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Author Topic: Diary of a professional punter  (Read 139212 times)
ChipRich
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« Reply #690 on: December 07, 2011, 07:16:21 PM »

Butt, Rafinha, Boateng, Badstuber, Contento, Pranjic, Alaba, Gustavo, Tymoshchuk; Petersen, Olic.

Substitutes: Neuer, Van Buyten, Lahm, Ribery, Usami, Muller, Gomez
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redarmi
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« Reply #691 on: December 07, 2011, 07:18:01 PM »

Thanks mate.
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redarmi
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« Reply #692 on: December 07, 2011, 07:21:41 PM »

Have had small bets on Dzeko fgs @ 5/1 and anytime @ 11/8.  Both seem decent.
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Raman
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« Reply #693 on: December 07, 2011, 07:31:12 PM »

I never saw your post before betting the 6:20 but I ended up on Its Dubai Dolly.  

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ChipRich
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« Reply #694 on: December 07, 2011, 07:34:04 PM »

Have had small bets on Dzeko fgs @ 5/1 and anytime @ 11/8.  Both seem decent.

Gone Nasri 1st 14.0 and followed you in on Dzeko anytime, 2.48 on Betty.
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redarmi
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« Reply #695 on: December 07, 2011, 07:34:43 PM »

Interesting point on this City game.  When you miss a market move the derivative markets always move slower.  City are now 4/7 to lay on Betfair but by dutching the various options for -FT markets you can bet 8/13 City.  Always worth considering when you miss a price and there are a ton of other options too.
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redarmi
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« Reply #696 on: December 07, 2011, 07:37:08 PM »

Have had small bets on Dzeko fgs @ 5/1 and anytime @ 11/8.  Both seem decent.

Gone Nasri 1st 14.0 and followed you in on Dzeko anytime, 2.48 on Betty.

Always forget the Betfair market for anytime because it is named differently.  Have topped up a bit at 2.52.  Don't really get the price difference between him and Aguero in that market but not in fgs market.  Pitch time?
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Raman
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« Reply #697 on: December 07, 2011, 08:43:12 PM »

I was having a 10 point max bet on Citeh this evening, but for some reason I decided it made more sense to have a smaller bet and add in United.  I also cone Citeh, United, Lille.

I guess greed got the better of me.
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redarmi
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« Reply #698 on: December 11, 2011, 02:58:05 PM »

Putting them on here seems to be something of a death knell but I think Chicago +3.5 @5/6+ is one of the better bets of this NFL season so far.  Also backed Houston +3 and done a speculative moneyline double the two.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #699 on: December 11, 2011, 05:19:23 PM »

I've gone with you on these two, I reckon you're due a hot streak.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
Biddy 62
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« Reply #700 on: December 11, 2011, 07:49:02 PM »

What you reckon to Sunnyhillboy been sent off 4/1 fav and other JP horse romping home. I'm a cynical old bugger me looked like a smokescreen, all this bollox ap doing 10-4
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redarmi
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« Reply #701 on: December 11, 2011, 08:23:33 PM »

I would be more cynical if there hadn't been very good money for Sunnyhillboy.  I am pretty sure JP bet SHB allthough I do know judges that backed Quantative Easing.
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Biddy 62
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« Reply #702 on: December 11, 2011, 08:43:15 PM »

Do bookies shorten odds when their is no money for them? I see it loads of time especially on the all weather.
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redarmi
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« Reply #703 on: December 11, 2011, 09:09:50 PM »

Bookies will shorten these days if a horse is shortening on Betfair but the bigger off course firms normally move on money.  I am lucky enough to have some access to order flows from a couple of commission agents though and know they were moving money for SunnyHillBoy yesterday.  In fact I would go so far as to say that other than Mias Boy in the 820 at Wolves it was probably the best backed horse of the day.

On another note that was a bit too close for Houston to win with 2 seconds left ;-)
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Karabiner
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« Reply #704 on: December 11, 2011, 09:25:47 PM »

Never in doubt mate Wink

Looks like some folk are looking to lay the bears+3.5 in-running @ odds-against, why would that be?
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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