how mush I trust you I have put the lot on.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #2 on: December 09, 2005, 03:01:56 PM »

 Shocked
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« Reply #3 on: December 09, 2005, 03:37:09 PM »

cheers TightEnd, fingers crossed
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« Reply #4 on: December 09, 2005, 10:46:47 PM »

Agree with the Oakland bet.

I think that the Indy bet is too close to call. I think they will win, but not by many

Houston are just a BAD team, and i cannot see them winning at Tennessee.

Dallas MUST win vs Kansas to keep their season alive.  Another close game, with the homefield advantage just  tipping it in Dallas favour.
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« Reply #5 on: December 10, 2005, 11:28:07 AM »

This is what comes up on Betfair, when you say Oakland at 3 what do you mean?
I'm not playing for real money, just trying to learn this new language
   
Customise Markets
All Markets
American Football
NFL Season 05/06
Week 14 - 11 December
Oakland @ NY Jets
Match Odds    
NY Jets +2.5pts    
Total Match Points    
Winning Margin    
NY Jets +3.5pts
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« Reply #6 on: December 11, 2005, 11:47:55 AM »

The NYJ+2.5, and the NYJ+3.5 are separate markets and will have completely different prices.

For a bigger price on Oakland winning you need the NYJ+3.5 market.

"Buying" or "Selling" @ 3 refers to spread betting which is not available on Betfair.
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« Reply #7 on: December 11, 2005, 04:30:43 PM »

Firstly a risky one

Indianapolis are unbeaten after 13 games. Only one team, the Miami Dolphins in 1972, has gone through a sixteen game season unbeaten

Indianapolis are 7 point favourites away at Jacksonville who are 9-3 and need to win to ensure the play offs

Earlier this season Jacksonville ran Indy very close in Indy

This is a very small stakes sell Indy at 7

Next Dallas to beat Kansas City at 3. Dallas needs to win. It's now or never. good team at home.


Houston are the worst team in the league, but there have been modest signs of improvement. Away at Tennessee, another bad team, Tennessee are favoured by 5 points. This is another modest sell.

Finally Oakland are 3 point favourites at the Jets, the most disappointing team in the league this year compared to pre-season expectations. I think that is good vale

To recap, buy

Dallas over Kansas at 3
Oakland over the Jets at 3

Sells, modest stakes, be careful

Indy over Jacksonville at 7
Tennessee over Houston at 5

Good luck





Good luck Tighty. I fancy Under the points in the Buffalo v New Eng game. There has been plenty of snow around today and this should affect the total..there is some 37 around and plenty of 36 1/2.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2005, 11:16:45 AM »

well, Oakland let me down, the other three produced a marginal profit
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