EW betting...not bored anymore

[Nico29]

Starting Balance=50.97.

215 NEWTON ABBOT-  1.5PTS EW MINNEAPOLIS@11-4 (47.97)
                                  1PT EW UNLEASHED@4-1 (45.97)

650 RIPON- 1.5PTS EW SULTAN'S CHOICE@5-2 (42.97)

840 WINDSOR- 1PT EW BERNIES MOON@25-1 (40.97)


920 RIPON- 1PT EW SQUALL@9-2 (38.97)
                   1PT EW BURSARY@9-2 (36.97)


Def looks a little scattergun again but there are quite a few dirty races today. I've actually left out a couple the old me would have thrown in.

Not gonna go for any multis as im gonna try and limit those to 2 point plus selections.

Balance is now 36.97.

Not a great start to the day with the 2nd fav cruising b4 getting caught late on by a rag whilst unleashed left it 2 late to even place.

215 NEWTON ABBOT-  1.5PTS EW MINNEAPOLIS@11-4 - 2ND=2.33 PTS RETURNED(39.3)
                                  1PT EW UNLEASHED@4-1- UNPLACED (39.3)

Balance=39.3 pts.

[Nico29]

Ok results:

650 RIPON- 1.5PTS EW SULTAN'S CHOICE@5-2-3RD=2.25 PTS RETURNED (41.55)

840 WINDSOR- 1PT EW BERNIES MOON@25-1 -UNPLACED (41.55)


920 RIPON- 1PT EW SQUALL@9-2-1ST=7.4 PTS RETURNED (48.95)
                   1PT EW BURSARY@9-2 -2ND=1.9 PTS RETURNED (50.85)

Another rakeback type day where we need some comps back from the volume.

Obv was saved by the last winner but I had the 1/2 there so it really didn't matter who won.

So moving on balance is 50.85 Points.

[Nico29]

Up to a couple of minutes ago i was so looking forward to this post.

No bets today i was proudly about to announce as i poured my way thru dirty ew less cards.

Then the discipline i was so proud of suddenly evaporated and i had to place a bet on the 650 dirtyish race.

If only there were 8 runners or more this would be filthy.

I know a great deal of ppl don't believe races with between 5-7 runners can be dirty as we only get first 2 for the place.

However certain types of races like this still give place value.

The 2nd fav here is at 9-4, miles clear of the 12-1 3rd fav and onwards. The true place price we are getting is 1.5625, yet on betfair where you have to pay comish ppl are freely asking for bundles at 1.55, with only pennies being offered@ 1.46.

Thus the true place price is probably a bit nearer to 1.45-1.5  and although thinish I gain some value here, plus I get BPG.

Also this isn't one of those selections where we just pray for our selection to place kinda giving up on all hopes of a victory due to a mass heavy odds on fav, there isn't much diff here btwn the 1.8 shot and our 9-4 selection.

Anyway im on the following on a dire day for ew betting, i shall enjoy the sun instead and try and play some poker at some point.

Balance=50.85.

650 UTTOX- 1 PT EW SAHRATI@9-4 (48.85)

Balance=48.85 Points.

[Nico29]

Up to a couple of minutes ago i was so looking forward to this post.

No bets today i was proudly about to announce as i poured my way thru dirty ew less cards.

Then the discipline i was so proud of suddenly evaporated and i had to place a bet on the 650 dirtyish race.

If only there were 8 runners or more this would be filthy.

I know a great deal of ppl don't believe races with between 5-7 runners can be dirty as we only get first 2 for the place.

However certain types of races like this still give place value.

The 2nd fav here is at 9-4, miles clear of the 12-1 3rd fav and onwards. The true place price we are getting is 1.5625, yet on betfair where you have to pay comish ppl are freely asking for bundles at 1.55, with only pennies being offered@ 1.46.

Thus the true place price is probably a bit nearer to 1.45-1.5  and although thinish I gain some value here, plus I get BPG.

Also this isn't one of those selections where we just pray for our selection to place kinda giving up on all hopes of a victory due to a mass heavy odds on fav, there isn't much diff here btwn the 1.8 shot and our 9-4 selection.

Anyway im on the following on a dire day for ew betting, i shall enjoy the sun instead and try and play some poker at some point.

Balance=50.85.

650 UTTOX- 1 PT EW SAHRATI@9-4 (48.85)

Balance=48.85 Points.

Sweet, winner, winner- chicken dinnna.


650 UTTOX- 1 PT EW SAHRATI@9-4-1ST=4.81 PTS RETURNED (53.66)

Balance now 53.66 Points.

[bobby1]

nice work mate

[Nico29]

nice work mate

Cheers mate.



Onwards and upwards, today there are a couple of selections, both run in the evening and both look strong ew fancies.

The first selection off around 6 is a real problem for me, it's a do i or don't i risk it?

Now if the race was off in 5 minutes i'd have no hesitation in backing it ew for 2 points, the problem is it's in a 5 runner race, 1 withdrawl and that's win only, so i'll wait till nearer the off as also i doubt the value will go.


The second selection which i hope to do in a double with the first is in a maiden irish race.

I took the value 5-1 on offer earlier as this one was mega strong on betfair, according to the market it will be a two horse race.

Unraced up against exposed types this Obrien sort won't need to be anything amazing to stroll this imo.

It's now best priced 4-1 but i'd still say that looks mass place value according to betfair where ppl will accept 1.58 the place on a 1.8 shot.

There may even be a third selection today if yet another evening race turns dirty.

