Tips by Tighty

[kpnuts]

Fairly sick Tranmere ship 5-0 hammering at Swindon, less than a week after thread unsuccessfully opposed them.
Variance.

[TightEnd]

Rochdale hammered Cheltenham 4-1 too

I am on a week's lag!!

Tranmere only just got a team out tonight. Shakes head.

[RickBFA]

Tighty,

I'm on Wycombe at 11/5 against Bradford. I think Wycombe are over priced having won 4 out of last 6. Bradford played alot of games recently.

And D&R at 15/8 at Morecambe. I tipped D&R 2 weeks ago and they didn't win but had them at Bristol Rovers last week. Still like them at that price.

[TightEnd]

Bad weather in the US North and Midwest

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-20849242

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-20847644

the second article forecasts 18 inches of snow on the East coast in the next 24 hours...

bobby1 betting territory


I have been following closely the prospects for Dallas at Washington

Before the bad weather came the outdoor stadium in Washington was not covered. The field is currently covered in Snow. A Dallas fan might say that it is in Washington's interests, playing an indoor team in a must win match, to slow them down....

Dallas are an indoor team that has not played in bad weather all year

Washington's quarterback RG3 is a dangerous runner but is playing after a recent strained cruciate ligament. In last week's game against the Eagles he stood in the pocket and did not move around (his modus operandi and his threat) at all

Dallas struggle to run because the offensive line is sub par

Add to all this, its winner take all. Winner wins the division and goes to the play offs. The loser is probably out of the playoffs

The points spread is http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/dallas-cowboys-at-washington-redskins/total-points

This hasn't adjusted lower for

- conditions
- Washington quarterback unable to run effectively
- Dallas running game difficulties

I would suggest the right pivot price might be 10 points lower come game time, as it adjusts for the weather

£30 under 48.5 Bet365 10/11.

[FUN4FRASER]

under 49.5 at hills and Sky Rich ?

[TightEnd]

yes, betting where I have funds

[FUN4FRASER]

ok mate...but every point counts    ok on 'under 49.5  gl us and thanks

[vegaslover]

Good pick Tighty, as usual.
Another plus for the unders is that the 'skins defense has got wayyyy better the last few weeks

[The Camel]

While I agree the line doesn't account for the changed weather conditions, I would argue RG3's knee condition definitely is factored in the price.

[ripple11]

ON...gl us

[TightEnd]

Burton v Southend League 2 tomorrow

Over 3 goals Bet365 9/4

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/burton-v-southend/total-goals


Burton have three strikers/midfielders with a combined 26 goals, Zola, Billy Kee and Maghoma.

They average over 2 goals every home game over 12 games this season

I have had them in goals galore coupons most weeks as they play One of the three goalscorers in midfield, with two wingers and generally play open at home. This was evident to me when I saw their playing pattern in a pre-season match and then at Leicester in the League Cup. They go for it.

Southend have Rastafish's son and Assombalonga with 26 goals combined

They average over 2 goals away from home over 12 away games this season


The Bet365 price is 9/4 over 3 goals when all other market setters only offer that price for over 4 goals...

I have had a small interest, £15, in the above, in my break the thread's duck stakes!
 

[TightEnd]

Close of December

1 win from 6 bets

balance -£67.83 from £125 wagered


Off the board, at least.

[Skgv]

Close of December

1 win from 6 bets

balance -£67.83 from £125 wagered


Off the board, at least.

ok Januaray the 1st fast aproaching we need a football win bet tomorrow to lump an start the year wt a bang !

[RickBFA]

Tighty,

I'm on Bristol Rovers today at 23/11. You mentioned them I think in the last ten days.

New manager and they have signed 3 loanees who all improve their squad. John Joe O'Toole will be good at this level, the keeper Milldenhall has been on loan at Scunny in L1 and they've signed a young kid from QPR.

Plymouth aren't pulling any trees up.

I like BR's chances at that price.

[TightEnd]

Saw the loanees, John Ward's Colchester connections paying off

I am still watching BR, got word after I mentioned them on here that its a massive job to turn them round, squad in turmoil etc etc, don't expect a quick pick up etc etc