Flopped set facing river shove

[cambridgealex]

PokerStars Hand #84809930408: Tournament #598693380, $50+$5 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2012/08/16 12:19:15 CT [2012/08/16 13:19:15 ET]
Table '598693380 21' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: Mavericci (2940 in chips)
Seat 2: JanT_Ni (2990 in chips)
Seat 3: specht1988 (3030 in chips)
Seat 4: Michlveit (2655 in chips)
Seat 5: theguzzler (2920 in chips)
Seat 6: IamMoved (3010 in chips)
Seat 7: 20alex430 (3375 in chips)
Seat 8: mcnallyville (3090 in chips)
Seat 9: Bumbulbee_G (3000 in chips)
IamMoved: posts small blind 10
20alex430: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to 20alex430 [ ]
mcnallyville: folds
Bumbulbee_G: folds
Mavericci: raises 40 to 60
JanT_Ni: folds
specht1988: folds
Michlveit: folds
theguzzler: folds
IamMoved: folds
20alex430: calls 40
*** FLOP *** [ ]
20alex430: checks
Mavericci: bets 80
20alex430: raises 120 to 200
Mavericci: calls 120
*** TURN *** [ ] []
20alex430: bets 340
Mavericci: calls 340
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
20alex430: bets 610
Mavericci: raises 1730 to 2340 and is all-in
?

[TL900]

Feels like a fold, any info on villian would be helpful

[silverslick]

I would have c|r more on the flop. The way he has played it I think a flush and k j are unlikely. I would put him on a set or an overpair. At the level I play $15 comps I would likely call without any specific reads? We lose to QQ and TT but beat 55 KK AA which has more combos out there.

[cambridgealex]

See what you're saying but really don't think he ever shoves AA or KK on the river unless to turn it into a bluff, he has 55 sometimes, but may 3b the flop with that. Other than that, beat QT which I think he just flats me on the river with.

[TL900]

He has alot of flush combos imo. This hand is alot more interesting if the flop is  and he takes this line i think as there is a ton of combos he now cant have

[the rage]

I think that you have to try and ignore the fact that you have a flopped set, because, on this board, you are pretty much only beating a bluff.
I think that villian will show up with  or similar often enough to make this a FOLD.

[Junior Senior]

Sigh food unless you have specific villain info to know he does his with 55, qt or could turn JQ into a bluff. As played and against random you gotta click the fold button

[cambridgealex]

Villain has a super easy bluff shove if I'm folding 99 here though, means I'm folding more or less my entire range.

[TL900]

True, i dont think your getting exploited all that often in a 50fo tho vs a random. Just think he has it

[pleno1]

Vs random I'd c/r turn jam river as played fold now. They won't be looking to exploit you if they are bad and if they are good they are playing. 10+ tble so won't do anything pre antes

[cambridgealex]

Yeh I was pretty sure I was beat...so I called and was pleasantly surprised he had

[cambridgealex]

don't like c/raising the turn at all pads, he's checking back SO OFTEN imo.

[TL900]

don't like c/raising the turn at all pads, he's checking back SO OFTEN imo.

agree

[pleno1]

o bet small really turn to try to get him to take off/make sure we get lot vs his value hands.

[JustinSayne]

Very easy/standard fold imo