NFL 2010

[Linux]

Getting excited now, not long to go.

me 2, c'mon Brees and AP tonight

So what you are after is basically a 55-51 shootout for your FF lol

Wouldn't be bad

[Josedinho]

1.30 kick off?

[Longy]

1.30 kick off?

Yip. NFL website has it as an 8:30ET which is 1:30 our time.

[The Camel]

1.30 kick off?

Yip. NFL website has it as an 8:30ET which is 1:30 our time.

C'mon Longy, join the pool, we need as much mug money as possible...

[stonecoldkiller]

Hey Camel, you done any research on the spreads for Sundays games, would love your insight before i put my bets on.

[The Camel]

Hey Camel, you done any research on the spreads for Sundays games, would love your insight before i put my bets on.

Not yet,  firat 2 or 3 weeks is meh for betting prematch, usually just play in running.

Having said that, played over 48.5 in tonights game.

[77dave]

Link for the game if anyone needs it

http://www.firstrow.net/watch/26596/1/watch-minnesota-vikings-vs-new-orleans-saints----.html

[Laxie]

Link for the game if anyone needs it

http://www.firstrow.net/watch/26596/1/watch-minnesota-vikings-vs-new-orleans-saints----.html

Oh man...you are an abso STAR!!!  ty ty ty

[Laxie]

http://www.theonion.com/articles/onion-sports-2010-nfl-teambyteam-guide,18023/?slide=7


chuckle along...

Sigh.  GG Browns.  Least we've got the Buckeyes for some sort of entertainment.

[TightEnd]

Going to have a crack at weekly bets, money where my mouth is.


Starting Bank 100 points


These were placed on Betfair on Wednesday, prices therefore as of then. They are all about value, not favourites.

NFL Week 1


Sunday night

Washington at home to Dallas    Washington back at 2.7 2 points. Based off these games always being very close, and Dallas having 2 of the 5 OL starters out and not likely to be in synch to click offensively. Think its an even money game priced with the home team a big underdog.

Sunday

St Louis at home to Arizona Back St Louis at 2.52 1 point

Just a tickle, my feeling being the Cardinals may struggle this year but be priced like last year's team in the early weeks. Minus Boldin, and with Anderson at QB, I don't think they are the points scorers they were. Of course the Rams have been horrible for three years, but should be pulling themseleves off up the floor this year with a franchise quarterback told to give the ball to Stephen Jackson and watch...

Both of these are early season "revert to mean" games backing the underdog at home, both underdogs should be improving teams.

The NFL tends to "revert to mean" as the poorest teams draft the best players the year after, and often change coaching set ups... yet the early season games are priced on last year's form. Underdog results are common in Weeks 1-5.


Sunday

Cinncinati at New England. Back Cinn at 2.84 5 points

Cleveland at Tampa Back Cleveland at 2.24 2 points


Both are underdog value bets

The first is based on Cincinnati having a) a tough defence including an unknown superstar corner in leon Hall and b) NE having a very young secondary and Cincy having a good QB/receivers to score points. This is not so much about Owens more that alongside Ochocinco there is now a young talented Possession receiver, Jordan Shipley, and a first Round Tight End, Jermaine Gresham to give Palmer weapons.

I like the match up against the Patriots weakness. 2.84 more than reflects the difficulty in going to Foxboro


Cleveland and Tampa were both shocking last year. Tampa Bay wouldn't be odds-on against 11 randoms from the Luton G imo, yet are here. Both rosters short of talent but what Cleveland do have is a talented OL with Joe Thomas and Alex Mack to keep the workmanlike Delhomme upright to nick this one.


My bet of the week is Cincy at 2.84

New Bank 90 points, 10 points in play

[stonecoldkiller]

Well it was'nt the best start to the season but still a very intriguing game, this was the lowest scoring Saints  winning performance of the Sean Peyton era stretching back to 2006, i think this game showed a disciplined side to the Saints that did'nt really exist last year, their mantra last year was kinda like, you score 35 we'll score 40 but i liked the D performance last night. I agree with you on the Rams Tight, watching Bradford last year he really did look like a star in the making and i think he will settle into the pro game very naturally they now have the aerial threat to go with Jackson on the ground, Bulger made too many mistakes last year and i think the Falcons will have regressed quite significantly this year with Anderson coming in for Warner, Anderson was a 1 season wonder in Cleveland and i think with the loss of Boldin it will put alot more weight on the shoulders of Larry Fitz someone will need to step up pretty fast to help out Fitzgerald and i cant see that happening right away.

[The Camel]

Going to have a crack at weekly bets, money where my mouth is.


Starting Bank 100 points


These were placed on Betfair on Wednesday, prices therefore as of then. They are all about value, not favourites.

NFL Week 1


Sunday night

Washington at home to Dallas    Washington back at 2.7 2 points. Based off these games always being very close, and Dallas having 2 of the 5 OL starters out and not likely to be in synch to click offensively. Think its an even money game priced with the home team a big underdog.

Sunday

St Louis at home to Arizona Back St Louis at 2.52 1 point

Just a tickle, my feeling being the Cardinals may struggle this year but be priced like last year's team in the early weeks. Minus Boldin, and with Anderson at QB, I don't think they are the points scorers they were. Of course the Rams have been horrible for three years, but should be pulling themseleves off up the floor this year with a franchise quarterback told to give the ball to Stephen Jackson and watch...

Both of these are early season "revert to mean" games backing the underdog at home, both underdogs should be improving teams.

The NFL tends to "revert to mean" as the poorest teams draft the best players the year after, and often change coaching set ups... yet the early season games are priced on last year's form. Underdog results are common in Weeks 1-5.


Sunday

Cinncinati at New England. Back Cinn at 2.84 5 points

Cleveland at Tampa Back Cleveland at 2.24 2 points


Both are underdog value bets

The first is based on Cincinnati having a) a tough defence including an unknown superstar corner in leon Hall and b) NE having a very young secondary and Cincy having a good QB/receivers to score points. This is not so much about Owens more that alongside Ochocinco there is now a young talented Possession receiver, Jordan Shipley, and a first Round Tight End, Jermaine Gresham to give Palmer weapons.

I like the match up against the Patriots weakness. 2.84 more than reflects the difficulty in going to Foxboro


Cleveland and Tampa were both shocking last year. Tampa Bay wouldn't be odds-on against 11 randoms from the Luton G imo, yet are here. Both rosters short of talent but what Cleveland do have is a talented OL with Joe Thomas and Alex Mack to keep the workmanlike Delhomme upright to nick this one.


My bet of the week is Cincy at 2.84

New Bank 90 points, 10 points in play

Why aren't you in the Pool Mr End?

Free money for you!

[stonecoldkiller]

A little gem on British Eurosport 2 tonight at 8.30. A big grudge match in the NCAA, Michigan State @ Notre Dame, should be tasty. I like Michigan +3.5, having a decent bet on this.

[thetank]

A little gem on British Eurosport 2 tonight at 8.30. A big grudge match in the NCAA, Michigan State @ Notre Dame, should be tasty. I like Michigan +3.5, having a decent bet on this.

Will give this a look, if only because I'm a West Wing fan. Go Irish

[stonecoldkiller]

Michigan won 28-24 in a very exciting game, cant wait for tomorrow now.