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Poker Hand Analysis
AK in a cash game (.5/1)
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Topic: AK in a cash game (.5/1) (Read 7805 times)
Whollyflush
Sr. Member
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Posts: 686
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #45 on:
May 02, 2011, 01:08:01 AM »
Quote from: GreekStein on May 01, 2011, 07:55:19 PM
Guy uve gone wobbly in the head. Wtfs happened? Srsly
fwiw i'd almost go as far to say c/c is horrific in a live cash game with no real reads. i'd b/c or b/f depending how many times his nose twitches. His range is just too wide to c/c.
Also im not sure how check/something OOP is ever pot controlling. If you want to bluff catch and suspect hes capable, have a backup plan (Ackx/KxTc) i think this is the wrong hand to do it with.
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outragous76
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Posts: 13315
Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #46 on:
May 02, 2011, 11:13:10 AM »
Quote from: GreekStein on May 01, 2011, 07:55:19 PM
Guy uve gone wobbly in the head. Wtfs happened? Srsly
Just to confirm we had the worst of it
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
990 games 0.015 secs 66,000 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.273% 46.36% 00.91% 459 9.00 { AhKh }
Hand 1: 52.727% 51.82% 00.91% 513 9.00 { KcTc }
---
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SuuPRlim
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Posts: 10437
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #47 on:
May 02, 2011, 11:15:40 AM »
Quote from: outragous76 on May 02, 2011, 11:13:10 AM
Quote from: GreekStein on May 01, 2011, 07:55:19 PM
Guy uve gone wobbly in the head. Wtfs happened? Srsly
Just to confirm we had the worst of it
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
990 games 0.015 secs 66,000 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.273% 46.36% 00.91% 459 9.00 { AhKh }
Hand 1: 52.727% 51.82% 00.91% 513 9.00 { KcTc }
---
I think its a bit thin to use this specific stoe as an example as we're getting close to the top of his range now.
also fwiw would be absolutley fine to b/get in vs this hand
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outragous76
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Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #48 on:
May 02, 2011, 11:19:00 AM »
i agree - but I had already posted the hand when i made my comment, it was a hand and comment of fact - not range.
I havent stoved it but i dont think his range is that different an outcome
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outragous76
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Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #49 on:
May 02, 2011, 11:20:54 AM »
ok couldnt resist - gave him everything except bluffs and hands I believe he raises pre (100% of the time)
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
81,180 games 0.016 secs 5,073,750 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 52.746% 49.57% 03.18% 40238 2581.00 { AhKh }
Hand 1: 47.254% 44.07% 03.18% 35780 2581.00 { AQs-ATs, KJs+, KcTc, QTs+, JTs, AQo-ATo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
---
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outragous76
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Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #50 on:
May 02, 2011, 11:23:48 AM »
Moving this debate on then (and obv focusing on my reason for the fold)
You are sat at a table, you are in for 400, with 160 sat in front of you, and you are not reloading if you go broke.
You believe that you have a significant edge over the table (mostly soft spots), are you happy to flip for the lot, or prefer to play on 4 hours and see what happens?
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George2Loose
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Posts: 15127
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #51 on:
May 02, 2011, 12:02:41 PM »
Quote from: outragous76 on May 02, 2011, 11:23:48 AM
Moving this debate on then (and obv focusing on my reason for the fold)
You are sat at a table, you are in for 400, with 160 sat in front of you, and you are not reloading if you go broke.
You believe that you have a significant edge over the table (mostly soft spots), are you happy to flip for the lot, or prefer to play on 4 hours and see what happens?
Flip.
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Ole Ole Ole Ole!
SuuPRlim
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Posts: 10437
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #52 on:
May 02, 2011, 12:07:18 PM »
Quote from: George2Loose on May 02, 2011, 12:02:41 PM
Quote from: outragous76 on May 02, 2011, 11:23:48 AM
Moving this debate on then (and obv focusing on my reason for the fold)
You are sat at a table, you are in for 400, with 160 sat in front of you, and you are not reloading if you go broke.
You believe that you have a significant edge over the table (mostly soft spots), are you happy to flip for the lot, or prefer to play on 4 hours and see what happens?
Flip.
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GreekStein
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Posts: 20728
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #53 on:
May 02, 2011, 02:53:27 PM »
U can't wanna play on if ur gonna play sooo weak post flop. You might as well give the dealer the 160 quid and tell him to give the table 40 quid an hour so you don't have to be there doing it.
If you don't wanna flip etc, then check the ak pre. Can't make it 11bb and auto assume ur beat when u check flop.
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George2Loose
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Posts: 15127
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #54 on:
May 02, 2011, 02:56:52 PM »
Quote from: GreekStein on May 02, 2011, 02:53:27 PM
U can't wanna play on if ur gonna play sooo weak post flop. You might as well give the dealer the 160 quid and tell him to give the table 40 quid an hour so you don't have to be there doing it.
If you don't wanna flip etc, then check the ak pre. Can't make it 11bb and auto assume ur beat when u check flop.
