EW betting...not bored anymore

[Nico29]

Thanks to girgy for highlighting this one.

Am jumping on the 645 selection.

645 SANDOWN- 0.5 PTS EW SOLEMN@8-1 (57.34)

There is decent money trying to back this to place at 11-8, we get 2-1, simples.

It isn't the dirtiest of ew races if im honest, yet the selection itself is value for the place. 1/4 the odds the place swings it.

Balance=57.34.

[Girgy85]

Thanks to girgy for highlighting this one.

Am jumping on the 645 selection.

645 SANDOWN- 0.5 PTS EW SOLEMN@8-1 (57.34)

There is decent money trying to back this to place at 11-8, we get 2-1, simples.

It isn't the dirtiest of ew races if im honest, yet the selection itself is value for the place. 1/4 the odds the place swings it.

Balance=57.34.

Im on this COME ON SOLEMN!!!!!!!

[Girgy85]

Thanks to girgy for highlighting this one.

Am jumping on the 645 selection.

645 SANDOWN- 0.5 PTS EW SOLEMN@8-1 (57.34)

There is decent money trying to back this to place at 11-8, we get 2-1, simples.

It isn't the dirtiest of ew races if im honest, yet the selection itself is value for the place. 1/4 the odds the place swings it.

Balance=57.34.

Im on this COME ON SOLEMN!!!!!!!

SIGH

[Nico29]

No problem mate, and ul yourself, i saw the first 1 placed too.

The fact of the matter is it was a 'value' selection and imo you won't go far wrong in the long term backing selections whch are such.

Result- 0.5 PT EW SOLEMN=UNPLACED.

Balance=57.34.

[Nico29]

Pretty sure this will be the last selection of the day.

Basically this is a race i've been trying to find something in all day long.

The reason for this is that i believe the fav might be worth taking on, from a massively popular stable with the champ on board, i believe/hope it's just too short.

It's a maiden and thus the market normally provides a really nice guide as to who is fancied to knock a race over for the first time, i just think some books will blindly price a fav like this massively short because they know ppl will still take the lack of value with glee shouting 'it's stoute and moore and odds on-cert eh'.

Although exposed more than others my choice has some proven form, is strong on betfair especially on the place part, and is more than capable if the hot fav has an off day.

825 SANDOWN- 0.5PTS EW KENSEI@8-1 (56.34)

Balance=56.34.

[Nico29]

Looks like i lied but obv i can't help it if selections just keep popping up!

810 WETHERBY- 0.5PTS EW STARBOUGG@25-1

Balance=55.34.

[Nico29]

Boom it!

Well chuffed with kensei winning as much as for my reasoning behind the bet as much as anything else.

Other selection not so boomish.

Result:


810 WETHERBY- 0.5PTS EW STARBOUGG@25-1-UNPLACED (55.34)

825 SANDOWN- 0.5PTS EW KENSEI@8-1-1ST=5.8 PTS RETURNED (61.14)

Balance=61.14.

[Girgy85]

Boom it!

Well chuffed with kensei winning as much as for my reasoning behind the bet as much as anything else.

Other selection not so boomish.

Result:


810 WETHERBY- 0.5PTS EW STARBOUGG@25-1-UNPLACED (55.34)

825 SANDOWN- 0.5PTS EW KENSEI@8-1-1ST=5.8 PTS RETURNED (61.14)

Balance=61.14.

Nice one nico wish id started following u from the start

[Nico29]

Couple of early selections today.

Derby meeting at epsom starts today and in the 245 race we have a fairly dirty looking race.

The obrien odds on fav allows us to take fancy place prices at 1/4 the win odds here. Well with most books anyway due to it being a special meeting, lads, tote, stan james all do.

245 EPSOM- 1PT EW SARISKA@10-3 (59.14)
                    0.5 PTS EW YOUMZAIN@8-1 (58.14)

Pretty sure there will be a few more later on today, mainly on the evening meetings though from the look of it.

Hopefully win some mad dimes today, feeling a little tilty after spazzing great positions in quite a few online comps over the last cple of days. Bowl cashes really don't help.

Balance= 58.14.

[Nico29]

Girgy- U mentioned Capable guest yesterday.

It's in a race which def cld be a dirty ew race. An 8 runner race with an odds on fav, and your selection is the 2nd fav at 4-1.

Again there isn't much liquidity around but i'd have def thought the horse wld be worth an ew shot IF 8 runners remain.

If it goes down to 7 i'd be cautious over backing it as it dsnt massively stand out for me in the market.

Might take a look myself just b4 the race which is the 225@Catterick.

[Girgy85]

Girgy- U mentioned Capable guest yesterday.

It's in a race which def cld be a dirty ew race. An 8 runner race with an odds on fav, and your selection is the 2nd fav at 4-1.

Again there isn't much liquidity around but i'd have def thought the horse wld be worth an ew shot IF 8 runners remain.

If it goes down to 7 i'd be cautious over backing it as it dsnt massively stand out for me in the market.

Might take a look myself just b4 the race which is the 225@Catterick.

Will be at work then. Ive had a small EW lucky 15 for intrest.....

1:40 Epsom Downs - Win
Harrison George @ 10/1  EW @ 1/5 1-3

2:10 Epsom Downs - Win
Mull Of Killough @ 8/1  EW @ 1/4 1-3

2:45 Epsom Downs - Win
Sariska @ 3/1  EW @ 1/5 1-3

3:25 Epsom Downs - Win
Thin Red Line @ 11/2  EW @ 1/4 1-3

[Nico29]

Result:

245 EPSOM- 1PT EW SARISKA@10-3-2ND=1.83 PTS RETURNED (59.97)
                    0.5 PTS EW YOUMZAIN@8-1-UNPLACED (59.97)

Balance=59.97.

[Nico29]

I backed this one earlier when 10 odd were entered, filthy race so shock horror 3 withdrawls.

Will most likely be a rule 4 on it and now it's just first 2.

800 BATH-1 PT EW SUNNY FUTURE@5/1 (57.97)

Still quite like this as it's miles clear bar the fav in the betting.

It's roughly 4/1 now and this means we get even money(2.0) on the place part for it to get in the first 2, i don't think it's that kind of price to do such, i'd make it nearer 1.7.

Balance=57.97.

[Nico29]

1 last race also tonight.

In the 845 Doncaster we have a michael jarvis hotpot which actually looks relatively exposed.

He also trains the unraced 2nd fav and at 7-1 i'd rather have a small punt on that ew than take odds on on a horse that hasn't won in 5 attempts.

Its a maiden race and the market may indicate that a further horse, or even upping the stake could be advisable, nearer the off.

But for now:

845 DONCASTER- 0.5PTS EW CITY GROUND@7-1 (56.97)

Balance=56.97.

[Nico29]

I backed this one earlier when 10 odd were entered, filthy race so shock horror 3 withdrawls.

Will most likely be a rule 4 on it and now it's just first 2.

800 BATH-1 PT EW SUNNY FUTURE@5/1 (57.97)

Still quite like this as it's miles clear bar the fav in the betting.

It's roughly 4/1 now and this means we get even money(2.0) on the place part for it to get in the first 2, i don't think it's that kind of price to do such, i'd make it nearer 1.7.

Balance=57.97.

Puke.

Than ran like a dog it really did. The fav bolts up and mine isn't even 3rd for the whinge.

Result=800 BATH 1 PT EW SUNNY FUTURE- UNPLACED (56.97)

Balance=56.97.

Not a great day so far.