To cut a long story short I've got some time on my hands at the moment and to avoid having to paint the house I was looking around for something to throw myself into. After 8 yrs solid poker playing i need a few weeks off and have been inspired by lurking on this thread for some time and decided to have a look at something else.
Tennis seems like the obv market for someone with a few hours to invest each day so I started trawling through the stats sites. Soon became apparent that seeing the wood for the trees was not the easiest thing so I designed a little PC app that takes a feed from the stats sites and then juggles the data to help identify the best game to go for / most value etc.
At the moment it's just in prototype and pretty basic. It mainly works on recent form past 10-15 matches for each players, surface, results with respects to rankings ,results with respect to odds in those historic matches and helps identify some matches that may be better than others to back, and investigate more closely.
I'm looking to develop it further and keen for any feedback from knowlagable tennis punters as to other key variables that can be put in there and which variables to prioritise/weight.
The hope is also that as i look at the games more and come to understand the sport a little better I can blend the output from the App with a bit of human knowledge and impove it further. From a standing start I'm far from a tennis expert!
The plan is to ID a few short odds games each day and maybe the odd value bet at longer odds. It only works for LTA at the moment but will add in the chaps over the next few days or so.
The goal is to make a proffit.
I toyed with the idea of posting this or not but it's no fun doing it on my tod. Expecting some quality flames
I've churned through todays Qualifiers at Indian Wells (takes a while!!) and have come up with the following 4 bets. Betting very modeslty at first to see how it goes and would not recommend anyone following the bets
The Minella bet was the one where i was surprised when i looked at the market, expected it to be lot closer but still in Krajiceks favour. I've prob got too many selections for what I want to do but at the moment it's all about developing the approach and then fine tuning.
The thread may well die a death if I get off to a disaster start
Govortsova to bt Hlavackova 1 point @ 1.64
Minella to bt Krajicek 1 point @ 3.0
Foretz Gacon to bt Panova 1 point @ 2.38
Tsurenko to bt Kudryavtseva 1 point @ 1.54
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