Set on Flushy board vs (possible) Nit

[Bully87]

***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** (Prima)
€50.00 EUR NL Texas Hold'em - Wednesday, September 26, 07:13:58 ET 2012
Table Turbo Position 16  50 Max (Real Money)
Seat 5 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 ( €51.38 EUR ) - VPIP: 50, PFR: 8, 3B: 3, AF: 2.8, Hands: 50
Seat 2: Hero ( €53.76 EUR ) - VPIP: 22, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 2.6, Hands: 6758
Seat 3: Player3 ( €32.27 EUR ) - VPIP: 34, PFR: 6, 3B: 7, AF: 1.8, Hands: 90
Seat 4: Player4 ( €68.48 EUR ) - VPIP: 23, PFR: 21, 3B: 6, AF: 2.3, Hands: 626
Seat 5: Player5 ( €87.04 EUR ) - VPIP: 15, PFR: 11, 3B: 7, AF: 2.7, Hands: 185
Seat 6: Player6 ( €63.60 EUR ) - VPIP: 65, PFR: 46, 3B: 14, AF: 0.9, Hands: 69
Player6 posts small blind [€0.25 EUR].
Player1 posts big blind [€0.50 EUR].
Dealt to Hero [  ]
Hero raises [€1.50 EUR]
Player3 calls [€1.50 EUR]
Player4 folds
Player5 calls [€1.50 EUR]
Player6 folds
Player1 calls [€1.00 EUR]
** Dealing Flop ** [ , , ]
Player1 checks
Hero bets [€4.25 EUR]
Player3 folds
Player5 calls [€4.25 EUR]
Player1 folds
** Dealing Turn ** [ Ah ]
Hero bets [€7.25 EUR]
Player5 raises [€22.00 EUR]
Hero?

Villains a nit over a small sample, this can never be anything other than a flush right? Cant see him ever doing this with pair + fd with stats like that.

Snap foldings?

50p's in please.

[SuuPRlim]

Tricky. you really think he never has  Qx? There is quite a bit of difference here between 22 and 99. He could have 99 here and were toasted, butif we had 99 he cud have 22 and we'd have toasted him.

As for here idk i think i just get it in but that might be tedrible

[Young_gun]

First Instinct i was jamming, but...

In hindsight he could have turned top settamennts, flopped the nut flush and wants to get it in on the turn or set up for river shove...

Flop i dont think he just calls better sets but flopped flush or turned set seems like here, only hands he would do with worse is AsK(either way sapde) AsJo, KsJo, dont think its enough of the time though sigh fold turn for me although i dont like it

 

[SuuPRlim]

He just overcalls a single open preflop, obv possible but i dont think it would be the worlds worst assumption to rule AA out here

[Bully87]

Good to know that this isn't just a 50p afterall.

Does he overcall AA to get In a 4 way pot. I hIghly doubt It.

SIzIng on turn seems Iffy from me? AlternatIves?

[JustinSayne]

I would bet turn much bigger btw.

On the turn I fold pretty quickly. This guy just has it

Pretty sure you get shown a flush here all day everyday

[Bully87]

Yep. My general feeling too. Should never be taking off with worse with stats like that with any of possible holdings mentioned previously.

[rfgqqabc]

Fold with a smile. If he raises flop we should fold too right?

[muckthenuts]

Fold with a smile. If he raises flop we should fold too right?

No. He can have way more semi bluffs there and get it in a lot lighter for value, compared to pretty much never having any semi bluffs in this spot on the turn.

[JustinSayne]

Flop is a super easy fold if he raises 4way