Saturday's Football

[sweet potata!]

Top tipstering trigg and don't worry about bragging it's actually a tragedy that you had to do it yourself, I'm amazed no one had already congratulated you on it, You tipped it up early and got a good price afaik, what more can you do to get praise.

[action man]

wolves at 7/2

1pnt

[action man]

Think over 2.5 goals at 11/10 or bigger in the Boro game is a gift.  Been to the Boro's last two games and since Matthew Bates got injured and Wheater was sold they literally have no defence.  Seb Hines in particular is totally lost and his tendency to dive in and not hold his position creates a lot of space behind him that has potentially cost the team 3 of the 5 goals that the team has conceded in 140 or so minutes since Bates went off injured against Palace.  On the plus side however the team is starting to come together going forward since Mowbray has come in.  Against Swansea last week the game could seiously have ended 7-7 and I think there is the potential for the team to, temporarily at least, become a mini Posh.  20-1 over 5.5 goals on Betfair seems very fair to me and 14.5 any unquoted on BF seems decent too.

In other games I agree that 1.11 Man Utd seems a gift and, in response to Keiths points, I would say that that is the price based on them playing a couple of reserves/youth players.   If it was at Crawley then they would potentially have an outside (12-13%) chance of getting something out of the game but not here.  Incidentally my algorithms make MU to win 3-0 decent value at the 7.2 on Betfair so the 13/2 with Freds/Bluesq really is a decent bet.  Should be about a true 11/2 shot and does seem like a decent point for MU to take their foot off the gas a bit.  Doubt Fergie etc will want to embarass Crawley.

Arsenal are a best 3/10 away at Orient and this is effectively (after taking into consideration home advantage) the same price as Man Utd are.  Orient have been scoring a couple of goals recently and if ever a team is going to struggle to get up for a game it is Arsenal here and whilst they should be able to win I wouldn't be surprised to see Orient go in front and possibly even go a few goals up.  Maybe a dabble on Orient/Arsenal -FT at 28/1 and maybe over 3.5 goals at 6/5 or so.  Don't dislike 10-1+ On Orient either.

what an absolute boss

[Josedinho]

Yeh deffo hats of for the Swansea tip. Flagged up early and was never in doubt.
Top stuff from redarmi re: Boro.

[Nico29]

I like the unders in the palace game. They don't seem to do goals much either way at home. As for sheff utd, steadiyng the ship seems the status quo right now and i'm pretty sure they'd bite yr hands off for a draw.

I've done under 2.25 goals @1.96 and have permed no goalscorer, 1-0 and 2-0 as i have a preference for palace in the game....roll on 1-1!

Another bet i'm pretty keen on is in the man united game under 3.5 goals@evens. Way i see it is plucky crawley will hang on till near half time before united score, another midway in the second half should seal it and then it will be pipe and slippers time.

Like the extra goal cushion this bet gives me too even though i'm half tempted by under 2.5 this will be fine.

Not much else took my eye, was tempted by ipswich at odds against at home to hull, but no bullard due to loan deal tilted it towards no involvement.

Might perm some high score results in the posh game.

Good luck all!

Bar the posh game these saved my wknd. Nightmares on the golf and horses mean breaking even was a huge bonus!

[Graham C]

Quick question, why did the Chelsea v Everton game go to extra time and then pens when other draws over the weekend didn't?

[action man]

because that was a 4th round replay

[Graham C]

ah ok, thanks, thought the City game was the only one!