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Author Topic: Bubble of daily 90k  (Read 4516 times)
George2Loose
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« on: July 26, 2010, 11:22:51 PM »

OK 312 left. 306 get paid. Haven't been too active- been stuck on 20 bigs for a while. What's your play on the bubble here?

PokerStars Game #47311146198: Tournament #323010571, $50+$5 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XI (400/800) - 2010/07/26 23:02:15 WET [2010/07/26 18:02:15 ET]
Table '323010571 117' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: pascha25 (16968 in chips)
Seat 2: Picasso 2 (4694 in chips)
Seat 3: dns1984 (24414 in chips)
Seat 4: B-boy-all-in (19177 in chips)
Seat 5: skJacob (12133 in chips)
Seat 6: Zakenayo (67936 in chips)
Seat 7: Tonie234 (13339 in chips)
Seat 8: George2Loose (10856 in chips)
Seat 9: slazoner (7300 in chips)
pascha25: posts the ante 75
Picasso 2: posts the ante 75
dns1984: posts the ante 75
B-boy-all-in: posts the ante 75
skJacob: posts the ante 75
Zakenayo: posts the ante 75
Tonie234: posts the ante 75
George2Loose: posts the ante 75
slazoner: posts the ante 75
Zakenayo: posts small blind 400
Tonie234: posts big blind 800
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to George2Loose [ ]
George2Loose ?
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Ole Ole Ole Ole!
Cf
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2010, 11:33:44 PM »

Well, you're not on 20 bigs now. Shove or fold. Think I prefer a shove. Don't think you'll be getting called too light.
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2010, 11:39:46 PM »

Looks pretty close, either is fine really (shove or fold)...
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Rupert
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2010, 11:43:29 PM »

Quote
OK 312 left. 306 get paid.

fold
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GreekStein
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2010, 11:54:15 PM »

fold for me
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pleno1
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2010, 11:56:56 PM »

folddd
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Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of  fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
anthonyl
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« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2010, 11:57:17 PM »

only thing making me fold is the sb's stack
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outragous76
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« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2010, 11:57:38 PM »

fold
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Boba Fett
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« Reply #8 on: July 27, 2010, 12:28:56 AM »

Fold
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Woodsey
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« Reply #9 on: July 27, 2010, 12:33:51 AM »

ship
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Skgv
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« Reply #10 on: July 27, 2010, 12:49:31 AM »

min raise ! an then ill c what happens...........
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buzzharvey22
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« Reply #11 on: July 27, 2010, 01:45:22 AM »

shove, still 300 left, no real big difference in payout from 300th to 10th, thts the way i see it anyway rather take a chance to double up rather than worry about the min cash.
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Longy
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« Reply #12 on: July 27, 2010, 01:45:55 AM »

I would ship not really studied ICM bbl effects before though, but shipping is deffo +cEV.

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Rupert
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« Reply #13 on: July 27, 2010, 01:57:47 AM »

I was fairly curious to see if it was a +cEV shove.  I put in some fairly conservative ranges into SNGPT (doesn't do permutations of overalls).  Everyones 88+ AQ+, shorty is 44+ AT+, SB/BB call 77 too.  77 is a +T263.2 shove and it reckons Push hands: 33+,ATo+,A2s+,KTo+,K5s+,QTo+,Q8s+,JTo,J8s+,T8s+,98s (23.5%) are all +EV.  So Longy wasn't lying Cheesy

So basically if shoving wins us 1/4 a BB best case it's gotta be an easy fold on the bubble I think?
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Rupert
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« Reply #14 on: July 27, 2010, 01:59:37 AM »

Isn't completely out of the question to stall down see if people bust then shove
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