Nico29
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« Reply #45 on: May 25, 2010, 10:42:25 AM » |
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Just a couple so far today:
230 LINGFIELD 1PT EW IT'S YOU AGAIN@3-1
735 HEXHAM 1.5PTS EW BALLYLANIGAN@7-4
Might be one in another race in the evening too.
Balance now 36.18 points.
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Nico29
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« Reply #46 on: May 25, 2010, 06:15:51 PM » |
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Not a good day so far.
First horse was nowhere and the second is now in a win only race. As it was in a 5 runner race there was always the danger that if one dropped out it would be reverted to win only.
Im actually kinda glad it's happened for the simple reason it's taught me a good lesson. In 5/8 runner races, esp in the former, at least wait till later on-as near to the race as poss, or not at all b4 betting, as a non runner often will make the bet kinda silly.
So first result is:
1PT EW LOST@5-1 BPG= (36.18 )
Balance now 36.18 points.
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« Last Edit: May 25, 2010, 06:17:43 PM by Nico29 »
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Nico29
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« Reply #47 on: May 25, 2010, 07:13:41 PM » |
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Even though it looks like im contradicting what i just said you always have to relatively gamble at the possibility of non runners to make sure of getting the value.
Thus here are two selections for the 750 Huntington race, which has 8 runners.
750 HUNT- 1PT EW BLUE SPARTAN@10-3 0.5 PTS EW CHALICE WELCOME@20-1
Balance now 33.18 points.
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typhoon13
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« Reply #48 on: May 25, 2010, 09:10:10 PM » |
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You got a N/R look at that as a result, keeps the confidence UP and spartan DOWN.
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Nico29
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« Reply #49 on: May 25, 2010, 09:35:40 PM » |
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You got a N/R look at that as a result, keeps the confidence UP and spartan DOWN.
Yeah mate yr right, both a positive and a negative i guess. Bad day today but i think it's mainly just running bad and short term variance. Last cple of results saw both horses fall: 1.5PTS EW LOST=(33.18 ) 1 PT EW LOST=(33.18 ) 0.5PT EW=NON RUNNER=1 PT RETURNED (34.18 )
Balance now 34.18 points.
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typhoon13
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« Reply #50 on: May 25, 2010, 09:51:17 PM » |
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I struggle to understand why you e/w with less than 8
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Nico29
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« Reply #51 on: May 25, 2010, 10:58:39 PM » |
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I struggle to understand why you e/w with less than 8
Would not back ew in a 7 runner race if i could possibly help it tbh. Having said that in 5/6 runners races often with the improved place terms of 1/4 and often an odds on fav with the 2nd fav clear in the betting, the place is huge value. To confirm this you just need to check the corresponding market on betfair. Value is value. Some of the dirtiest ew shots will be in 5 runner races when there are 3 rags and a filthy ew shot as 2nd fav. Getting on with the books in these races is the trickiest part. Yes this challenge is down at the moment but if i'd not gambled with multiples a couple of times it wld be in profit. I'll still gamble tho, the multiples will pay their way eventually...and some.
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typhoon13
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« Reply #52 on: May 26, 2010, 08:10:30 AM » |
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Less than 8 with 1/4, surely your value lies in what the SP is?
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Nico29
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« Reply #53 on: May 26, 2010, 02:36:18 PM » |
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Less than 8 with 1/4, surely your value lies in what the SP is?
Don't really get this tbh, most books are bpg now anyway, i'd never take sp. The value on the place is clear from betfair before we get to sp, if you leave something you may also lose the value by the time of sp. Anyway selections...
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Nico29
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« Reply #54 on: May 26, 2010, 03:04:03 PM » |
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305 FFOS LAS 2PTS EW SHEER FORCE@11-4* 0.5 PTS EW AMENDS@28-1
350 AYR- 2PTS EW LOS NADIS@4-1* 0.5PTS EW KNOCK THREE TIMES@28-1
*=0.5 PT EW DBLE
Balance now 23.18 points.
Pretty sure there are some later too, could be a decisive day for this challenge.
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Nico29
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« Reply #55 on: May 26, 2010, 03:29:37 PM » |
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305 FFOS LAS 2PTS EW SHEER FORCE@11-4* 0.5 PTS EW AMENDS@28-1
350 AYR- 2PTS EW LOS NADIS@4-1* 0.5PTS EW KNOCK THREE TIMES@28-1
*=0.5 PT EW DBLE
Balance now 23.18 points.
Pretty sure there are some later too, could be a decisive day for this challenge.
Nice start: 2PTS EW WON@3-1 BPG=11.2 PTS RETURNED (34.38 ) 0.5PTS EW LOST= (34.38 ) 455 AYR-0.5 PTS EW LADY LUBE RYE@25-1
630 BEV- 1 PT EW MEDICI PALACE@4-1
750 SOUTH- 2PTS EW TALENTI@15-8 Balance now 27.38 points.
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Nico29
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« Reply #56 on: May 26, 2010, 04:15:40 PM » |
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350 result:
2ND 2PTS EW LOS NADIS@5-1 BPG=4 PTS RETURNED (31.38 ) 3RD 0.5PTS EW KNOCK THREE TIMES@28-1=3.3 PTS RETURNED (34.68 )
0.5 ew dble with prev winner@3-1 returned 1.6 pts. (36.28 )
Balance now 36.28.
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Nico29
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« Reply #57 on: May 26, 2010, 04:21:04 PM » |
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305 FFOS LAS 2PTS EW SHEER FORCE@11-4* 0.5 PTS EW AMENDS@28-1
350 AYR- 2PTS EW LOS NADIS@4-1* 0.5PTS EW KNOCK THREE TIMES@28-1
*=0.5 PT EW DBLE
Balance now 23.18 points.
Pretty sure there are some later too, could be a decisive day for this challenge.
Nice start: 2PTS EW WON@3-1 BPG=11.2 PTS RETURNED (34.38 ) 0.5PTS EW LOST= (34.38 ) 455 AYR-0.5 PTS EW LADY LUBE RYE@25-1
630 BEV- 1 PT EW MEDICI PALACE@4-1
750 SOUTH- 2PTS EW TALENTI@15-8 Balance now 27.38 points. Going for another too in the 455 ayr race, keiran fallon already ridden a treble today, he's on the 2nd fav and if 12 stay in it's a 1/4 the odds first 3 race. 455 AYR 1 PT EW VILNIUS@13-2
Balance now 34.28.
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Nico29
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« Reply #58 on: May 26, 2010, 05:45:53 PM » |
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Oops fallon wins with 4 and then loses as soon as i back one of his nags, also the outsider lost too.
455 RESULT- 1PTEW&0.5PTS EW=BOTH UNPLACED.
Balance 34.28.
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typhoon13
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« Reply #59 on: May 26, 2010, 07:56:35 PM » |
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Nico
Nice to follow what you are doing but, with the amount of bets you are putting through surely there is only one outcome to this challenge!!!
Good Luck Anyway
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