GUKPT Luton final table sweat thread

[toddswain]

The stream keeps messing up. Is it the laptop I am using or the same for everyone else?

Was same yesterday, pretty painful to watch.

Gl Shaun and Mitch obv

[redarmi]

You guys have taken me for £2k on these prices this month!

... which at the quoted books is extremely bad luck.  However, run that book every week for a year and you would clean house.  Either price up the lot or none at all.  If you do the math correctly, it won't matter who wins, you will make a profit so the reverse sweat nonsense doesn't apply.  Even bookmakers that own horses/ dogs take bets on their own animals.

All or nothing.

Peace.

The bolded bits just simply aren't true. Whilst Alex has a theoretical +ve expectation to suggest that getting stung 2/2 is "extremely bad luck" is a long way from being accurate.

The second bolded part is only true if Alex manages to run a completely balanced book, which is unlikely for any number of reasons.

Whilst I would agree the book he is betting to here has too much fat (it was me that advised Alex to bet to 130% generally), the service takes a reasonable amount of admin effort to run, produces a degree of volatility for Alex himself and, perhaps crucially, is currently without a competitor.

If anyone wishes to bet more competitively than him I'm sure they will quickly nick his business, though I am yet to see anyone step up to do this....

This would all be true and I would agree 100% if this was anywhere near to a 100% book.  If the other three were priced and were 2/1 combined which is what they would need to be in order make this book 130% then they would be a triple max bet.  In reality it is more like a 160% book.

[smashedagain]

The stream keeps messing up. Is it the laptop I am using or the same for everyone else?

Was same yesterday, pretty painful to watch.

Gl Shaun and Mitch obv

oh ok. They say I can't watch it on my phone and coz it was tez on the nieces lappy I an doing virus clean up that looks like it might take all afternoon

[cambridgealex]

Tim abs bossing the final. Chip leader 7 handed, knocked Claypole out QQ>44. Mitch folding a lot, grinding out the pay jumps.

[claypole]

Runner runner hearts for the boss - sorry to Mitch and Boz but funking hard for Tim

[peejaytwo]

Whilst I would agree the book he is betting to here has too much fat (it was me that advised Alex to bet to 130% generally), the service takes a reasonable amount of admin effort to run, produces a degree of volatility for Alex himself

i think betting to a 30% margin is ok in these speciality markets,but i would dispute that it takes much effort on the admin side.
Its a good idea to lay all the runners for 1k, a bigger bet than most of the high street bookmakers take but as he only lays the bet once i dont think Alex would be particularly worried about the swings.
ive no problem either way,just think he'll do more business with better prices,but heh if people bet into 160% books then carry on.

good luck to mitch and tim blake btw as ive shared tables with both.

[peejaytwo]

just clicked on the link and got the message...

hi i'm eleanor
remember me?
i'm on maturedating.com

lolol,how do they know i'm 50!

[claypole]

Tims running like Frankel on some banned substance - nice pass by Boz as well

[smashedagain]

Tims running like Frankel on some banned substance - nice pass by Boz as well

yeah really enjoying this

[cambridgealex]

Wp and ul Tim and Mitch.

Grats Boz...
[X] knocked it in again.

[smashedagain]

Wp and ul Tim and Mitch.

Grats Boz...
[X] knocked it in again.

great final table. Stream was a little tilting at times tho

[redarmi]

To be totally fair I think the prices were very, very good today.  You clearly made a couple of mistakes in your first few books (more so the first one than the second) but you have clearly learnt from it.  Can't see you doing much going forward without significant run bad although you probably won't write much action either as the posters here are for the most part pretty sharp.

[dreenie]

What were the full results? Well done everyone, and 'Alex', did u make money out of your book?

[cambridgealex]

What were the full results? Well done everyone, and 'Alex', did u make money out of your book?

Boz 1st, Tim 3rd, Luke 4th, Mitch 5th, Claypole 7th or 8th.

And no, I lost a bit, 4 out of 4 now

[dreenie]

wd everyone. Better luck next time Alex