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Author Topic: EW betting...not bored anymore  (Read 39152 times)
Nico29
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« Reply #90 on: June 01, 2010, 06:52:22 PM »

How annoying, mine finishes 3rd.

I'm pretty sure im not the only 1 not a little surprised when in the dirtiest race of the day...shock horror one is pulled out 20 mins b4 the race.

Turns a really nice day and potentially a huge one into a very small winning one.

625 FFOS LAS- 2PTS EW OLD MCDONALD@5-2-UNPLACED (59.14)

Also 0.5 pt ew double and 0.5 pt ew trble lost due to that. (59.14)

Balance now 59.14.

There may be a selection later as in the 855 yarmouth we have a lovely ew race, just need one to stick out ew.

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Nico29
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« Reply #91 on: June 01, 2010, 08:29:36 PM »

Just a small one to end the night. If any1 else fancies betting in the race and has time i'd advise looking at the race about 5-10 mins before the start and checking the place prices on betfair.

Right now there isn't a huge amount of liquidity but i think i've found a small wager for now. I doubt i'll have my computer on around race time as gotta go out for a bit.

Part of the reason i'm not waiting till racetime is because it's certainly not a huge play race, the fav looks pretty nailed on and nothing massively stands out ew.

855 YARMOUTH- 0.5PTS EW MISTER FROSTY@16-1 (58.14)

Balance now 58.14.
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Nico29
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« Reply #92 on: June 01, 2010, 10:06:55 PM »

Yeah as thought the fav hosed up, mine ran with it b4 running out of petrol near home, eventually finishing out with the washing and unplaced.

So result is:

855 YARMOUTH- 0.5PTS EW MISTER FROSTY@16-1=UNPLACED (58.14)

Balance now 58.14.
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Nico29
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« Reply #93 on: June 02, 2010, 11:41:57 AM »

Couple of selections today so far:

335 FONTWELL- 1PT EW NOBBY KIVAMBO@11-4 (56.14)

840 RIPON- 1PT EW INVITEE@6-1 (54.14)

Balance now 54.14.
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #94 on: June 02, 2010, 11:46:20 AM »

You seem to do/have a lot of time to do research Nico, do you make a living from these+poker?
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Nico29
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« Reply #95 on: June 02, 2010, 05:55:59 PM »

You seem to do/have a lot of time to do research Nico, do you make a living from these+poker?

Hi mate, yeah i play poker for a living and do this on the side.

I used to trade on betfair more or less all the time, but now it's pretty much all poker with a bit of ew stealing money.

First horse today ran like it was shot:

335 FONTWELL- 1PT EW NOBBY KIVAMBO@11-4=UNPLACED (54.14)

Balance= 54.14.


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Nico29
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« Reply #96 on: June 02, 2010, 06:02:21 PM »

This one in poker terms is prob a 'bit thin'.

550 KEMPTON-0.5PTS EW EXCELLO@8-1 (53.14)

Balance= 53.14.


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Nico29
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« Reply #97 on: June 02, 2010, 06:12:44 PM »

This one in poker terms is prob a 'bit thin'.

550 KEMPTON-0.5PTS EW EXCELLO@8-1 (53.14)

Balance= 53.14.




Boom it!

Thin ftw obv.


550 KEMPTON-0.5PTS EW EXCELLO@8-1-WON=5.8 PTS RETURNED (58.94)

Balance=58.94.


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Nico29
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« Reply #98 on: June 03, 2010, 07:31:30 AM »

Result meh.


840 RIPON- 1PT EW INVITEE@6-1-UNPLACED (58.94)


Balance now 58.94.
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Nico29
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« Reply #99 on: June 03, 2010, 10:05:15 AM »

Busy most of the day and although there are 1 or 2 other dirty races, no selections stick out, so this could be the only one today.

300 NEWTON ABBOT- 1.5 PTS EW CALON CRWBIN@15/8 (55.94)


Unfortunately it's a 7 runner race but at 20-1 bar the top 2, it has 2 runner race written all over it. Place looks good value here so im all over it.

Balance=55.94.
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Nico29
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« Reply #100 on: June 03, 2010, 10:39:54 AM »

What the hell lets go 4 this one too.

510 HAMILTON- 0.5PTS EW MEETINGS MAN@7-1 (54.94)

Balance=54.94.


8 runner race so please no withdrawls guys, strong on betfair, was actually an arb which looks to have a ready chance in a fairly open race.
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Girgy85
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« Reply #101 on: June 03, 2010, 11:18:28 AM »

Been given some horses from a reliable source which has netted me a big winner last month....

