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Author Topic: Am I ever winning here?  (Read 4433 times)
zerofive
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« on: July 16, 2011, 02:01:24 PM »

This might seem trivial, and I'll probably be told to shut up and get my money in.

Game: Live .50/£1 getting quite late and the table is loosening up a little.

History: I've been quite active in position. I think villain has only seen me show one hand and that's when I raised AQ pre and took it down but flipped my cards whilst mucking them.

Villain: Haven't seen him play a hand yet, but only have a 50~ hand sample so we're pretty much in the dark here.

Hand:

Two limpers to me in the cutoff, I make it £6 with . Villain is in the big blind and calls. Limpers fold.

Flop (£14.50) . He checks, I bet £9, he raises to £18 pretty quickly with £45 back. I call.

Turn (£50.50) . He bets £20.

It obviously can't be terrible getting my money in with three kings here, just wondering how often you think we're good here versus a perceived nit's obvious value line.
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boldie
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2011, 02:15:18 PM »

Live i reckon you're only losing to KQ or pocket 5's or 7's here (He'll 3-bet AK surely) and he could easily have a worse K or just not believe you.

I call
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mondatoo
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2011, 02:20:54 PM »

A live player c/mr, GG u.
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SuuPRlim
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2011, 02:22:20 PM »

A live player c/mr, GG u.

STILL GO ALL IN THO PLS
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Bully87
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« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2011, 02:22:38 PM »

For the pure fact he'll only have 25 back on the river it's shove or fold now.
AK, KQ, 77, 55 beat you, given the stack he has I probably just pay him off and say fair play if he has one of the hands named.
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mondatoo
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« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2011, 02:25:55 PM »

A live player c/mr, GG u.

STILL GO ALL IN THO PLS

Ye obv, I said gg coz we are never folding, plus was hoping for some cheap laughs.
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zerofive
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« Reply #6 on: July 16, 2011, 02:33:46 PM »

Yeah I wasn't thinking about folding, just how heavily I should sigh before throwing the rest in. How should we proceed if he was playing another £50 or another £150 behind? Fold and call, respectively?
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david3103
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« Reply #7 on: July 16, 2011, 02:44:27 PM »

Live i reckon you're only losing to KQ or pocket 5's or 7's here (He'll 3-bet AK surely) and he could easily have a worse K or just not believe you.

I call

 Or King Five...
« Last Edit: July 16, 2011, 02:50:47 PM by david3103 » Logged

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« Reply #8 on: July 16, 2011, 03:43:55 PM »

Live i reckon you're only losing to KQ or pocket 5's or 7's here (He'll 3-bet AK surely) and he could easily have a worse K or just not believe you.

I call

 Or King Five...

or king seven but would almost always be suited Wink
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EvilPie
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« Reply #9 on: July 16, 2011, 04:08:08 PM »

You've got triple kings. Of course you could be winning.

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piestack
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« Reply #10 on: July 18, 2011, 10:18:13 PM »

A live player c/mr, GG u.
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Junior Senior
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« Reply #11 on: July 18, 2011, 11:55:43 PM »

what are you beating? almost only K-10 or K-9.
I find a fold here but i am a NIT
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GreekStein
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« Reply #12 on: July 19, 2011, 05:40:26 AM »

It's weird that I think folding flop here is prob the best play.
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Free_Rollin
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« Reply #13 on: July 19, 2011, 08:22:39 AM »

Not folding turn, might fold flop.

Pretty sure this is going to be my default response to a lot of PHA posts now: villain's perceived ranges are usually wider than we expect them to be.
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DMorgan
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« Reply #14 on: July 19, 2011, 02:54:15 PM »

If he's a massive nit which from your reads it appears he might well be then flop is a fold. Tough to do though in game.
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