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Author Topic: Cheltenham Festival Day 1  (Read 26564 times)
T_Mar
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« Reply #15 on: March 14, 2010, 11:02:49 PM »

Heard on the grapevine that in terms of the Mares Hurdle, the owners of Quevega who placed £100,000 on their horse, Quevega to win the race last year have had £40,000 on Voler La Vedette to win it this year @ 7/4.

I will be having an in depth look at some of the outsiders in this race.


Adds more weight to view its 2 horse race, no? They could argubly both be runnning in the champion and think class will tell here personally
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bobby1
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« Reply #16 on: March 14, 2010, 11:17:05 PM »

Keith,

Do you know if Betfair will close the ante post book on the Dunguib race 2morrow and create the new market for Tuesdays race, if they do does that mean there will be two lots of commision to pay as they will have an ante post wager and a day of the event wager too?

Or will they simply use the previous market with the updated runners left in?

cheers
« Last Edit: March 14, 2010, 11:25:29 PM by bobby1 » Logged

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Karabiner
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« Reply #17 on: March 14, 2010, 11:27:56 PM »

I really fancy Dunguib, It's a 1/2 shot in my book but i haven't played yet as it seems nailed on to drift and I'm drooling at the thought of getting 6/4ish.

I honestly think that those crabbing about it's jumping are being fooled by the fact that most of the Irish races are run on very soft going and at a very slow pace until the last four furlongs. It seems to me that it jumps fine when the pace quickens but struggles over it's hurdles like many good horses do when it's travelling slower than it's preferred racing gallop.

The Champion Hurdle is very interesting this year but I'm quite strong on Go Native who has slaughtered everything it's met this year on good ground. Again I expect it to drift and thusly have not yet played. I also feel that Punjabi, another good ground animal will probably be a nice ew bet at around 10/1 should that be available.

Captain Cee Bee seems too short at the 3/1 curently offered in The Arkle to my mind although if it jumps a clear round it will doubtless be hard to beat. This is currently a watching brief for me, although Sizing Europe seems like a safe jumper and might appeal ew.
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« Reply #18 on: March 14, 2010, 11:30:13 PM »

Keith,

Do you know if Betfair will close the ante post book on the Dunguib race 2morrow and create the new market for Tuesdays race, if they do does that mean there will be two lots of commision to pay as they will have an ante post wager and a day of the event wager too?

Or will they simply use the previous market with the updated runners left in?

cheers

The two markets will be combined in terms of comission paid Phil, should you be lucky enough to show a profit Smiley
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bobby1
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« Reply #19 on: March 14, 2010, 11:32:02 PM »

Keith,

Do you know if Betfair will close the ante post book on the Dunguib race 2morrow and create the new market for Tuesdays race, if they do does that mean there will be two lots of commision to pay as they will have an ante post wager and a day of the event wager too?

Or will they simply use the previous market with the updated runners left in?

cheers

The two markets will be combined in terms of comission paid Phil, should you be lucky enough to show a profit Smiley

cheers Ralph
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NigDawG
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« Reply #20 on: March 14, 2010, 11:34:30 PM »

Supreme Novices: I have layed a massive bet on Dunguib at evens. I am purely doing a Blatch and hoping the price moves out. Although he could be anything, he hasn't proven himself out of the top drawer quite yet and with doubts over his jumping I feel sure he's going on the slide. I'm looking to trade out at 2.2 or 2.24 for a juicy freeroll.

don't understand this since he's beaten everything put in front of him out of sight, at grade 1 level too. he's got less to prove than the others imo. can't really bring myself to back at the prices on offer at cheltenham but memories of seeing him slaughter them at last year's festival might tempt me...
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Christopher Brammer
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« Reply #21 on: March 14, 2010, 11:36:32 PM »

Keith,

Do you know if Betfair will close the ante post book on the Dunguib race 2morrow and create the new market for Tuesdays race, if they do does that mean there will be two lots of commision to pay as they will have an ante post wager and a day of the event wager too?

Or will they simply use the previous market with the updated runners left in?

cheers

Phil,

This is from their rules:

Betfair may suspend ante post markets at any stage to protect customers and carry out necessary administration, including in some cases the cancellation of unmatched bets. By their nature, ante post markets can be volatile and customers are responsible for managing their bets on this market at all times.