6.10 Sandown 4 Diamond Charlie
6.45 Sandown 2 Solemn 7/1 from 8/1

and Capable Guest on friday.

Thoughts nico?
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Think Girgy has shown the best leopard instincts in this thread and would prob survive best in the wild. Eye of the tiger that fella - Mantis

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Nico29
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« Reply #102 on: June 03, 2010, 12:21:33 PM »

Been given some horses from a reliable source which has netted me a big winner last month....

6.10 Sandown 4 Diamond Charlie
6.45 Sandown 2 Solemn 7/1 from 8/1

and Capable Guest on friday.

Thoughts nico?

Well i'm no technical expert on the horses as in form, trends, jockey etc.

However i can certainly let u know how i feel about its place in the market and relevance on betfair.

Diamond charlie's race has little liquidity-not much money being placed on the race, therefore it's difficult to pass much comment.

However it's a maiden which often makes the race quite open especially with a tight market like this, your selection is a general 7-1 and i cldn't say it's particularly strong on betfair or even with the books.

Yet this may change nearer the race when said liquidity appears and the place part offered if under 2.4 on betfair and if at 7-1 still, may suggest a bet ew.

The jockey on board is hayley turner and she seems full of confidence right now. Tbh i cldnt say either way on this one, im just stating the obvious.

Solemn
is still a general 8/1 but again suffers from no real liquidity. The good thing about this bet is that if there are between 12-15 runnners in this handicap race we get 1/4 the place odds rather than the usual 1/5ths, currently there are 13.

In fact having looked again at its place price on betfair there are some small requests to back it at 2.64., which means at 8-1 we are receiving 3.0 on the place and thus some value.

Out of the 2 i'd prefer this one mainly due to the early activity on the place price and due to the increased place terms.

Capable guest i cldnt comment on until i see the market tmrw, like i say i am quite good at studying the markets, i leave the actual technical  horse racing knowledge to those such as chompy on here.

Hope that was of some help mate, if at all!

Smiley




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Girgy85
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« Reply #103 on: June 03, 2010, 12:24:44 PM »

Been given some horses from a reliable source which has netted me a big winner last month....

6.10 Sandown 4 Diamond Charlie
6.45 Sandown 2 Solemn 7/1 from 8/1

and Capable Guest on friday.

Thoughts nico?

Well i'm no technical expert on the horses as in form, trends, jockey etc.

However i can certainly let u know how i feel about its place in the market and relevance on betfair.

Diamond charlie's race has little liquidity-not much money being placed on the race, therefore it's difficult to pass much comment.

However it's a maiden which often makes the race quite open especially with a tight market like this, your selection is a general 7-1 and i cldn't say it's particularly strong on betfair or even with the books.

Yet this may change nearer the race when said liquidity appears and the place part offered if under 2.4 on betfair and if at 7-1 still, may suggest a bet ew.

The jockey on board is hayley turner and she seems full of confidence right now. Tbh i cldnt say either way on this one, im just stating the obvious.

Solemn
is still a general 8/1 but again suffers from no real liquidity. The good thing about this bet is that if there are between 12-15 runnners in this handicap race we get 1/4 the place odds rather than the usual 1/5ths, currently there are 13.

In fact having looked again at its place price on betfair there are some small requests to back it at 2.64., which means at 8-1 we are receiving 3.0 on the place and thus some value.

Out of the 2 i'd prefer this one mainly due to the early activity on the place price and due to the increased place terms.

Capable guest i cldnt comment on until i see the market tmrw, like i say i am quite good at studying the markets, i leave the actual technical  horse racing knowledge to those such as chompy on here.

Hope that was of some help mate, if at all!

Smiley






Thanx for ur response mate!

Done em both in a £2.50 ew double as a bit of intrest so hope the both place!

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Best poster Girgy IMO - Mantis

Girgy is my new hero! - Evilpie

Think Girgy has shown the best leopard instincts in this thread and would prob survive best in the wild. Eye of the tiger that fella - Mantis

Girgy is a m'fkn machine - Daveshoelace
Nico29
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« Reply #104 on: June 03, 2010, 05:59:30 PM »

Two seconds today.

300 NEWTON ABBOT- 1.5 PTS EW CALON CRWBIN@15/8=2ND= 2.2 PTS RETURNED (57.14)
 
510 HAMILTON- 0.5PTS EW MEETINGS MAN@7-1=2ND=1.2 PTS RETURNED  (58.34)


There might be one later but im not sure tbh.

Balance=58.34 pts (40 pts Starting bank)
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