EW betting...not bored anymore

[Nico29]

Bar 1 race mid afternoon that cld turn dirty and a very late evening race where nothing has yet stepped out in a dirty looking race...there is zilch today.

So less one of those changes its zero selections today and discipline FTW...im so proud!

I really do have no discipline-official.

Having said that this race im doing has been bugging me all day, it looks a perfect ew race. A short priced fav with 8 runners-no withdrawls please, the 2nd fav looks to be the perfect kind of selection for this challenge.

Also with some books due to this being a featured meeting we get 1/4 the odds the place, always worth trying to take advantage of.

One selection today, less the other late race changes dramatically which i doubt.

Balance=52.45.

310 NEWMARKET- 1.5 PTS EW HOLBERG@3-1 (49.45)

Balance=49.45 Points.

[Nico29]

Bar 1 race mid afternoon that cld turn dirty and a very late evening race where nothing has yet stepped out in a dirty looking race...there is zilch today.

So less one of those changes its zero selections today and discipline FTW...im so proud!

I really do have no discipline-official.

Having said that this race im doing has been bugging me all day, it looks a perfect ew race. A short priced fav with 8 runners-no withdrawls please, the 2nd fav looks to be the perfect kind of selection for this challenge.

Also with some books due to this being a featured meeting we get 1/4 the odds the place, always worth trying to take advantage of.

One selection today, less the other late race changes dramatically which i doubt.

Balance=52.45.

310 NEWMARKET- 1.5 PTS EW HOLBERG@3-1 (49.45)

bALANCE=49.45 Points.

Ooops-no good.

310 NEWMARKET- 1.5 PTS EW HOLBERG@3-1-UNPLACED  (49.45)

Balance=49.45 Points.

[Nico29]

Just the 3 today-EDIT NOW 4-, very dull again as far as ew races today

Tbh the first selection is the only 'conventional' ew selection today. In a 8 runner race with an odds on shot itself and the 2nd fav are place value and miles clear of the nags behind in the betting.

However the second and 3rd choices have their merits in diff ways. The 66-1 shot is in a 1/4 odds first 3 race, which means we can loosen our requirements a little. Also it is 11-1 to place on betfair with myself getting 16.5-1 minimum. It's win part is strong on betfair and i really don't think any 1 or 2 horses stand out in an open race-bar maybe the 7/4 fav but even them im not totally convinced.

The third selection is a bit of a steamer in another 1/4 odds race, this time paying first 4, it looks wide open and getting 5/1 the first 4 is more than juicy enough 4 me.

Balance=49.45.

215 YORK- 1 PT EW KING OF THE CELTS@10-3 (47.45)

310 NEWMARKET- 0.5 PT EW SERIOUS ATTITUDE@66-1 (46.45)

725 NEWBURY- 0.5PT EW RAINBOW MIRAGE@20-1 (45.45)

Balance=45.45 Points.


EDIT- Just realised how insane it is that i didn't also put in the 2nd fav in the 215 race, it's actually even dirtier.

Thus:

Balance= 45.45.

215 YORK- 1.5 PTS EW TOKUM@5-2 (42.45)

Balance=42.45 Points.

[Acidmouse]

Someone on leeds forums tipping up Prime defender in 3:10, got  100/1 ew but its 60/1 now. doomed to come last imo

[Nico29]

Just the 3 today-EDIT NOW 4-, very dull again as far as ew races today

Tbh the first selection is the only 'conventional' ew selection today. In a 8 runner race with an odds on shot itself and the 2nd fav are place value and miles clear of the nags behind in the betting.

However the second and 3rd choices have their merits in diff ways. The 66-1 shot is in a 1/4 odds first 3 race, which means we can loosen our requirements a little. Also it is 11-1 to place on betfair with myself getting 16.5-1 minimum. It's win part is strong on betfair and i really don't think any 1 or 2 horses stand out in an open race-bar maybe the 7/4 fav but even them im not totally convinced.

The third selection is a bit of a steamer in another 1/4 odds race, this time paying first 4, it looks wide open and getting 5/1 the first 4 is more than juicy enough 4 me.

Balance=49.45.

215 YORK- 1 PT EW KING OF THE CELTS@10-3 (47.45)

310 NEWMARKET- 0.5 PT EW SERIOUS ATTITUDE@66-1 (46.45)

725 NEWBURY- 0.5PT EW RAINBOW MIRAGE@20-1 (45.45)

Balance=45.45 Points.


EDIT- Just realised how insane it is that i didn't also put in the 2nd fav in the 215 race, it's actually even dirtier.

Thus:

Balance= 45.45.

215 YORK- 1.5 PTS EW TOKUM@5-2 (42.45)

Balance=42.45 Points.

Results:

215 YORK- 1 PT EW KING OF THE CELTS@4-1 BPG-2ND=1.8 PTS RETURNED (44.25)
                 
                  1.5 PTS EW TOKUM@5-2-UNPLACED (44.25)

310 NEWMARKET- 0.5 PT EW SERIOUS ATTITUDE@66-1-UNPLACED(44.25)

725 NEWBURY- 0.5PT EW RAINBOW MIRAGE@20-1-3RD=3 PTS RETURNED (47.25)

Balance=47.25 Points.

[Nico29]

Nothing doing in afternoon racing.