And I've had the bet on a matesa account who is on 2% so that helps even more.
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bobby1
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« Reply #22 on: March 14, 2010, 11:40:08 PM »

Keith,

Do you know if Betfair will close the ante post book on the Dunguib race 2morrow and create the new market for Tuesdays race, if they do does that mean there will be two lots of commision to pay as they will have an ante post wager and a day of the event wager too?

Or will they simply use the previous market with the updated runners left in?

cheers

Phil,

This is from their rules:

Betfair may suspend ante post markets at any stage to protect customers and carry out necessary administration, including in some cases the cancellation of unmatched bets. By their nature, ante post markets can be volatile and customers are responsible for managing their bets on this market at all times.

And I've had the bet on a matesa account who is on 2% so that helps even more.

cheers.
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The Camel
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« Reply #23 on: March 14, 2010, 11:41:27 PM »

Supreme Novices: I have layed a massive bet on Dunguib at evens. I am purely doing a Blatch and hoping the price moves out. Although he could be anything, he hasn't proven himself out of the top drawer quite yet and with doubts over his jumping I feel sure he's going on the slide. I'm looking to trade out at 2.2 or 2.24 for a juicy freeroll.

don't understand this since he's beaten everything put in front of him out of sight, at grade 1 level too. he's got less to prove than the others imo. can't really bring myself to back at the prices on offer at cheltenham but memories of seeing him slaughter them at last year's festival might tempt me...

He's been impressive, but so has Oscar Whiskey and Get Me Out of Here.

He's evens and the other two are huge prices.

If Dunguib was bigger I wouldn't be opposing him, but evens is a stupid price.
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NigDawG
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« Reply #24 on: March 14, 2010, 11:43:46 PM »

Supreme Novices: I have layed a massive bet on Dunguib at evens. I am purely doing a Blatch and hoping the price moves out. Although he could be anything, he hasn't proven himself out of the top drawer quite yet and with doubts over his jumping I feel sure he's going on the slide. I'm looking to trade out at 2.2 or 2.24 for a juicy freeroll.

don't understand this since he's beaten everything put in front of him out of sight, at grade 1 level too. he's got less to prove than the others imo. can't really bring myself to back at the prices on offer at cheltenham but memories of seeing him slaughter them at last year's festival might tempt me...

He's been impressive, but so has Oscar Whiskey and Get Me Out of Here.

He's evens and the other two are huge prices.

If Dunguib was bigger I wouldn't be opposing him, but evens is a stupid price.

yh i agree the odds are skinny but you cant say he isnt out the top drawer lol :p
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« Reply #25 on: March 14, 2010, 11:47:12 PM »

I had a good Cheltenham last year but can see me doing my nuts in this year.
Willl probably stick with Karabiner and the other decent betors.
I think he kicked us off with Captain Cee Bee last year and i never really looked back.
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« Reply #26 on: March 14, 2010, 11:59:15 PM »

I had a good Cheltenham last year but can see me doing my nuts in this year.
Willl probably stick with Karabiner and the other decent betors.
I think he kicked us off with Captain Cee Bee last year and i never really looked back.

It was Go Native last year in the Supreme, and I was on Kalahari King in The Arkle which I'm still miffed about.
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« Reply #27 on: March 15, 2010, 12:09:58 AM »

Ah yes that was it. Just looking back on the results now. You gave us Go Native and i think Horneris gave us Garde Champetre on day 1 too.
Could do with another day 1 like that.
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Rookie (Rodney)
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« Reply #28 on: March 15, 2010, 12:37:40 AM »

Yeah Garde Champetre was the coo last year @ 4/1.. Won the lot on Cheltenham last year, hopefully the horn can do the same for us this year.
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« Reply #29 on: March 15, 2010, 09:59:50 AM »

Menorah e/w in the Novice.

Riverside Theatre e/w in the Arkle if his odds drift out any bit.

Silk Affair e/w in the Mares Hurdle.


Hadn't thought much about it as we've been hyped up waiting for Cassie to land.  Will have another look later if I get time, but that's yer lot from the female side of the fence... so far.

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