Background: DTD Super50, 197 runners started so 1.97mil chips in play total. We are down to 16 and the bubble has just burst. I have been
very active, am wearing a cardigan tied around my neck, and everyone knows I have been at it a lot. This said, few live players wish to call off 15BB stacks at this stage imo. I am playing 260k, another young chap has c400k, leaving 1.3mil between the other 13 players. I rate my chances over the others at the table (thinly veiled brag), but the very nature of the structure suggests this won't come down solely to skill.
Hand One:8 handed blinds are 4k-8k with a running ante of 800. Blind level just begun. Pot is 18.4k.
Folds to a chap UTG+2 who raises to 30k from c145k. He is middle aged, seems very ABC, and has recently folded A-Q to a 3bet. Folds to us a couple of spots along where we find A-Ko.
I know absolutely naff all about the technical side of things (ICM considerations etc.) but I am confident that, with this player having opened to 30k in that position, he will not fold to a jam.
Do we....
(a) Call and re-evaluate the flop
(b) Jam
(c) Fold
I am 99.9% I took the correct option in this hand.
Hand Two:7 handed blinds are 4k-8k with a running ante of 800. Blinds going up in c10mins. Pot is 17.6k.
We are playing c145k, and are in the SB. BB playing c80k.
UTG (Frankie fwiw) opens to 22k playing c115k. We have history where I have overbet shoved the river, pushing him off top pair, and generally been a pain in the arse attacking his BB from the button persistently.
Villain from previous hand calls 22k playing c160k.
We look down at

in the SB and....
(a) Fold
(b) Call
(c) Jam
Cheers, Ed