In the evening there are a couple, basically the 615 one is another 5 runner race, i'm gambling on there not being a withdrawl as i may not be able to get on later.

However if i can get on b4 and there isn't a non runner i'll make it a 2 pt ew selection.

The second selection is strong on betfair in a race that looks dirty ew perfect.

Balance=47.25.

615 SAILSBURY- 1PT EW GOODWOOD TREASURE@2-1 (45.25)

735 HAMILTON- 1PT EW BEES RIVER@8-1 (43.25)

[Nico29]

Nothing doing in afternoon racing.

In the evening there are a couple, basically the 615 one is another 5 runner race, i'm gambling on there not being a withdrawl as i may not be able to get on later.

However if i can get on b4 and there isn't a non runner i'll make it a 2 pt ew selection.

The second selection is strong on betfair in a race that looks dirty ew perfect.

Balance=47.25.

615 SAILSBURY- 1PT EW GOODWOOD TREASURE@2-1 (45.25)

735 HAMILTON- 1PT EW BEES RIVER@8-1 (43.25)

Wow lucky i cldnt get on b4 the 615 or i wld have lost another 2 points-not a good day.

Results:


615 SAILSBURY- 1PT EW GOODWOOD TREASURE@2-1-UNPLACED (43.25)

735 HAMILTON- 1PT EW BEES RIVER@8-1-UNPLACED (43.25)

Balance=43.25 Points.

[Nico29]

No spiel just hopefully winners today or this challenge will be looking decidingly dicey.

Balance=43.25.

310 PERTH- 2PTS EW ROSE STREET@2-1 (39.25)*

                    0.5PTS EW BUCEPHALUS@12-1 (38.25)

350 SOUTH- 2PTS EW KING OF THE CASTLE@7-4 (34.25)*

400 STRATFORD- 1PT EW GULF PUNCH@9-2 (32.25)

*=0.5 PT EW DOUBLE (31.25)

Balance=31.25 Points.

[Nico29]

Madness, i get a 12-1 winner yet still lose on the day, something surely wrong there, hmmmm.

Wd spain imo.


Results:

310 PERTH- 2PTS EW ROSE STREET@2-1-UNPLACED (31.25)*

                    0.5PTS EW BUCEPHALUS@12-1-WON=8.2 POINTS RETURNED (39.45)

350 SOUTH- 2PTS EW KING OF THE CASTLE@7-4-2ND=2.7 POINTS RETURNED (42.15)*

400 STRATFORD- 1PT EW GULF PUNCH@9-2-UNPLACED (42.15)

*=0.5 PT EW DOUBLE-2ND&UNPLACED (42.15)

Balance=42.15 Points.

[Nico29]

Terrible day for ew betting with just one selection so far and maybe one later at a push.

Tbh reevaluating all this wldnt be a bad thing so perhaps the lack of bets will help me do some much needed study over the stats and find out where things can be drastically improved, im not liking how the balance is decreasing.

So just one so far, it's miles clear as 2nd fav and pretty strong on betfair if not insanely so.


Balance=42.15 Points.

200 AYR- 1PT EW JIBAAL@5-2 (40.15)

Balance=40.15 Points.

[Nico29]

Result:


200 AYR- 1PT EW JIBAAL@5-2-UNPLACED (40.15)

Balance=40.15 Points.

[GreekStein]

lol Dom you love it!

[Nico29]

lol Dom you love it!

LOL-Loving the sweat as always, not loving the constant donkey peformances!


Today there are lots of if's, but's and maybe's.

After some study i think some of my prev stakes have been too high, and even on occasion-too low.

I'm working on this..

Mostly a bunch of slightly dirty ew horses today, hence the 0.5 stakes, the 850 selection is in a race where it's not stand out dirty ew, but it was arby/strong on betfair, and with 8 runners it's a value place race.

Balance=40.15 Points.

550 DOWN- 1 PT EW HILLS OF CLARAGH@5-2 (38.15)

630 YARMOUTH- 0.5PT EW AHLAAIN@5-1 (37.15)

820 MUSS- 1PT EW OOONDIRI@5-2 (35.15)

850 MUSS 0.5 PT EW HARCAS@12-1 (34.15)

900 YARMOUTH 0.5 PT EW BROUGHTON'S POINT@9-2 (33.15)

Balance= 33.15 Ponits.

[Nico29]

Results so far:

Balance=33.15 Points.

550 DOWN- 1 PT EW HILLS OF CLARAGH@5-2-2ND=1.5 PTS RETURNED (34.65)

630 YARMOUTH- 0.5PT EW AHLAAIN@7-1 BPG-2ND=1.2 PTS RETURNED (35.85)

Balance=35.85 Points.

Sure like the seconditus.

[Nico29]

Wow something to be happy about...twice.

Results:

Balance=35.85 Points.

820 MUSS- 1PT EW OOONDIRI@5-2-5P Rule 4 Reduction in Pound-1ST=4.97 PTS RETURNED (40.12)

850 MUSS 0.5 PT EW HARCAS@12-1-3RD=1.7 PTS RETURNED (41.82)

900 YARMOUTH 0.5 PT EW BROUGHTON'S POINT@9-2-1ST=3.81 PTS RETURNED (45.63)

Balance= 45.63 Points.