NL200 RUSH Overbetting the river?

[pleno1]

[21:52:53] Patrick Leonard: Full Tilt Poker Game #29482796823: Table Swiftly Tilting (6 max) - $1/$2 - No Limit Hold'em - 16:51:25 ET - 2011/03/30
Seat 1: pads1161 ($299.05)
Seat 2: treeoflife ($634.85)
Seat 3: NYGrande ($200)
Seat 4: Dakure ($199.90)
Seat 5: feyb ($214.45)
Seat 6: moenskeuh ($441.95)
pads1161 posts the small blind of $1
treeoflife posts the big blind of $2
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to pads1161 [ ]
NYGrande folds
Dakure folds
feyb folds
moenskeuh folds
pads1161 raises to $6
treeoflife calls $4
*** FLOP *** [ ]
pads1161 bets $8
treeoflife has 15 seconds left to act
treeoflife has requested TIME
treeoflife calls $8
*** TURN *** [ ] []
pads1161 bets $24
treeoflife calls $24
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
pads1161 has 15 seconds left to act
pads1161 bets $122

[outragous76]

very very sick shove

he can fold - infact ur unlucky if he calls

[Rupert]

meh i'd say it's terrible, pretty sure you don't take this line with most Ax and he won't expect you to jam Kx or worse here

[pleno1]

its not a shove fwiw.

[redarmi]

I don't really like it either.  Doesn't say $60 get the same job done??  People find it ridiculously hard to fold full houses and the sizing looks like suspicious to me and it does look very much like a nuts or air move but given the previous action it has to be weighted massively towards air.

[pleno1]

I don't really like it either.  Doesn't say $60 get the same job done??  People find it ridiculously hard to fold full houses and the sizing looks like suspicious to me and it does look very much like a nuts or air move but given the previous action it has to be weighted massively towards air.

I think they just dont fold full houses when I bet $60, like I think his range is massively towards 55-1010 with a fewwwwww k's but very few and almost 0 aces.

[redarmi]

Yeah I think they probably fold out the full houses with pocket pairs 55-TT as you say with this bet but not sure they are calling $60 with those hands either....certainly not the lower level of that range and tbh I think those pairs have a stab at the pot a bit earlier (OTF???)

[The Camel]

Pretty similar to one of my favourite tv hands



Pleno is the new Tom Dwan

[AlexMartin]

id like it more if it wasnt sb/bb, problem is he should have a lot of Ax floats in his range if hes decent. dont think sizing is optimal, i mean i like overbetting when you are betting a super-polarised range ofc, but i just think here you get too many correct hero's. that said, its rush and people arent thinking too much, so it might be the perfect way to exploit, who knows.

[pleno1]

id like it more if it wasnt sb/bb, problem is he should have a lot of Ax floats in his range if hes decent. dont think sizing is optimal, i mean i like overbetting when you are betting a super-polarised range ofc, but i just think here you get too many correct hero's. that said, its rush and people arent thinking too much, so it might be the perfect way to exploit, who knows.

If river was 8/9 type of cards I was c/f but didnt think he had too many double ace high floats.