Some football value tonight (post your own too)

[Josedinho]

Huge prices in Leeds game on Sat. Aidan White now playing LM, 40s & 12s w/ Coral 1st/Any & Howson now bhind the striker 16s (5 1/3) Laddies.

Cheers. On these.

[ChipRich]

Huge prices in Leeds game on Sat. Aidan White now playing LM, 40s & 12s w/ Coral 1st/Any & Howson now bhind the striker 16s (5 1/3) Laddies.

Cheers. On these.

yep, off with BH to game. On too. Come on Aidy!

[edgascoigne]

Not football but figure I should give something back.

Fancy prices gone but looks like Ralph Beckett has got one ready at Wolves this evening: Hurry Up George in the 6pm. Nice e/w shape too...

[FUN4FRASER]

Found a bet tonight that looks way out of line on my book

Ive priced up Middlesboro (playing at home ) to beat Forest a minimum 4 -7  shot if not shorter

However they are currently trading at evens which looks massively overpriced to me

My two Forest contacts agree they are " woeful ", and the team news is that Boro are at full strength and  and Forest have 4 regulars out

Guess Im looking for somebody knowledgeable on Boro to give me a reason why this is not a big value bet  (doesnt Keith live up there ?    )

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/middlesbrough-v-nottingham-forest/winner

[TheChipPrince]

Chris Gunter 50/1 1st goalscorer, missed 3 excellent chances on sat, playing RM as opposed to his usual RB.

[Horneris]

Chris Gunter 50/1 1st goalscorer, missed 3 excellent chances on sat, playing RM as opposed to his usual RB.

nice

[FUN4FRASER]

If you are pricing something up @ 4/7 when market is evens, market is far more likely to be right than the price up, market is basically never gonna be 27% off, let alone on matchday in a fairly prominent league. If this is the case, you should really be looking pretty closely at how you're pricing the events up first and foremost and have a rethink, because there's a problem there.

The team news...is completely off as Robson is a big doubt as is Haroun + Bailey/McDonald/Coyne are definitely out. AFAIK Forest have no new injuries and are pretty much full strength (Cohen has been out for ages and will be out for ages). Plus you have the fact that Forest are massively underachieving in terms of results, relative to their 'equity' in games (i.e. they've dominated lots of games in terms of shots/corners but haven't won) - something which the big firms are clearly factoring in hugely if you look at Forest' odds today and in prior weeks.

I dont have a problem nor need to re think anything else as these prices are my own guidelines and have served me well.

I asked for an opinion on Boro not a lecture on pricing  from the shadows.

I dont like the tone or content of your posts so would ask you to follow somebody else about in future.

Maybe you should channel your energies into something more positive .

[action man]

If you are pricing something up @ 4/7 when market is evens, market is far more likely to be right than the price up, market is basically never gonna be 27% off, let alone on matchday in a fairly prominent league. If this is the case, you should really be looking pretty closely at how you're pricing the events up first and foremost and have a rethink, because there's a problem there.

The team news...is completely off as Robson is a big doubt as is Haroun + Bailey/McDonald/Coyne are definitely out. AFAIK Forest have no new injuries and are pretty much full strength (Cohen has been out for ages and will be out for ages). Plus you have the fact that Forest are massively underachieving in terms of results, relative to their 'equity' in games (i.e. they've dominated lots of games in terms of shots/corners but haven't won) - something which the big firms are clearly factoring in hugely if you look at Forest' odds today and in prior weeks.

I dont have a problem nor need to re think anything else as these prices are my own guidelines and have served me well.

I asked for an opinion on Boro not a lecture on pricing  from the shadows.

I dont like the tone or content of your posts so would ask you to follow somebody else about in future.

Maybe you should channel your energies into something more positive .

meh think thats a bit harsh fraser tbh. Think adnmdv's post is good constructive material, it just so happens that he disagrees with you. It seems like he is a man well worth listening to, and i would hazard a guess at him having years upon years in the industry.

[redsimon]

Chris Gunter 50/1 1st goalscorer, missed 3 excellent chances on sat, playing RM as opposed to his usual RB.

No Quote for Gunter on Skybet 

[the sicilian]

Some fun acca's

Over 2.5    Doncaster v Blackpool
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.80    To Run
2    Over 2.5    Carlisle v Tranmere
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.95    To Run
3    Over 2.5    Bradford v Port Vale
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    2.15    To Run

Under 2.5    Birmingham v Hull
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.61    To Run
2    Under 2.5    Brighton v Millwall
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.57    To Run
3    Under 2.5    Middlesbrough v Nottm Forest
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.65    To Run

Under 2.5    Birmingham v Hull
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.61    To Run
2    Under 2.5    Brighton v Millwall
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.57    To Run
3    Over 2.5    Doncaster v Blackpool
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.80    To Run
4    Under 2.5    Middlesbrough v Nottm Forest
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.65    To Run
5    Over 2.5    Carlisle v Tranmere
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.95    To Run
6    Under 2.5    Oldham v Walsall
(Total Goals)    14/02/2012    None    1.66    To Run

[action man]

Chris Gunter 50/1 1st goalscorer, missed 3 excellent chances on sat, playing RM as opposed to his usual RB.

No Quote for Gunter on Skybet 

got £8 at 40s

[FUN4FRASER]

My comments are not based on just that post Rich......he posts /flames  all the time with a nastiness , regardless if he is knowlegeable  just cant be bothered with it...

Prefer Pleasant dialogue

[ACE2M]

My comments are not based on just that post Rich......he posts /flames  all the time with a nastiness , regardless if he is knowlegeable  just cant be bothered with it...

Prefer Pleasant dialogue

i'll second that he is a bit troll ish. although he does seem to have some knowledge behind him.

[redsimon]

Had a small bet on Forest. That should guarantee a Boro win!

[FUN4FRASER]

My comments are not based on just that post Rich......he posts /flames  all the time with a nastiness , regardless if he is knowlegeable  just cant be bothered with it...

Prefer Pleasant dialogue

i'll second that he is a bit troll ish. although he does seem to have some knowledge behind him.

Peoples Opinions are great and this is one of the best places to dicuss things , however some people have a different agenda which is their perogative...

Been Nice is Generally  Better.