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Poker Hand Analysis
UKIPT Notts
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Topic: UKIPT Notts (Read 4343 times)
sm00035
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Posts: 151
UKIPT Notts
«
on:
April 20, 2012, 09:45:56 PM »
Hi guys,
Just wanted to get an opinion on what you would do with these 2 particular hands in this spot.
It's 150/300 pre ante, I'm up to 30k after peaking at 42k then losing KT vs 97hh on QJ3 w/2 heart board. I have been reasonably active but none of my hands have actually gone to showdown and I haven't had to tap the table and acknowledge good call yet.
Ali Malu opens to 900 utg and gets 4 callers and I am on button. I 3bet to 3250, both blinds fold, Ali folds and it folds to the last peeler. He now piles for the same stack (I had 200 more).
What are you doing with:
1) AKs
2)AQ
Villain was middle aged (~30) had been fairly tight but had been opening etc and I had already 3bet squeezed against him twice which he peeled both times and both times check folded flop. Other then that can think of no real other info on him.
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outragous76
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Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #1 on:
April 20, 2012, 09:56:50 PM »
Quote from: sm00035 on April 20, 2012, 09:45:56 PM
Hi guys,
Just wanted to get an opinion on what you would do with these 2 particular hands in this spot.
It's 150/300 pre ante, I'm up to 30k after peaking at 42k then losing KT vs 97hh on QJ3 w/2 heart board. I have been reasonably active but none of my hands have actually gone to showdown and I haven't had to tap the table and acknowledge good call yet.
Ali Malu opens to 900 utg and gets 4 callers and I am on button. I 3bet to 3250, both blinds fold,
Ali folds
and it folds to the last peeler. He now piles for the same stack (I had 200 more).
What are you doing with:
1) AKs
2)AQ
Villain was middle aged (~30) had been fairly tight but had been opening etc and I had already 3bet squeezed against him twice which he peeled both times and both times check folded flop. Other then that can think of no real other info on him.
problem with hand recollection IMO
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
outragous76
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Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #2 on:
April 20, 2012, 09:58:19 PM »
call AK
AQ dependant on the player
I mean he has 88 99 & AK so often here I think you can justify folding AQ, but its tight
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Pinchop73
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #3 on:
April 20, 2012, 10:59:54 PM »
I'm not calling off 100bigs this early without KK+.
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First they came for the nits, and I did not speak out because I was not a nit
FUN4FRASER
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #4 on:
April 20, 2012, 11:01:11 PM »
If I understand you correctly Ali is opening + 4 callers and yourself , so 6 people in the hand in total. This is eventually down to 2 (you and the guy thats jammed)
You have to think that of the other 8 cards folded its likely some of these are aces , kings or queens so this somewhat decreases your chance in a race with both of your suggested hands.
Its quite likely he has what Guy is suggesting 77 88 99 ish but of course he could have slow played AK or even better.
Personally
I think AQ is an insta fold
as any pair he is holding could already be a big percentage favourite (as reasons stated above ) or you could be dominated by AK etc.
AK is more difficult of course , but with the villain being tight I dont expect you to be that much of a favourite against many holdings ,so it could be marginal....maybe a crying fold ...although this is never easy when looking down at AK .
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outragous76
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Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #5 on:
April 20, 2012, 11:27:14 PM »
more importantly , he is never 4th in the pot and calling with AA KK QQ
Always prepared to take the flip. Dependant upon how he sees you he could just be spazzzing out. I mean you are saying he is tight be we are pre ante and therefore he might be competant and just see this as a lovely spot to pick up 6k in dead chips
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TL900
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #6 on:
April 20, 2012, 11:37:10 PM »
flat pre.
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
LonOhRay
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #7 on:
April 21, 2012, 01:02:43 AM »
Quote from: TL900 on April 20, 2012, 11:37:10 PM
flat pre.
You're mental one of the hands was Ace King!
Seems to be ~4.5k in the pot already before you squeeze button
Is he the type of guy to flat AA or KK when 3 players are in the pot behind? - Visibly upset that you have 3 bet his opens multiple times? Holding a grudge vs you and ready to slam AQ ATs and all pairs?
AK i go with, AQ just muck, use my 90bb stack to pick up chips against what I presume to be a soft table this early
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skolsuper
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #8 on:
April 21, 2012, 03:59:36 AM »
Call both ldo
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rfgqqabc
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #9 on:
April 21, 2012, 11:20:40 AM »
roll my eyes and call with AK, probs fold AQ even tho its slight +ev, rather keep my seat
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Boba Fett
Doctor of Thugonomics
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #10 on:
April 21, 2012, 01:46:05 PM »
I expect him to have 77-JJ most of the time here. Depends what you think your edge is in the tournament imo. If you call one Id call both.
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sm00035
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #11 on:
April 21, 2012, 07:59:23 PM »
Quote from: skolsuper on April 21, 2012, 03:59:36 AM
Call both ldo
Went to bed thinking if by when I wake up nobody has posted this I've obv gone mad.
Quote from: outragous76 on April 20, 2012, 09:58:19 PM
call AK
AQ dependant on the player
I mean he has 88 99 & AK so often here I think you can justify folding AQ, but its tight
Quote from: rfgqqabc on April 21, 2012, 11:20:40 AM
roll my eyes and call with AK, probs fold AQ even tho its slight +ev, rather keep my seat
why are you calling AK and folding AQ?
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outragous76
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Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #12 on:
April 21, 2012, 08:11:50 PM »
Quote from: sm00035 on April 21, 2012, 07:59:23 PM
Quote from: skolsuper on April 21, 2012, 03:59:36 AM
Call both ldo
Went to bed thinking if by when I wake up nobody has posted this I've obv gone mad.
Quote from: outragous76 on April 20, 2012, 09:58:19 PM
call AK
AQ dependant on the player
I mean he has 88 99 & AK so often here I think you can justify folding AQ, but its tight
Quote from: rfgqqabc on April 21, 2012, 11:20:40 AM
roll my eyes and call with AK, probs fold AQ even tho its slight +ev, rather keep my seat
why are you calling AK and folding AQ?
sure was what i said - read again IMO
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sm00035
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #13 on:
April 21, 2012, 08:21:41 PM »
Quote from: outragous76 on April 20, 2012, 09:58:19 PM
I mean he has 88 99 & AK so often here I think you can justify folding AQ, but its tight
I guess we'll have to just disagree he has AK so often
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outragous76
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Re: UKIPT Notts
«
Reply #14 on:
April 21, 2012, 08:41:42 PM »
Quote from: sm00035 on April 21, 2012, 08:21:41 PM
Quote from: outragous76 on April 20, 2012, 09:58:19 PM
I mean he has 88 99 & AK so often here I think you can justify folding AQ, but its tight
I guess we'll have to just disagree he has AK so often
you dont think random players call behind with AK multi way in live poker pre ante?
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