Tips by Tighty

[tikay]

Very well done Tighty, you are in a rich vein of form.

[TightEnd]

Updating

£253.79 profit on £612.24 punted

ROI 41.4%

10 winners from 24

[TightEnd]

Judd Trump v Andrew Higginson in the Welsh Open starting at 2pm

Trump scraped past Dominic Dale yesterday, was 3-1 down and won 4-3

He looked impatient most of the game and his long potting was all over the place

We know (indeed we talked about it) that he struggles to get motivated outside the really big arenas

Higginson is a top 32 player. Not had the best of seasons but solid generally.


He is priced at 11/4 to win this, another 7 frame game

http://www.oddschecker.com/snooker/welsh-open/judd-trump-v-andrew-higginson/winner

If you want final frame insurance, Bet Victor are 5/2


The randomising nature of short matches, plus Trump's somewhat questionable temperament and form, means 11/4 is over-priced

Because Higginson is not the form horse that Milkins is, its a lower sized recommendation

£16.05 Higginson to beat Trump at 5/2 B365 ( 5/2 Bet Victor with the 4-3 insurance but no account there)

[AndrewT]

At 1-1 H-T at the Bernabeu I thought i had no chance on the unders. Tactically though in the second half Man U tightened up, closed the channels behind Ronaldo and with a bit of luck the unders came in

The free bet failed. Need to have a good think for next time, didn't really find anything much that appealed, but maybe the market is too raked over to spot much in a game like that

Yeah - with those free bets on the big matches you're never going to find much of an edge - the important thing is just to get the bet on something and suck up the value created by getting half your money back if it goes down.

[typhoon13]

Phew sweaty second frame that.

[class]

Phew sweaty second frame that.

Thought it was pretty much game over when he missed that green in to the top right pocket!

[vegaslover]

Trump playing pretty much as Tighty predicted, unfortunately Higgingson keeps making basic errors too

[TightEnd]

Yes he's not playing well enough. Trump is beatable, but you have to take your chances, as Milkins, Advani, Perry, Bingham have done in the last 48 hours

[typhoon13]

Yes he's not playing well enough. Trump is beatable, but you have to take your chances, as Milkins, Advani, Perry, Bingham have done in the last 48 hours

You defo read Trump correct tighty but our man aint turned up.

[TightEnd]

but he's only 2-1 down, if I am watching live!

Every chance, just needs to settle and punish the mistakes

[typhoon13]

but he's only 2-1 down, if I am watching live!

Every chance, just needs to settle and punish the mistakes

Just missed a sitter and looks like going 3-1 down

[TightEnd]

yes, sigh

half the idea was right! (the wrong half)

[typhoon13]

yes, sigh

half the idea was right! (the wrong half)

We can stand it, keep em coming

[FUN4FRASER]

yes, sigh

half the idea was right! (the wrong half)

We can stand it, keep em coming

+1

[vegaslover]

yes, sigh

half the idea was right! (the wrong half)

I watched the first few frames but Higgingson was so poor couldn't bear any more and I didn't even bet on the game!!!
Bingham pulled out a cracking clear to take his match.

Keep 'em coming Tighty