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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
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Topic: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit (Read 738102 times)
Rubbish2407
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4305 on:
January 26, 2013, 05:23:05 PM »
Quote from: typhoon13 on January 26, 2013, 05:14:00 PM
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 26, 2013, 05:13:08 PM
Where do you find the number for the attacks and dangerous attacks or do you scroll through the text and count them? I use the Will Hill site.
365 will give you those
Cheers
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"The Full Eso Kral": To back every possible outcome in an event and lose whatever happens.
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Rubbish2407
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4306 on:
January 26, 2013, 05:31:03 PM »
My in-running bets are now up to £20 with Boro snatching a late winner. Was looking at the game on Betfair and you could lay the draw at 1.04. Was tempted but got sidetracked.
My Football gonad is up to £60 after over 2.5 goals at Forest.
My horses are still running?
Might have something else tonight as I have to stay in and pick my Daughter up later.
Good luck if you're on anything tonight.
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"The Full Eso Kral": To back every possible outcome in an event and lose whatever happens.
Keith Hawkins 10/01/2014
Graham C
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4307 on:
January 26, 2013, 05:37:34 PM »
Quote from: redsimon on January 26, 2013, 05:07:14 PM
Quote from: Silo Graham on January 26, 2013, 05:05:25 PM
Def not going with me,
Boro let a late one in
and Norwich lose
moaned it in
Nothing like a moan to get it home. I do moan at the tele too.
Gl on the 3.5overs, just 2.5 for me and sep Rooney fgs
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@silobass
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typhoon13
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
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Reply #4308 on:
January 26, 2013, 05:44:31 PM »
Great start with the overs lads.
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superwomble
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4309 on:
January 26, 2013, 06:16:12 PM »
Nice one Boro boys, I almost went for that one but talked myself out of it. Sociedad couldn't turn their dominance and man advantage into goals so I had a push. T2T is still on!
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superwomble
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4310 on:
January 26, 2013, 08:02:52 PM »
T2T. £13.60. Brazilian Paulista. Guarani v Ponte Preta. All on Guarani DNB 2.2.
1-1 half time. Guarani have had 61% possession. 10(3) shots to 8(3), 34 attacks to 26, 18 dangerous attacks to 13, 6 corners to 1, 0 yellows to 1.
Hoping I've read this right because the odds seem too good to be true... Having written it out after placing the bet I'm a bit worried the stats don't look as impressive now as I'd thought!
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kukushkin88
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4311 on:
January 26, 2013, 08:09:57 PM »
Quote from: superwomble on January 26, 2013, 08:02:52 PM
T2T. £13.60. Brazilian Paulista. Guarani v Ponte Preta. All on Guarani DNB 2.2.
1-1 half time. Guarani have had 61% possession. 10(3) shots to 8(3), 34 attacks to 26, 18 dangerous attacks to 13, 6 corners to 1, 0 yellows to 1.
Hoping I've read this right because the odds seem too good to be true... Having written it out after placing the bet I'm a bit worried the stats don't look as impressive now as I'd thought!
The thing is the people who are making the price have the same information as you, plus a lot more and and are interpreting it in a more sophisiticated/intelligent way. There´s a huge range of reasons why the price might be bigger than you´d think.
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typhoon13
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4312 on:
January 26, 2013, 10:28:40 PM »
Quote from: superwomble on January 26, 2013, 08:02:52 PM
T2T. £13.60. Brazilian Paulista. Guarani v Ponte Preta. All on Guarani DNB 2.2.
1-1 half time. Guarani have had 61% possession. 10(3) shots to 8(3), 34 attacks to 26, 18 dangerous attacks to 13, 6 corners to 1, 0 yellows to 1.
Hoping I've read this right because the odds seem too good to be true... Having written it out after placing the bet I'm a bit worried the stats don't look as impressive now as I'd thought!
I have not found one in play football match today i thought was worth getting involved in and there was plenty happening.
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typhoon13
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4313 on:
January 26, 2013, 11:06:32 PM »
Quote from: kukushkin88 on January 26, 2013, 08:09:57 PM
Quote from: superwomble on January 26, 2013, 08:02:52 PM
T2T. £13.60. Brazilian Paulista. Guarani v Ponte Preta. All on Guarani DNB 2.2.