For now:

Balance=53.66 Points.

630 NASS- 2PTS EW SHERWOOD FOREST@5-1 (49.66)

Balance= 49.66 Points.

[Josedinho]

Going to follow you with Sherwood Forest today Nico

[Nico29]

Going to follow you with Sherwood Forest today Nico

Following me carries a wealth warning mate, but gl!

Ok so smallish ew bet in the 600 and im going 4 the 610 race which was the questionable one i mentioned earlier due 2 a poss problem incase of withdrawls.

600 NAAS- 1PT EW MISS WINDLEY@7-1 (47.66)

610 WORCESTER- 2PT EW LAMBRO LAD@5-2 (43.66)*

*=0.5 EW DBLE WITH 630 NASS- SHERWOOD FOREST@5-1  (42.66)

Balance=42.66 Points.

[Nico29]

Going to follow you with Sherwood Forest today Nico

Following me carries a wealth warning mate, but gl!

Ok so smallish ew bet in the 600 and im going 4 the 610 race which was the questionable one i mentioned earlier due 2 a poss problem incase of withdrawls.

600 NAAS- 1PT EW MISS WINDLEY@7-1 (47.66)

610 WORCESTER- 2PT EW LAMBRO LAD@5-2 (43.66)*

*=0.5 EW DBLE WITH 630 NASS- SHERWOOD FOREST@5-1  (42.66)

Balance=42.66 Points.

Ok so miss windley has scraped home in 2nd an absolute mile behind the winner, reason i chose it was due to its place being mass value compared to betfair.

This 610 one is what ew betting is all about, at 5-2 1/4 the odds we get 1.625 on the selection to place, betfair punters want 1.18- comish, it's an absolute filthy selection.

The fav and my choice are realistically the only ones with a chance here.

Lets get a double up one time pleeeeeeeeease,

[Nico29]

Going to follow you with Sherwood Forest today Nico

Following me carries a wealth warning mate, but gl!

Ok so smallish ew bet in the 600 and im going 4 the 610 race which was the questionable one i mentioned earlier due 2 a poss problem incase of withdrawls.

600 NAAS- 1PT EW MISS WINDLEY@7-1 (47.66)

610 WORCESTER- 2PT EW LAMBRO LAD@5-2 (43.66)*

*=0.5 EW DBLE WITH 630 NASS- SHERWOOD FOREST@5-1  (42.66)

Balance=42.66 Points.

Ok so miss windley has scraped home in 2nd an absolute mile behind the winner, reason i chose it was due to its place being mass value compared to betfair.

This 610 one is what ew betting is all about, at 5-2 1/4 the odds we get 1.625 on the selection to place, betfair punters want 1.18- comish, it's an absolute filthy selection.

The fav and my choice are realistically the only ones with a chance here.

Lets get a double up one time pleeeeeeeeease,

In fact i cannot resist piling in for another 2 points ew on lambros lad here, its place price is sick value.

610 WORCESTER- 4PTS EW TOTAL LAMBRO LAD@5-2 (38.66)*

Balance=38.66 Points.

[Nico29]

Annoying, the odds on shot wins with mccoy riding the cheekiest way race poss, was value for a ten length win but lets mine think at 2-3 lengths that it had a chance, it clearly didn't.

Still no disaster and that race was an example of dirty ew betting at its finest.

Results so far:

Balance=38.66.

600 NAAS- 1PT EW MISS WINDLEY@8-1 BPG-2ND=2. 6PTS RETURNED (41.26)

610 WORCESTER- 4PTS EW LAMBRO LAD@11-4 BPG=6.75PTS RETURNED (48.01)

Balance=48.01 Points.

Sherwood is looking promising at around 5-2 to back now, valoooooooooooooooo-been had

[Nico29]

Well the fav has won well there and sherwood has been lucky to sneak a place, market kinda spoke wrongly about its chances, yet its another example of a great ew bet so win or lose im happy with the value.

Final result of the evening for this challenge i believe:

Balance=48.01.

Result:

630 NASS= 2 PTS EW SHERWOOD FOREST@5-1-3RD=4 PTS RETURNED (52.01)

0.5 PT EW DOUBLE= 2ND&3RD= 1.69 PTS RETURNED (53.7)

Balance= 53.70 Points.

What a tease of a day, clda ended up with the old minger-broke, instead i've missed out on the fortune-stunner and woke up next to the girl next door-levels- - story of my life...

[Nico29]

Funny.

Just like that movie line, once you think you've got out they drag you back in, urgh deniro or pacino i forget.

Anyway i digress, there is 1 more now tonight, left it earlier but good ol trusty betfair place market has reeled me in2 following it.

In what looks a clear match the selection is nice place value with a clear poss of the BPG rule coming in also.

I can't really see much between the fav and this one so have no hesitation in backing this ew kinda semi freerolling on the win bit, i say kinda cos if it merely places due to the price there will be a small loss.

Def final selection for the night imo:


Balance=53.70.

900 NAAS- 2 PTS EW MUTAMALEQ@15-8 (49.70)

Balance=49.70 Points.

[Nico29]

Meh beat the fav but still just 2nd.

Result:


900 NAAS- 2 PTS EW MUTAMALEQ@15-8-2ND= 2.75 POINTS RETURNED (52.45)

BALANCE=52.45 Points.

[Nico29]

Bar 1 race mid afternoon that cld turn dirty and a very late evening race where nothing has yet stepped out in a dirty looking race...there is zilch today.

So less one of those changes its zero selections today and discipline FTW...im so proud!