Cos crushing itt
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Ole Ole Ole Ole!
Whollyflush
Sr. Member
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Posts: 686
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #55 on:
May 02, 2011, 04:30:13 PM »
Quote from: outragous76 on May 02, 2011, 11:20:54 AM
ok couldnt resist - gave him everything except bluffs and hands I believe he raises pre (100% of the time)
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
81,180 games 0.016 secs 5,073,750 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 52.746% 49.57% 03.18% 40238 2581.00 { AhKh }
Hand 1: 47.254% 44.07% 03.18% 35780 2581.00 { AQs-ATs, KJs+, KcTc, QTs+, JTs, AQo-ATo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
---
This range is far too tight for sum1 who limps behind 2 players and calls a range. You should distribute a portion of pure airballs in there aswell (maybe 10%)
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redarmi
Hero Member
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Posts: 5166
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #56 on:
May 02, 2011, 06:56:26 PM »
You have to flip in this spot if you think it is a flip because the money in the middle means you are getting over even money. People tend to overestimate the edges that tend to have in this game. You have to push the fairly small edges all the time to make money especially in cash games. Tournaments are slightly different because you aren't faced with actual cash EV calculations in every hand in so far as that if, for example, you double up in the first hand you don't actually win money and your EV doesn't double so in a tournament it may be correctbto make this fold. In a cash game it can never be correct. You have to look at cash games from the long term and take every small edge possible. The result tonight doesn't matter every time you make a -EV decision you lose money and every time you make a +EV decision you win money. Whether you play anymore hands tonight or not is pretty irrelevant in the long run so long as you are rolled properly and if you aren't then sure avoid the flip but you should be playing lower.
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Whollyflush
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 686
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #57 on:
May 02, 2011, 07:00:24 PM »
Quote from: redarmi on May 02, 2011, 06:56:26 PM
You have to flip in this spot if you think it is a flip because the money in the middle means you are getting over even money.
People tend to overestimate the edges that tend to have in this game. You have to push the fairly small edges all the time to make money especially in cash games. Tournaments are slightly different because you aren't faced with actual cash EV calculations in every hand in so far as that if, for example, you double up in the first hand you don't actually win money and your EV doesn't double so in a tournament it may be correctbto make
this fold. In a cash game it can never be correct. You have to look at cash games from the long term and take every small edge possible. The result tonight doesn't matter every time you make a -EV decision you lose money and every time you make a +EV decision you win money. Whether you play anymore hands tonight or not is pretty irrelevant in the long run so long as you are rolled properly and if you aren't then sure avoid the flip but you should be playing lower.
zing!
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AlexMartin
spewtards r us
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Posts: 8039
rat+rabbiting society of herts- future champ
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #58 on:
May 02, 2011, 10:11:36 PM »
Quote from: Whollyflush on May 02, 2011, 01:08:01 AM
Quote from: GreekStein on May 01, 2011, 07:55:19 PM
Guy uve gone wobbly in the head. Wtfs happened? Srsly
fwiw i'd almost go as far to say c/c is horrific in a live cash game with no real reads. i'd b/c or b/f depending how many times his nose twitches. His range is just too wide to c/c.
Also im not sure how check/something OOP is ever pot controlling. If you want to bluff catch and suspect hes capable, have a backup plan (Ackx/KxTc) i think this is the wrong hand to do it with.
thought this whole thread was a level, now iv just foundout i played with you in Luton and never even said hi.
can people please stop using the word lead, it implies a donkbet, but in this context is actually just a bet.
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Free_Rollin
Hero Member
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Posts: 1205
Re: AK in a cash game (.5/1)
«
Reply #59 on:
May 03, 2011, 05:50:51 PM »
Quote from: DMorgan on May 01, 2011, 01:48:30 AM
Don't know how the 99>AA or AQ > AK hands happened but that's gunna decide how I'm playing this hand. If he was spazzy in those hands I'd probably look to check/call down and if he was really stationy and got there then just bet/bet/jam safe-ish cards.
This.
Quote from: AlexMartin on May 02, 2011, 10:11:36 PM
Quote from: Whollyflush on May 02, 2011, 01:08:01 AM
Quote from: GreekStein on May 01, 2011, 07:55:19 PM
Guy uve gone wobbly in the head. Wtfs happened? Srsly
fwiw i'd almost go as far to say c/c is horrific in a live cash game with no real reads. i'd b/c or b/f depending how many times his nose twitches. His range is just too wide to c/c.
Also im not sure how check/something OOP is ever pot controlling. If you want to bluff catch and suspect hes capable, have a backup plan (Ackx/KxTc) i think this is the wrong hand to do it with.
thought this whole thread was a level, now iv just foundout i played with you in Luton and never even said hi.
can people please stop using the word lead, it implies a donkbet, but in this context is actually just a bet.
Deffo this. Alex crushes.
Guy, I'd personally bet the flop. I'm not in love with a check-call, but it does have its merits. The reason I don't like it is because I feel the villain may bet the flop, but turn and river will go check-check too often, and we're missing out on value.
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