1-1 half time. Guarani have had 61% possession. 10(3) shots to 8(3), 34 attacks to 26, 18 dangerous attacks to 13, 6 corners to 1, 0 yellows to 1.
Hoping I've read this right because the odds seem too good to be true... Having written it out after placing the bet I'm a bit worried the stats don't look as impressive now as I'd thought!
The thing is the people who are making the price have the same information as you, plus a lot more and and are interpreting it in a more sophisiticated/intelligent way. There´s a huge range of reasons why the price might be bigger than you´d think.
Well that just about sums up most punting scenarios, horse racing, super bowl etc.
I have backed obscure games when our bookies have got the teams the wrong way round with way out of line odds, not very intelligent that.
I have backed foreign games when some of our bookies have not realised a goal has been scored, not very intelligent that.
If your statement was wholly true Kukush the professionals would never find value.
By the way i am not having a go if you interpret this wrongly.
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superwomble
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4314 on:
January 26, 2013, 11:26:25 PM »
Quote from: typhoon13 on January 26, 2013, 10:28:40 PM
Quote from: superwomble on January 26, 2013, 08:02:52 PM
T2T. £13.60. Brazilian Paulista. Guarani v Ponte Preta. All on Guarani DNB 2.2.
1-1 half time. Guarani have had 61% possession. 10(3) shots to 8(3), 34 attacks to 26, 18 dangerous attacks to 13, 6 corners to 1, 0 yellows to 1.
Hoping I've read this right because the odds seem too good to be true... Having written it out after placing the bet I'm a bit worried the stats don't look as impressive now as I'd thought!
I have not found one in play football match today i thought was worth getting involved in and there was plenty happening.
You were right with this one anyway, lost 3-1! Still learning though and from now on I shall write out my thinking before placing the bet as that would have stopped me losing on this one.
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superwomble
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4315 on:
January 26, 2013, 11:40:11 PM »
Would this one not have fitted with your thinking then typhoon? I thought it was spot on - what am I missing please? The cards?
Quote from: superwomble on January 26, 2013, 02:20:50 PM
I'm on for my first T2T. £10 on FH Hafnarfjordur v UMF Selfoss in the Icelandic cup, 1.36 to win.
63% possession, 7(5) shots to 2(0), 40 attacks to 13, 33 dangerous attacks to 6, 8 corners to 0.
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typhoon13
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4316 on:
January 27, 2013, 09:26:26 AM »
Quote from: superwomble on January 26, 2013, 11:40:11 PM
Would this one not have fitted with your thinking then typhoon? I thought it was spot on - what am I missing please? The cards?
Quote from: superwomble on January 26, 2013, 02:20:50 PM
I'm on for my first T2T. £10 on FH Hafnarfjordur v UMF Selfoss in the Icelandic cup, 1.36 to win.
63% possession, 7(5) shots to 2(0), 40 attacks to 13, 33 dangerous attacks to 6, 8 corners to 0.
Without seeing everything its hard to gauge but the above looks impressive and its priced accordingly.
Remember not every bet is going to win not even the certainties, cast your mind back to stamford bridge earlier this month QPR and Swansea, who saw them results coming!!!!!
What were the odds on Southampton at stamford bridge when trailing 2-0
«
Last Edit: January 27, 2013, 09:47:07 AM by typhoon13
»
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Rubbish2407
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4317 on:
January 27, 2013, 01:19:01 PM »
I'm having my £20 on Chelsea at 2.8.
Good luck today guys.
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Keith Hawkins 10/01/2014
Graham C
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4318 on:
January 27, 2013, 01:28:44 PM »
Quote from: Rubbish2407 on January 27, 2013, 01:19:01 PM
I'm having my £20 on Chelsea at 2.8.
Good luck today guys.
Touch of great timing? Nice odds, wp
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@silobass
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redsimon
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Re: Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit
«
Reply #4319 on:
January 27, 2013, 02:15:56 PM »
Was going to have over 3.5 in Brentford Game but internets been down so missed that. Don't see another likely bet on today's games good luck anyone punting today!
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